Rays vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready for a showdown at Fenway Park that’s as balanced as a seesaw! Both the Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox are sitting on identical records and are equally hungry for a win, making today’s matchup at 3:05 PM EST a nail-biter you won’t want to miss. These two American League rivals are deadlocked in the standings and coming off a game where the Rays showed up big, leaving the Sox to lick their wounds. With the betting world barely picking sides, an over/under that promises some action, and the chilly, breezy Boston weather setting the stage, this game is poised to tip the scales. So, as these two teams swing into action, let’s see who really “socks” it to whom in today’s game!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 29, 2024 03:05PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Overcast with winds from the NE at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 62.1° with 78% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TB ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-115	-105	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-116	-104	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-1	+1	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

164W-154L

53.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

165W-154L

46.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/28/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+0.5
09/28/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+0.5
05/13/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-0.5
05/13/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-0.5
05/14/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+0.5
05/14/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+0.5
05/15/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-1.5
05/15/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-1.5
05/16/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+3.5
05/16/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+3.5
05/20/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-3.5
05/20/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	0	Under	-3.5
05/21/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-1.5
05/21/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-1.5
05/22/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+4.5
05/22/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+4.5
09/17/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+2.5
09/17/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+2.5
09/18/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-5.5
09/18/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Under	-5.5
09/19/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-6.5
09/19/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-6.5
09/27/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-5.5
09/27/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-5.5
04/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-7.5
04/10/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Under	-7.5
04/11/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+0.5
04/11/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+0.5
04/12/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+7.5
04/12/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	9	Over	+7.5
04/13/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+3.5
04/13/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	9	Over	+3.5
06/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-3.5
06/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-3.5
06/03/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+4.5
06/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+4.5
06/03/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-2.5
06/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-2.5
06/04/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Under	-0.5
06/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-0.5
09/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+1.5
09/04/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Over	+1.5
09/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+5.5
09/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+5.5
09/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-4.5
09/06/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-4.5
09/26/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	9	Over	+7.5
09/26/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+7.5
09/27/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-3.5
09/27/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-3.5

Rays Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Jacob Lopez

ERA 5.226 | IP 10.3 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 8.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	@BOS	7-2W	6.0	3	2	7	Over
09-22-24	vsTOR	3-4W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-22-24	vsTOR	3-4W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-17-24	vsBOS	3-8W	7.0	2	2	6	Over
09-11-24	@PHI	2-3L	5.3	3	2	4	Under
09-06-24	@BAL	0-2L	6.0	2	2	5	Under
08-31-24	vsSD	4-11W	5.0	2	2	5	Over
08-20-24	@OAK	1-0W	7.7	3	0	4	Under
08-13-24	vsHOU	3-2L	7.0	7	3	6	Under
08-08-24	@STL	6-4W	4.3	6	4	2	Over
08-25-24	@LAD	1-3L	5.0	2	1	6	Under
05-05-24	vsNYM	6-7W	1.3	0	1	1	Over
04-30-24	@MIL	2-8L	3.0	3	5	1	Over
04-19-24	@NYY	3-5L	1.0	0	0	0	Push
10-01-23	@TOR	12-8W	5.3	8	6	4	Over
08-23-23	vsCOL	5-6W	3.0	2	0	1	Over
08-19-23	@LAA	18-4W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
08-14-23	@SF	10-2W	3.0	3	1	2	Over

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	vsTB	7-2L	4.3	5	6	6	Over
09-22-24	vsMIN	3-9W	7.7	8	3	7	Over
09-22-24	vsMIN	3-9W	7.7	8	3	7	Over
09-15-24	@NYY	2-5L	4.3	6	4	7	Under
09-10-24	vsBAL	5-3L	6.3	7	3	6	Push
09-03-24	@NYM	2-7L	6.0	1	2	8	Over
08-29-24	vsTOR	2-0L	6.7	6	2	3	Under
08-26-24	vsTOR	4-1L	1.3	0	0	2	Under
08-24-24	vsARI	4-1L	5.0	3	2	3	Under
08-18-24	@BAL	2-4L	5.3	2	3	4	Under

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	vs BOS	7-2W	10	1	Over
09/29	vs BOS	2-1W	5	0	Under
09/28	vs DET	3-4L	7	0	Under
09/27	vs DET	1-7L	7	1	Push
09/26	vs DET	1-2L	3	1	Under
09/24	@ TOR	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/24	@ TOR	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/23	@ TOR	3-2W	7	1	Under
09/22	@ TOR	1-0W	6	1	Under
09/21	@ BOS	2-0W	7	0	Under
09/20	@ BOS	1-2L	8	0	Under
09/19	@ BOS	8-3W	12	4	Over
09/17	vs CLE	0-2L	4	0	Under
09/16	vs CLE	1-6L	6	0	Under
09/15	vs CLE	3-1W	8	2	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	@ TB	2-7L	5	1	Over
09/29	@ TB	1-2L	6	0	Under
09/27	vs TOR	1-6L	7	0	Under
09/26	vs TOR	6-5W	11	0	Over
09/25	vs TOR	4-1W	5	0	Under
09/24	@ MIN	9-3W	10	1	Over
09/24	@ MIN	8-1W	11	3	Over
09/24	@ MIN	8-1W	11	3	Over
09/24	@ MIN	9-3W	10	1	Over
09/22	@ MIN	2-4L	9	0	Under
09/21	vs TB	0-2L	1	0	Under
09/20	vs TB	2-1W	6	1	Under
09/19	vs TB	3-8L	3	2	Over
09/17	vs NYY	2-5L	8	1	Under
09/16	vs NYY	7-1W	9	0	Push

Team’s Batting Order

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	8.7	11.2	0.284	0.420	0.380	0.800	0.326	0.025
#2 Jacob Lopez	4.4	8.7	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#2 Brandon Lowe	7.9	10.5	0.244	0.473	0.343	0.816	0.332	0.055
#3 Junior Caminero	8.7	11.1	0.255	0.436	0.327	0.764	0.314	0.036
#4 Jonathan Aranda	6.2	8.2	0.240	0.457	0.341	0.798	0.326	0.054
#5 Jonny DeLuca	6.5	8.3	0.218	0.332	0.302	0.634	0.264	0.018
#6 Josh Lowe	7.8	9.9	0.242	0.395	0.334	0.729	0.299	0.029
#7 Christopher Morel	6.7	8.8	0.192	0.332	0.326	0.658	0.272	0.036
#8 Ben Rortvedt	4.4	5.7	0.228	0.303	0.355	0.659	0.272	0.010
#9 Taylor Walls	5.3	6.8	0.183	0.248	0.326	0.573	0.239	0.005

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.0	10.3	0.283	0.492	0.375	0.867	0.351	0.031
#2 Trevor Story	6.8	8.7	0.255	0.388	0.378	0.765	0.312	0.020
#3 Triston Casas	7.6	10.2	0.247	0.507	0.400	0.907	0.361	0.074
#4 Luis Garcia	9.0	9.0	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#4 Tyler O’Neill	6.6	8.8	0.241	0.514	0.388	0.902	0.360	0.076
#5 Masataka Yoshida	6.1	8.0	0.287	0.423	0.397	0.820	0.334	0.026
#6 Connor Wong	5.6	7.2	0.280	0.424	0.365	0.789	0.324	0.029
#7 Wilyer Abreu	5.7	7.6	0.253	0.458	0.360	0.818	0.333	0.037
#8 Vaughn Grissom	4.7	5.8	0.189	0.208	0.255	0.462	0.198	0.000
#9 Nick Sogard	4.0	5.2	0.286	0.364	0.377	0.740	0.304	0.000

Rays Notable Injuries

Jeffrey Springs OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 7.6

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Rafael Devers OUT (3B): Avg: 0.271 SLG:0.509 Last game: 09/22/24. Impact: 1.9
David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
Rob Refsnyder OUT (OF): Avg: 0.286 SLG:0.476 Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 2.2
Kenley Jansen OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/24/24. Impact: 1.1
Brennan Bernardino OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 0.6