NBA GAME MATCHUP
Heat at Bucks
09:30 PM EST
Miami Heat |
10W 7LSeason |
75.0%Home |
44.4%Away |
7W 3LLast 10 |
Milwaukee Bucks |
9W 7LSeason |
62.5%Home |
50.0%Away |
4W 6LLast 10 |
220.5
Over/Under
14 out of 16 (87.5%) of Bucks games in last two years have hit the over
11 out of 17 (64.7%) of Heat games in last two years have hit the over
6 out of the last 8 (75.0%) Bucks home games hit the over
5 out of the last 9 (55.6%) Heat away games hit the over
The Bucks rank #4 at scoring averaging 120.1 points per game which is 5.6 over avg
The Bucks rank #8 at defense allowing 119.8 points per game which is 4.7 above avg
The Heat rank #19 at scoring averaging 113.4 points per game which is -1.1 under avg
The Heat rank #21 at defense allowing 111.5 points per game which is -3.6 below avg
MIA +12.0 | MIL -12.0
Playing The MoneyLine
The implied probability the Heat (+12.0) wins today's game is 36.4%
The implied probability the Bucks (-12.0) wins today's game is 70.6%
The Bucks rank #4 in scoring baskets at 120.1/gm. The Heat
gives up 111.5 pts a game a difference of 8.6 pts per game.
The Heat rank #19 in scoring baskets at 113.4/gm. The Bucks
gives up 119.8 pts a game a difference of -6.4 pts per game.
The Heat average +13.1 when they win and trail their opponent by -14.1 when they lose. They cover today's spread 76.5% of all games
The Bucks average +16.3 when they win and trail their opponent by -20.4 when they lose. They cover today's spread 37.5% of all games
Heat Offense vs Bucks Defense
Stat | MIA OFF | vs NBA | MIA Rank | MIL DEF | vs NBA | MIL Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
221.4 |
-10.0 |
#25 |
237.0 |
+4.0 |
#19 |
FanDuel Pts |
215.7 |
-15.7 |
#29 |
232.9 |
-0.1 |
#17 |
Points |
113.4 |
-1.1 |
#19 |
119.8 |
+4.6 |
#23 |
Rebounds |
40.0 |
-3.6 |
#28 |
42.6 |
-1.2 |
#11 |
Assists |
25.6 |
-0.5 |
#17 |
27.4 |
+1.1 |
#24 |
Steals |
7.2 |
+-0.0 |
#17 |
7.5 |
+0.2 |
#19 |
Blocks |
2.4 |
-2.4 |
#30 |
3.5 |
-1.3 |
#3 |
Turnovers |
13.1 |
-0.5 |
#22 |
12.2 |
-1.3 |
#4 |
Shots |
83.6 |
-5.2 |
#29 |
91.6 |
+2.8 |
#22 |
Three Pointers |
13.6 |
+1.4 |
#7 |
13.7 |
+1.3 |
#26 |
Bucks Offense vs Heat Defense
Stat | MIL OFF | vs NBA | Rank | MIA DEF | vs NBA | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
242.8 |
+11.4 |
#5 |
225.6 |
-7.4 |
#11 |
FanDuel Pts |
236.6 |
+5.2 |
#7 |
220.7 |
-12.3 |
#11 |
Points |
120.1 |
+5.6 |
#4 |
111.5 |
-3.7 |
#10 |
Rebounds |
45.6 |
+2.0 |
#7 |
41.7 |
-2.1 |
#5 |
Assists |
29.0 |
+2.9 |
#2 |
27.4 |
+1.1 |
#24 |
Steals |
6.2 |
-1.0 |
#27 |
6.6 |
-0.7 |
#9 |
Blocks |
4.5 |
-0.3 |
#20 |
4.0 |
-0.8 |
#5 |
Turnovers |
13.9 |
+0.3 |
#13 |
13.6 |
+0.1 |
#20 |
Shots |
91.6 |
+2.8 |
#7 |
85.4 |
-3.4 |
#6 |
Three Pointers |
15.5 |
+3.3 |
#4 |
13.1 |
+0.7 |
#23 |
MoneyLine Movement
OverUnder Movement
Heat Projected Stats
Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SF/PF | Jimmy Butler | 27.7 | 6.7 | 6.2 | 50.7 | 51.5 |
C | Bam Adebayo | 17.3 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 35.1 | 35.4 |
PG/SG | Gabe Vincent | 10.5 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 20.9 | 20.1 |
PF/C | Kevin Love | 7.6 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 19.5 | 18.5 |
PG | Kyle Lowry | 7.7 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 18.9 | 18.4 |
SF/PF | Caleb Martin | 7.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 16.9 | 16.8 |
SG/SF | Max Strus | 8.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 16.5 | 15.6 |
SG/SF | Duncan Robinson | 6.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 11.9 | 11.0 |
SF/PF | Haywood Highsmith | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 7.2 | 7.3 |
C | Cody Zeller | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 6.0 | 5.9 |
Bucks Projected Stats
Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PF/C | Giannis Antetokounmpo | 32.1 | 12.2 | 6.0 | 60.0 | 58.7 |
PG | Jrue Holiday | 20.4 | 5.5 | 8.0 | 43.7 | 42.3 |
SF | Khris Middleton | 19.8 | 5.6 | 6.4 | 39.5 | 37.7 |
C | Brook Lopez | 14.2 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 29.5 | 30.5 |
SG | Grayson Allen | 9.2 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 18.3 | 17.7 |
PF/C | Bobby Portis | 7.8 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 16.9 | 16.3 |
SG/SF | Pat Connaughton | 5.6 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 13.1 | 12.6 |
PG/SG | Joe Ingles | 4.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 11.6 | 11.1 |
SF/PF | Jae Crowder | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
PG | Jevon Carter | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Heat Most Recent Games
Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-24-2023 |
MIL |
119-114W |
119 |
47 |
21 |
235.75 |
232.9 |
04-22-2023 |
MIL |
121-99W |
121 |
44 |
22 |
244.0 |
243.8 |
04-19-2023 |
MIL |
122-138L |
122 |
41 |
26 |
235.75 |
229.2 |
04-16-2023 |
MIL |
130-117W |
130 |
36 |
32 |
236.5 |
226.2 |
04-14-2023 |
CHI |
102-91W |
102 |
51 |
19 |
210.75 |
205.7 |
04-11-2023 |
ATL |
105-116L |
105 |
39 |
24 |
213.25 |
212.8 |
04-09-2023 |
ORL |
123-110W |
123 |
44 |
30 |
249.0 |
241.8 |
04-07-2023 |
WAS |
108-114L |
108 |
47 |
26 |
227.25 |
220.4 |
04-06-2023 |
PHI |
129-101W |
129 |
42 |
39 |
249.5 |
235.9 |
04-04-2023 |
DET |
118-105W |
118 |
33 |
26 |
228.75 |
230.6 |
04-01-2023 |
DAL |
129-122W |
129 |
36 |
27 |
227.5 |
219.7 |
03-29-2023 |
NYK |
92-101L |
92 |
35 |
20 |
176.75 |
168.0 |
03-28-2023 |
TOR |
92-106L |
92 |
43 |
18 |
187.75 |
181.6 |
03-25-2023 |
BRO |
100-129L |
100 |
32 |
22 |
190.0 |
184.4 |
03-22-2023 |
NYK |
127-120W |
127 |
29 |
28 |
228.25 |
223.8 |
03-19-2023 |
DET |
112-100W |
112 |
42 |
33 |
231.5 |
225.9 |
03-18-2023 |
CHI |
99-113L |
99 |
39 |
23 |
192.25 |
184.3 |
Bucks Most Recent Games
Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-24-2023 |
MIA |
114-119L |
114 |
46 |
28 |
245.0 |
245.2 |
04-22-2023 |
MIA |
99-121L |
99 |
37 |
22 |
196.75 |
188.4 |
04-19-2023 |
MIA |
138-122W |
138 |
45 |
35 |
279.75 |
272.5 |
04-16-2023 |
MIA |
117-130L |
117 |
38 |
29 |
221.0 |
214.1 |
04-09-2023 |
TOR |
105-121L |
105 |
38 |
28 |
207.5 |
199.6 |
04-07-2023 |
MEM |
114-137L |
114 |
38 |
30 |
223.5 |
209.6 |
04-05-2023 |
CHI |
105-92W |
105 |
53 |
26 |
232.75 |
224.6 |
04-04-2023 |
WAS |
140-128W |
140 |
56 |
33 |
288.0 |
277.7 |
04-02-2023 |
PHI |
117-104W |
117 |
42 |
28 |
236.5 |
236.4 |
03-30-2023 |
BOS |
99-140L |
99 |
45 |
22 |
198.75 |
188.0 |
03-29-2023 |
IND |
149-136W |
149 |
52 |
28 |
271.5 |
264.4 |
03-27-2023 |
DET |
126-117W |
126 |
50 |
28 |
251.0 |
246.0 |
03-25-2023 |
DEN |
106-129L |
106 |
40 |
26 |
212.5 |
210.0 |
03-24-2023 |
UTA |
144-116W |
144 |
50 |
42 |
308.0 |
305.0 |
03-22-2023 |
SAS |
130-94W |
130 |
54 |
24 |
261.5 |
257.8 |
03-19-2023 |
TOR |
118-111W |
118 |
45 |
35 |
250.75 |
245.5 |