Cubs vs Red Sox Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 28th 2024
Cubs
17W-10L
April 28, 2024
07:10PM EST
Odds: 4.0 o/u
Red Sox
15W-13L
Get ready to paint the town Red and Cub blue as Fenway Park sets the stage for a thrilling showdown under the lights tonight at 07:10 PM EST! Our beloved Chicago Cubs, just a whisker away from the top spot in the National League, are looking to claw back into the win column after a rough outing. They’re up against the Boston Red Sox, who are swinging with some serious momentum after their recent grand slam performance. With the stakes sky-high and the betting lines buzzing, tonight’s matchup promises some serious heat, especially with Fenway’s classic mix of chilly breezes and die-hard fans. So, as the Cubs try to bear down and the Sox aim to sock it to ’em, it’s clear we’re in for an epic clash where only one can take the walk of fame back to the dugout. Let’s see if the Cubs can catch the Sox napping!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 28, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 16.1 mph. Temperature is at 53.1° with 69% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| CHC ML | BOS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +108 | -130 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +119 | -142 | 9.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +11 | -12 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance
45.7% Win Probability
54.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/26/24 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 7 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | ||||
| 04/27/24 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 0 | Over | +13.0 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 17 | ||||
| 07/14/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 8 | Over | +7.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 3 | ||||
| 07/15/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | Over | +10.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 10 | ||||
| 07/16/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 11 | Over | +12.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 5 |
Cubs Vs Over/Under
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25-24 | vsHOU | 1-3W | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 04-17-24 | @ARI | 5-3W | 4.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 09-30-23 | @MIL | 10-6W | 1.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 09-28-23 | @ATL | 3-5L | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Under |
| 09-22-23 | vsCOL | 0-6W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| 09-20-23 | vsPIT | 13-7L | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Over |
| 09-16-23 | @ARI | 6-7L | 0.3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Over |
| 09-13-23 | @COL | 3-7L | 1.3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | Over |
| 09-12-23 | @COL | 4-6L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 09-10-23 | vsARI | 2-5W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23-24 | @CLE | 1-4L | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | Under |
| 04-17-24 | vsCLE | 0-2W | 9.0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 04-12-24 | vsLAA | 7-0L | 5.7 | 12 | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 04-07-24 | @LAA | 12-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | Over |
| 04-01-24 | @OAK | 9-0W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | Under |
| 10-01-23 | @BAL | 6-1W | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 09-26-23 | vsTB | 9-7L | 3.0 | 10 | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 09-19-23 | @TEX | 4-6L | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | Over |
| 09-14-23 | vsNYY | 0-5W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 09-08-23 | vsBAL | 11-2L | 5.3 | 8 | 5 | 5 | Over |
Cubs Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/29 | vs BOS | 0-17L | 5 | 0 | Over |
| 04/28 | vs BOS | 7-1W | 14 | 0 | Under |
| 04/27 | @ HOU | 3-1W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/26 | @ HOU | 4-3W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/25 | @ HOU | 7-2W | 6 | 3 | Under |
| 04/23 | @ MIA | 3-6L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/22 | @ MIA | 5-3W | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 04/22 | @ MIA | 2-3L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/21 | @ MIA | 8-3W | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 04/19 | vs ARI | 5-3W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | vs ARI | 11-11L | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 04/17 | vs ARI | 3-2W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 04/16 | vs SEA | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/15 | vs SEA | 4-1W | 6 | 3 | Under |
| 04/14 | vs SEA | 2-4L | 4 | 1 | Under |
Red Sox Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/29 | @ CHC | 17-0W | 21 | 2 | Over |
| 04/28 | @ CHC | 1-7L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/27 | vs CLE | 4-5L | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 04/26 | vs CLE | 8-0W | 16 | 3 | Under |
| 04/25 | vs CLE | 1-4L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs PIT | 6-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs PIT | 4-2W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/21 | vs PIT | 8-1W | 12 | 4 | Under |
| 04/20 | @ CLE | 4-5L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/19 | @ CLE | 2-0W | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | @ CLE | 7-10L | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 04/17 | @ CLE | 0-6L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/16 | @ LAA | 5-4W | 7 | 3 | Under |
| 04/15 | @ LAA | 7-2W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 04/14 | @ LAA | 0-7L | 3 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Chicago Cubs | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Nico Hoerner
|
7.8 | 10.1 | 0.273 | 0.364 | 40.4% | 76.8% | 0.0% |
| 7.7 | 10.4 | 0.281 | 0.453 | 53.1% | 98.4% | 3.1% | |
|
#3
Ian Happ
|
7.8 | 10.6 | 0.217 | 0.326 | 39.1% | 71.7% | 1.1% |
| 7.1 | 9.5 | 0.219 | 0.365 | 33.3% | 69.8% | 3.1% | |
| 8.3 | 11.0 | 0.287 | 0.54 | 39.1% | 93.1% | 6.9% | |
| 7.4 | 9.7 | 0.237 | 0.381 | 34.0% | 72.2% | 3.1% | |
|
#7
Matt Mervis
|
8.4 | 7.7 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
|
#8
Miguel Amaya
|
5.5 | 7.3 | 0.231 | 0.365 | 32.7% | 69.2% | 1.9% |
| 5.7 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 40.0% | 120.0% | 10.0% |
| Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jarren Duran
|
8.1 | 10.4 | 0.252 | 0.361 | 35.3% | 71.4% | 0.8% |
| 10.6 | 13.9 | 0.262 | 0.462 | 43.1% | 89.2% | 4.6% | |
| 8.9 | 11.8 | 0.333 | 0.758 | 54.5% | 130.3% | 13.6% | |
|
#4
Wilyer Abreu
|
8.4 | 11.0 | 0.309 | 0.5 | 44.1% | 94.1% | 2.9% |
| 7.3 | 9.6 | 0.282 | 0.41 | 39.7% | 80.8% | 2.6% | |
| 5.9 | 8.0 | 0.154 | 0.269 | 20.5% | 47.4% | 2.6% | |
|
#7
Bobby Dalbec
|
6.5 | 8.8 | 0.128 | 0.17 | 19.1% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| 5.2 | 6.8 | 0.275 | 0.412 | 37.3% | 78.4% | 3.9% | |
| 5.2 | 7.0 | 0.191 | 0.351 | 24.5% | 59.6% | 2.1% |
Cubs Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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