Mariners vs Brewers Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 5th 2024

Alright, folks, buckle up because we’re about to dive into a bracing showdown tonight between our very own Seattle Mariners, who’ve been treading water with a 3W-4L record, and the Milwaukee Brewers, who’ve been pouring out victories with a 4W-1L record. They’re squaring off at the American Family Field, where the first pitch will be hurled at 08:10PM EST. The Mariners are trailing by 1.5 games in the American League conference while the Brewers are just frothing at the heels of the leaders in the National League, being only 1.0 games back. The over/under is frosted at 7.0, with the Mariners’ line at 106 and the Brewers’ line tipping the scales at -126. Both teams are coming off a loss, with the Brewers having been soaked 3-7 by MIN and the Mariners having been washed out 0-8 by CLE. Mother nature isn’t playing nice either, with overcast skies, winds blowing from the North at 8.1 mph, and the mercury dipping at 37.4° with a humidity of 81%. So, whether you’re a Mariner hoping to sail to victory or a Brewer looking to ferment another win, it’s clear we’re in for a game that’s brewing up a storm!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 05, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 37.4° with 81% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SEA ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+106	-126	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-102	-118	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-208	+8	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

130W-111L

50.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

139W-103L

49.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/17/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+3.0
04/17/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+3.0
04/18/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+4.0
04/18/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Over	+4.0
04/19/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+1.0
04/19/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+1.0

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Logan Gilbert

ERA 3.822 | IP 184 | 12W-7L | KO 183

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-30-24	vsBOS	3-4W	7.0	4	1	8	Under
09-28-23	vsTEX	2-3W	6.0	3	2	5	Under
09-23-23	@TEX	0-2L	5.7	5	2	2	Under
09-17-23	vsLAD	6-1L	5.0	7	5	6	Under
09-11-23	vsLAA	8-5L	7.0	6	3	5	Over
09-06-23	@CIN	8-4W	5.3	7	3	9	Over
09-01-23	@NYM	1-2L	6.7	7	1	9	Under
08-26-23	vsKC	2-15W	7.0	2	1	7	Over
08-19-23	@HOU	10-3W	6.0	8	2	3	Over
08-14-23	@KC	6-7L	4.3	7	4	5	Over

Freddy Peralta

ERA 3.803 | IP 166 | 12W-10L | KO 210

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-29-24	@NYM	3-1W	6.0	1	1	8	Under
09-24-23	@MIA	1-6L	3.0	9	4	4	Under
09-18-23	@STL	0-1L	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-12-23	vsMIA	1-3W	6.3	2	1	9	Under
09-06-23	@PIT	4-5L	5.3	4	3	4	Over
09-01-23	vsPHI	5-7W	6.0	2	1	10	Over
08-26-23	vsSD	4-5W	5.3	2	2	9	Over
08-19-23	@TEX	6-1W	5.7	4	1	11	Under
08-13-23	@CWS	7-3W	6.0	4	0	6	Over
08-07-23	vsCOL	1-12W	7.0	1	1	13	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/05	@ CLE	0-8L	5	0	Push
04/04	@ CLE	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/03	@ CLE	5-4W	7	1	Over
04/02	@ BOS	1-5L	4	0	Under
04/01	@ BOS	4-3W	7	0	Under
03/31	@ BOS	1-0W	4	1	Under
03/30	@ BOS	4-6L	8	2	Over
10/03	@ TEX	1-0W	4	0	Under
10/02	@ TEX	1-6L	7	1	Under
10/01	@ TEX	8-0W	6	3	Push
09/30	@ TEX	3-2W	8	1	Under
09/29	@ HOU	3-8L	8	1	Over
09/28	@ HOU	6-2W	8	1	Push
09/27	@ HOU	1-5L	3	0	Under
09/26	vs TEX	8-9L	13	2	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/05	@ MIN	3-7L	7	2	Over
04/04	@ MIN	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/02	vs NYM	4-1W	9	0	Under
04/01	vs NYM	7-6W	16	1	Over
03/31	vs NYM	3-1W	8	1	Under
10/03	@ CHC	4-0W	6	1	Under
10/02	@ CHC	6-10L	12	2	Over
10/01	@ CHC	4-3W	8	0	Under
09/30	@ STL	3-0W	8	0	Under
09/29	@ STL	3-2W	7	0	Under
09/28	@ STL	1-4L	5	0	Under
09/26	vs MIA	1-6L	8	0	Under
09/25	vs MIA	4-5L	7	1	Over
09/24	vs MIA	16-1W	15	3	Over
09/23	vs STL	6-0W	10	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	7.0	9.3	0.266	0.44	45.3%	89.2%	3.6%
#2 Julio Rodriguez	8.0	10.4	0.275	0.486	36.5%	85.1%	4.9%
#3 Jorge Polanco	6.9	9.1	0.255	0.454	38.1%	83.4%	4.6%
#4 Mitch Haniger	7.0	9.3	0.209	0.365	28.9%	65.4%	2.8%
#5 Mitch Garver	7.7	10.3	0.271	0.503	43.2%	93.5%	6.5%
#6 Cal Raleigh	7.1	9.5	0.232	0.456	34.0%	79.6%	5.9%
#7 Ty France	5.4	7.1	0.253	0.37	38.4%	75.3%	2.1%
#8 Dominic Canzone	4.0	5.3	0.22	0.399	27.2%	67.1%	3.5%
#9 Josh Rojas	4.7	6.2	0.245	0.338	33.4%	67.2%	1.3%

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#2 William Contreras	7.7	10.2	0.289	0.459	41.6%	87.5%	3.2%
#3 Christian Yelich	7.4	9.8	0.278	0.451	42.7%	87.7%	3.5%
#4 Willy Adames	7.7	10.3	0.219	0.408	35.9%	76.7%	4.4%
#5 Jake Bauers	5.8	7.7	0.202	0.413	31.4%	72.7%	5.0%
#6 Rhys Hoskins	nan	9.7	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#7 Sal Frelick	5.5	7.3	0.246	0.351	39.8%	74.9%	1.6%
#8 Joey Ortiz	4.8	6.2	0.212	0.242	21.2%	45.5%	0.0%
#9 Brice Turang	5.1	6.5	0.222	0.304	31.9%	62.3%	1.5%