Mariners vs Brewers Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 5th 2024
Mariners
3W-4L
April 05, 2024
08:10PM EST
Odds: 7.0 o/u
Brewers
4W-1L
Alright, folks, buckle up because we’re about to dive into a bracing showdown tonight between our very own Seattle Mariners, who’ve been treading water with a 3W-4L record, and the Milwaukee Brewers, who’ve been pouring out victories with a 4W-1L record. They’re squaring off at the American Family Field, where the first pitch will be hurled at 08:10PM EST. The Mariners are trailing by 1.5 games in the American League conference while the Brewers are just frothing at the heels of the leaders in the National League, being only 1.0 games back. The over/under is frosted at 7.0, with the Mariners’ line at 106 and the Brewers’ line tipping the scales at -126. Both teams are coming off a loss, with the Brewers having been soaked 3-7 by MIN and the Mariners having been washed out 0-8 by CLE. Mother nature isn’t playing nice either, with overcast skies, winds blowing from the North at 8.1 mph, and the mercury dipping at 37.4° with a humidity of 81%. So, whether you’re a Mariner hoping to sail to victory or a Brewer looking to ferment another win, it’s clear we’re in for a game that’s brewing up a storm!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 05, 2024 08:10PM EST
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 37.4° with 81% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| SEA ML | MIL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +106 | -126 | 7.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | -102 | -118 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -208 | +8 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance
50.5% Win Probability
49.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/17/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 7 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 04/18/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 6 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | ||||
| 04/19/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 5 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 |
Mariners Vs Over/Under
Brewers Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30-24 | vsBOS | 3-4W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | Under |
| 09-28-23 | vsTEX | 2-3W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 09-23-23 | @TEX | 0-2L | 5.7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | Under |
| 09-17-23 | vsLAD | 6-1L | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 6 | Under |
| 09-11-23 | vsLAA | 8-5L | 7.0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 09-06-23 | @CIN | 8-4W | 5.3 | 7 | 3 | 9 | Over |
| 09-01-23 | @NYM | 1-2L | 6.7 | 7 | 1 | 9 | Under |
| 08-26-23 | vsKC | 2-15W | 7.0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | Over |
| 08-19-23 | @HOU | 10-3W | 6.0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 08-14-23 | @KC | 6-7L | 4.3 | 7 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29-24 | @NYM | 3-1W | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | Under |
| 09-24-23 | @MIA | 1-6L | 3.0 | 9 | 4 | 4 | Under |
| 09-18-23 | @STL | 0-1L | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 09-12-23 | vsMIA | 1-3W | 6.3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | Under |
| 09-06-23 | @PIT | 4-5L | 5.3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 09-01-23 | vsPHI | 5-7W | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | Over |
| 08-26-23 | vsSD | 4-5W | 5.3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | Over |
| 08-19-23 | @TEX | 6-1W | 5.7 | 4 | 1 | 11 | Under |
| 08-13-23 | @CWS | 7-3W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 08-07-23 | vsCOL | 1-12W | 7.0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | Over |
Mariners Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05 | @ CLE | 0-8L | 5 | 0 | Push |
| 04/04 | @ CLE | 2-5L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 04/03 | @ CLE | 5-4W | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 04/02 | @ BOS | 1-5L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/01 | @ BOS | 4-3W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 03/31 | @ BOS | 1-0W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 03/30 | @ BOS | 4-6L | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 10/03 | @ TEX | 1-0W | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 10/02 | @ TEX | 1-6L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 10/01 | @ TEX | 8-0W | 6 | 3 | Push |
| 09/30 | @ TEX | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 09/29 | @ HOU | 3-8L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 09/28 | @ HOU | 6-2W | 8 | 1 | Push |
| 09/27 | @ HOU | 1-5L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 09/26 | vs TEX | 8-9L | 13 | 2 | Over |
Brewers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05 | @ MIN | 3-7L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 04/04 | @ MIN | 3-2W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/02 | vs NYM | 4-1W | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 04/01 | vs NYM | 7-6W | 16 | 1 | Over |
| 03/31 | vs NYM | 3-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 10/03 | @ CHC | 4-0W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 10/02 | @ CHC | 6-10L | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 10/01 | @ CHC | 4-3W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 09/30 | @ STL | 3-0W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 09/29 | @ STL | 3-2W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 09/28 | @ STL | 1-4L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 09/26 | vs MIA | 1-6L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 09/25 | vs MIA | 4-5L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 09/24 | vs MIA | 16-1W | 15 | 3 | Over |
| 09/23 | vs STL | 6-0W | 10 | 2 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0 | 9.3 | 0.266 | 0.44 | 45.3% | 89.2% | 3.6% | |
| 8.0 | 10.4 | 0.275 | 0.486 | 36.5% | 85.1% | 4.9% | |
| 6.9 | 9.1 | 0.255 | 0.454 | 38.1% | 83.4% | 4.6% | |
| 7.0 | 9.3 | 0.209 | 0.365 | 28.9% | 65.4% | 2.8% | |
|
#5
Mitch Garver
|
7.7 | 10.3 | 0.271 | 0.503 | 43.2% | 93.5% | 6.5% |
|
#6
Cal Raleigh
|
7.1 | 9.5 | 0.232 | 0.456 | 34.0% | 79.6% | 5.9% |
|
#7
Ty France
|
5.4 | 7.1 | 0.253 | 0.37 | 38.4% | 75.3% | 2.1% |
| 4.0 | 5.3 | 0.22 | 0.399 | 27.2% | 67.1% | 3.5% | |
|
#9
Josh Rojas
|
4.7 | 6.2 | 0.245 | 0.338 | 33.4% | 67.2% | 1.3% |
| Milwaukee Brewers | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.7 | 10.2 | 0.289 | 0.459 | 41.6% | 87.5% | 3.2% | |
| 7.4 | 9.8 | 0.278 | 0.451 | 42.7% | 87.7% | 3.5% | |
|
#4
Willy Adames
|
7.7 | 10.3 | 0.219 | 0.408 | 35.9% | 76.7% | 4.4% |
|
#5
Jake Bauers
|
5.8 | 7.7 | 0.202 | 0.413 | 31.4% | 72.7% | 5.0% |
|
#6
Rhys Hoskins
|
nan | 9.7 | nan | nan | nan% | nan% | nan% |
|
#7
Sal Frelick
|
5.5 | 7.3 | 0.246 | 0.351 | 39.8% | 74.9% | 1.6% |
|
#8
Joey Ortiz
|
4.8 | 6.2 | 0.212 | 0.242 | 21.2% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
|
#9
Brice Turang
|
5.1 | 6.5 | 0.222 | 0.304 | 31.9% | 62.3% | 1.5% |
Mariners Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Brewers Notable Injuries
- Trevor Megill OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/01/24. Impact: 1.5
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