Brewers vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 11th 2024

thefield
April 11, 2024
Milwaukee Brewers

Brewers

8W-3L

Milwaukee Brewers

April 11, 2024

01:10PM EST

Odds: 8.5 o/u

Reds

6W-6L

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds

Hold onto your brewskis, sports fans, because the Milwaukee Brewers are rollin’ into the Great American Ball Park, ready to take the Cincinnati Reds to school in a classic midday showdown. These Brewers, boasting an impressive 8W-3L record, are just half a game shy of the top spot in the National League conference, while the Reds, sitting at a respectable 6W-6L, are trailing by three games. The stakes are sky-high and the betting lines are buzzing, with an over/under of 8.5, the Brewers at -125, and the Reds at a tantalizing 105. In their last rendezvous, the Brewers had the Reds seeing red, handing them a 7-2 defeat. But don’t let the numbers fool you, this ain’t no walk in the park; the weather’s looking as unpredictable as a knuckleball, with heavy rain and winds from the southeast at 2.2 mph, and a sticky 100% humidity. So, whether you’re a Brewer or a Red, it’s time to step up to the plate and brace for a stormy battle of the bats!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 11, 2024 01:10PM EST
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Weather: Heavy rain with winds from the SE at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 60.1° with 100% humidity.

Vegas Odds

MIL ML CIN ML Over/Under Line
Open -125 +105 8.5 -1.5/1.5
Recent -131 +109 8.5 -1.5/1.5
Difference -6 +4 0 –

Team Performance

mil Team Logo
LAST 10
7W-3L
AWAY
135W-111L

56.7% Win Probability

cin Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
HOME
116W-132L

43.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
04/08/24 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 8 Over +9.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 10
04/09/24 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 9 Over +5.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 5
04/10/24 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 7 Over +0.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 2
06/02/23 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 5 Over +0.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 4
06/03/23 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 10 Over +9.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 8
06/04/23 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 5 Under -2.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 1
06/05/23 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 0 Under -6.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 2
07/07/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 3 Over +1.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 7
07/08/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 8 Over +4.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 5
07/09/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 0 Under -7.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 1
07/14/23 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 1 Under -7.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 0
07/15/23 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 3 Under -5.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 0
07/16/23 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 4 Under -1.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 3
07/24/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 2 Under -3.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 3
07/25/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 4 Under -1.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 3
07/26/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 0 Under -5.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 3

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Wade Miley
Wade Miley
ERA 3.306 | IP 114.3 | 8.0W-4.0L | KO 71.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
04-05-24 vsSEA 5-6W 5.7 4 3 7 Over
03-29-24 @NYM 3-1W 6.0 1 1 8 Under
09-24-23 @MIA 1-6L 3.0 9 4 4 Under
09-18-23 @STL 0-1L 6.0 4 1 6 Under
09-12-23 vsMIA 1-3W 6.3 2 1 9 Under
09-06-23 @PIT 4-5L 5.3 4 3 4 Over
09-01-23 vsPHI 5-7W 6.0 2 1 10 Over
08-26-23 vsSD 4-5W 5.3 2 2 9 Over
08-19-23 @TEX 6-1W 5.7 4 1 11 Under
08-13-23 @CWS 7-3W 6.0 4 0 6 Over
04-10-24 @CIN 7-2W 4.0 1 1 0 Over
09-27-23 vsSTL 2-3W 5.0 6 1 2 Under
09-21-23 @STL 6-0W 6.0 3 0 7 Under
09-15-23 vsWAS 3-5W 5.7 5 3 3 Under
09-09-23 @NYY 9-2W 3.7 1 2 3 Over
09-03-23 vsPHI 4-2L 6.3 4 4 4 Under
08-28-23 @CHC 6-2W 6.0 4 2 1 Under
08-22-23 vsMIN 3-7W 5.0 5 3 4 Over
08-16-23 @LAD 1-7L 5.0 7 4 2 Under
08-08-23 vsCOL 7-3L 6.0 2 1 2 Over
Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez
ERA 3.426 | IP 110.3 | 6.0W-4.0L | KO 106.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
04-10-24 vsMIL 7-2L 6.0 6 7 9 Over
04-05-24 vsNYM 3-2L 6.0 3 1 6 Under
03-30-24 vsWAS 7-6L 4.7 5 2 7 Over
10-01-23 @STL 3-4L 5.0 9 4 6 Under
09-26-23 @CLE 11-7W 3.0 8 7 3 Over
09-20-23 vsMIN 5-3L 7.0 3 1 14 Under
09-15-23 @NYM 5-3W 5.7 4 3 6 Under
09-10-23 vsSTL 1-7W 6.0 1 1 9 Under
08-30-23 @SF 4-1W 5.3 3 1 6 Under
08-25-23 @ARI 8-10L 3.7 5 5 4 Over
04-06-24 vsNYM 6-9W 5.0 8 5 6 Over
03-31-24 vsWAS 5-6W 5.0 6 3 3 Over
09-29-23 @CWS 3-2L 5.0 2 0 8 Under
09-23-23 @STL 5-2L 4.0 2 0 3 Under
09-17-23 @OAK 10-1L 3.0 1 0 5 Over
09-13-23 @LAD 6-1L 1.0 1 0 0 Under
09-09-23 @HOU 5-7W 0.7 4 1 0 Over
09-06-23 @PHI 5-1L 2.3 1 0 4 Under
09-03-23 @SF 0-4W 1.0 1 0 1 Under
09-01-23 @SF 3-7W 2.0 1 0 2 Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/12 vs CIN 7-2W 6 2 Over
04/11 vs CIN 9-5W 13 0 Over
04/10 vs CIN 8-10L 12 2 Over
04/09 @ SEA 12-4W 14 3 Over
04/08 @ SEA 3-5L 5 1 Under
04/07 @ SEA 6-5W 8 3 Over
04/05 @ MIN 3-7L 7 2 Over
04/04 @ MIN 3-2W 7 1 Under
04/02 vs NYM 4-1W 9 0 Under
04/01 vs NYM 7-6W 16 1 Over
03/31 vs NYM 3-1W 8 1 Under
10/03 @ CHC 4-0W 6 1 Under
10/02 @ CHC 6-10L 12 2 Over
10/01 @ CHC 4-3W 8 0 Under
09/30 @ STL 3-0W 8 0 Under

Reds Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/12 @ MIL 2-7L 4 1 Over
04/11 @ MIL 5-9L 10 0 Over
04/10 @ MIL 10-8W 10 3 Over
04/09 @ NYM 1-3L 3 0 Under
04/08 @ NYM 9-6W 8 1 Over
04/07 @ NYM 2-3L 7 1 Under
04/05 vs PHI 4-1W 6 0 Under
04/04 vs PHI 4-9L 8 0 Over
04/03 vs PHI 6-3W 8 1 Over
04/02 @ WAS 6-5W 14 2 Over
04/01 @ WAS 6-7L 10 2 Over
03/30 @ WAS 8-2W 10 2 Over
10/03 vs STL 3-4L 9 1 Under
10/02 vs STL 6-15L 14 2 Over
10/01 vs STL 19-2W 17 6 Over

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPP HR/Rate
#2 William Contreras
7.6 10.0 0.289 0.459 41.6% 87.5% 3.2%
#3 Christian Yelich
9.0 11.8 0.278 0.451 42.7% 87.7% 3.5%
#4 Willy Adames
8.5 11.4 0.219 0.408 35.9% 76.7% 4.4%
#5 Sal Frelick
7.8 10.3 0.246 0.351 39.8% 74.9% 1.6%
#6 Jake Bauers
7.4 9.8 0.202 0.413 31.4% 72.7% 5.0%
#6 Rhys Hoskins
nan 12.0 nan nan nan% nan% nan%
#7 Blake Perkins
6.4 8.6 0.22 0.355 38.3% 73.8% 2.8%
#8 Joey Ortiz
5.5 7.2 0.212 0.242 21.2% 45.5% 0.0%
#9 Brice Turang
6.5 8.3 0.222 0.304 31.9% 62.3% 1.5%
Cincinnati Reds DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPP HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India
8.0 10.7 0.244 0.409 39.6% 80.4% 3.8%
#2 Spencer Steer
9.6 12.6 0.273 0.467 41.0% 87.7% 4.0%
#3 C. Encarnacion-Strand
8.2 10.8 0.27 0.477 35.6% 83.3% 5.9%
#4 Jeimer Candelario
8.6 11.4 0.251 0.473 38.3% 85.6% 4.4%
#5 Stuart Fairchild
6.3 8.3 0.228 0.388 37.0% 75.8% 2.3%
#5 Jake Fraley
7.1 9.4 0.257 0.445 38.5% 83.0% 4.5%
#6 Elly De La Cruz
7.6 9.9 0.234 0.409 32.5% 73.5% 3.4%
#7 Santiago Espinal
6.7 8.7 0.25 0.338 34.2% 68.0% 0.9%
#8 Will Benson
6.8 8.8 0.276 0.5 42.0% 92.0% 3.8%
#8 Nick Martini
5.5 7.3 0.264 0.583 36.1% 94.4% 8.3%
#9 Luke Maile
5.7 7.6 0.235 0.391 34.1% 73.2% 3.4%
#9 Tyler Stephenson
5.3 7.0 0.246 0.382 35.4% 73.7% 2.8%

Brewers Notable Injuries

  • No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.

Reds Notable Injuries

  • No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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