Phillies vs Padres Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 28th 2024

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the sizzling Philadelphia Phillies, boasting an impressive 18-10 record, roll into sunny San Diego to clash with the Padres at the iconic Petco Park. It’s game time at 04:10 PM EST, folks! The Phillies are hot on the heels of the league leaders, while the Padres are looking to claw back from a slightly rocky start. With the betting lines drawn and an over/under of 8.0, today’s matchup promises plenty of action. Fresh off a decisive victory against these very Padres, the Phillies are pumped to repeat the performance under today’s partly cloudy skies, light breezes, and cool temps. As these two teams prepare to bat it out, one thing’s for certain: in today’s game, we’re likely to see some ‘Philly’ good hits and some ‘Pad’ stats!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 28, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 55.9° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+110	-132	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+123	-147	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+13	-15	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

124W-127L

44.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

135W-119L

55.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+4.0
04/26/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+4.0
04/27/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-2.0
04/27/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-2.0
07/14/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+3.0
07/14/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+3.0
07/15/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+2.0
07/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+2.0
07/15/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+5.0
07/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+5.0
07/16/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+5.0
07/16/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+5.0
09/04/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+8.0
09/04/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+8.0
09/05/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Push	-0.0
09/05/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Push	-0.0
09/06/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-2.0
09/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-2.0

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Taijuan Walker

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

No notable injuries to report

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over

Michael King

ERA 3.622 | IP 27.3 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 29.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-23-24	@COL	4-7L	3.7	8	6	5	Over
04-17-24	@MIL	0-1L	7.7	2	1	10	Under
04-12-24	@LAD	8-7W	5.0	6	7	4	Over
04-06-24	@SF	4-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
03-31-24	vsSF	4-13W	4.0	2	2	6	Over
10-01-23	@KC	2-5W	4.0	8	4	1	Under
09-26-23	@TOR	2-0L	6.0	1	0	5	Under
09-20-23	@TOR	6-1L	7.0	5	1	13	Under
09-14-23	@BOS	0-5W	4.7	6	1	8	Under
09-09-23	@MIL	9-2L	5.0	4	2	9	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/29	vs SD	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/28	vs SD	9-3W	13	5	Over
04/27	vs CIN	5-0W	11	1	Under
04/26	vs CIN	4-7L	11	0	Over
04/25	vs CIN	1-8L	5	0	Over
04/24	vs CIN	7-0W	9	1	Under
04/23	@ CWS	8-2W	11	1	Over
04/22	@ CWS	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/21	@ CWS	7-0W	7	3	Under
04/19	@ COL	7-6W	12	3	Over
04/18	@ COL	5-0W	7	2	Under
04/17	@ COL	2-1W	6	0	Under
04/16	@ PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
04/15	@ PIT	4-3W	9	1	Under
04/14	@ PIT	2-5L	7	0	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/29	@ PHI	1-5L	3	1	Under
04/28	@ PHI	3-9L	7	1	Over
04/27	vs COL	9-10L	11	2	Over
04/26	vs COL	5-2W	8	0	Under
04/25	vs COL	4-7L	12	0	Over
04/24	vs COL	3-1W	9	0	Under
04/23	@ TOR	6-3W	6	1	Over
04/22	@ TOR	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/21	@ TOR	1-5L	5	1	Under
04/19	vs MIL	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/18	vs MIL	6-3W	10	1	Over
04/17	vs MIL	7-3W	12	0	Over
04/16	vs LAD	6-3W	8	1	Over
04/15	vs LAD	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/14	vs LAD	8-7W	10	4	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.1	12.4	0.19	0.39	38.1%	77.1%	6.7%
#2 Trea Turner	8.7	11.0	0.345	0.483	43.1%	91.4%	1.7%
#3 Bryce Harper	9.5	12.8	0.244	0.489	38.9%	87.8%	6.7%
#4 Alec Bohm	7.3	9.7	0.354	0.596	49.5%	109.1%	4.0%
#5 J.T. Realmuto	8.0	10.4	0.237	0.398	31.2%	71.0%	4.3%
#6 Brandon Marsh	7.5	9.7	0.293	0.561	36.6%	92.7%	7.3%
#7 Nick Castellanos	7.2	9.2	0.181	0.229	24.8%	47.6%	1.0%
#8 Bryson Stott	6.1	7.9	0.21	0.284	30.9%	59.3%	1.2%
#9 Johan Rojas	6.1	7.5	0.25	0.306	33.3%	63.9%	0.0%

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Xander Bogaerts	8.8	11.5	0.193	0.275	28.4%	56.0%	1.8%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.8	12.9	0.234	0.449	35.5%	80.4%	5.6%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	8.3	11.0	0.234	0.383	37.2%	75.5%	3.2%
#4 Manny Machado	7.7	9.9	0.25	0.375	31.2%	68.8%	3.1%
#5 Jurickson Profar	6.6	8.9	0.292	0.461	46.1%	92.1%	3.4%
#6 Ha-Seong Kim	6.9	9.2	0.242	0.444	39.4%	83.8%	4.0%
#7 Jackson Merrill	6.4	8.2	0.313	0.398	42.2%	81.9%	1.2%
#8 Luis Campusano	6.2	8.1	0.284	0.383	33.3%	71.6%	1.2%
#9 Graham Pauley	5.2	7.2	0.125	0.375	12.5%	50.0%	8.3%