Royals vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some major league excitement as the Kansas City Royals gallop into Truist Park, ready to duel it out with the Atlanta Braves in a showdown that’s got everyone buzzing! With the Royals trying to lasso their way closer in the American League and the Braves swinging to climb the ranks in the National, today’s game is set to be a spectacle. Scheduled for a 03:20 PM EST first pitch under a partly cloudy sky, the stage is perfectly set. The Braves are riding high on yesterday’s victory, while the Royals are itching to turn the tables and settle the score. With the betting lines tipping in favor of the home team and an over/under that promises some action, it’s a perfect day for some ball. So, whether you’re a Royal fan or a Braves buff, it’s time to see if Kansas City can truly ‘royalize’ their strategy or if Atlanta will keep ‘braving’ the odds!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 29, 2024 03:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WSW at 4.5 mph. Temperature is at 70.0° with 76% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+200	-245	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+170	-210	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-30	+35	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

122W-198L

37.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

191W-125L

63.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/28/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-5.5
09/28/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-5.5
09/27/24	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-5.5
09/27/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-5.5
04/14/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+4.5
04/14/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+4.5
04/15/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+3.5
04/15/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+3.5
04/16/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+0.5
04/16/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+0.5

Royals Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 6.471 | IP 40.3 | 0.0W-4.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	@ATL	1-2L	2.0	1	0	3	Under
09-22-24	vsSF	2-0L	7.0	3	2	5	Under
09-22-24	vsSF	2-0L	7.0	3	2	5	Under
09-16-24	vsDET	7-6L	4.7	8	4	4	Over
09-10-24	@NYY	5-0W	7.0	3	0	10	Under
09-04-24	vsCLE	1-4W	7.0	6	1	4	Under
08-30-24	@HOU	2-3L	7.0	6	1	9	Under
08-25-24	vsPHI	11-3L	5.3	11	6	3	Over
08-19-24	vsLAA	3-5W	7.0	4	2	8	Under
08-13-24	@MIN	3-13L	4.0	9	8	4	Over
08-25-24	vsPHI	11-3L	1.0	4	5	1	Over
08-24-24	vsPHI	11-2L	1.0	3	2	2	Over
08-20-24	vsLAA	9-5L	1.0	1	2	1	Over
08-13-24	@MIN	3-13L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
08-09-24	vsSTL	8-5L	0.3	1	2	0	Over
08-07-24	vsBOS	4-8W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
08-06-24	vsBOS	6-5L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
08-01-24	@DET	7-1W	1.0	0	0	2	Under
07-29-24	@CWS	8-5W	1.0	0	0	0	Over

Reynaldo Lopez

ERA 2.005 | IP 134.7 | 8.0W-5.0L | KO 146.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	vsKC	1-2W	6.0	2	1	9	Under
09-10-24	@WAS	12-0W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
09-05-24	vsCOL	3-1L	6.0	5	2	11	Under
08-30-24	@PHI	7-2W	6.0	4	1	6	Over
08-25-24	vsWAS	5-1L	6.0	3	1	7	Under
08-20-24	vsPHI	1-3W	5.0	5	1	10	Under
07-28-24	@NYM	9-2W	3.0	3	0	2	Over
07-22-24	vsCIN	4-1L	6.0	7	4	5	Under
07-13-24	@SD	0-4L	6.0	11	3	2	Under
07-07-24	vsPHI	0-6W	6.0	2	0	6	Under

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	vs ATL	1-2L	3	0	Under
09/29	vs ATL	0-3L	3	0	Under
09/28	vs WAS	7-4W	8	1	Over
09/27	vs WAS	3-0W	7	0	Under
09/26	vs WAS	1-0W	8	0	Under
09/24	@ SF	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/24	@ SF	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/23	@ SF	0-9L	5	0	Over
09/22	@ SF	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/20	@ DET	2-4L	7	0	Under
09/19	@ DET	1-3L	7	0	Under
09/18	@ DET	6-7L	11	1	Over
09/17	vs PIT	3-4L	8	0	Under
09/16	vs PIT	5-1W	7	1	Under
09/15	vs PIT	8-3W	8	3	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	@ KC	2-1W	5	1	Under
09/29	@ KC	3-0W	4	1	Under
09/26	@ NYM	5-1W	10	2	Under
09/24	vs MIA	5-4W	11	2	Over
09/24	vs MIA	5-4W	11	2	Over
09/23	vs MIA	6-2W	14	3	Under
09/22	vs MIA	3-4L	9	2	Under
09/21	vs CIN	15-3W	18	6	Over
09/20	vs CIN	7-1W	10	2	Under
09/19	vs CIN	5-6L	12	3	Over
09/18	@ LAD	0-9L	4	0	Over
09/17	@ LAD	2-9L	4	0	Over
09/16	@ LAD	10-1W	10	0	Over
09/15	@ LAD	6-2W	10	2	Under
09/13	vs WAS	1-5L	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Tommy Pham	7.3	9.3	0.248	0.368	0.333	0.701	0.289	0.021
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	8.7	11.3	0.333	0.593	0.437	1.030	0.411	0.051
#3 Michael Massey	6.6	8.6	0.258	0.443	0.317	0.760	0.314	0.040
#4 Salvador Perez	6.8	8.9	0.269	0.449	0.363	0.812	0.332	0.044
#5 MJ Melendez	6.3	8.2	0.206	0.400	0.299	0.699	0.288	0.042
#6 Yuli Gurriel	5.9	7.8	0.241	0.296	0.407	0.704	0.286	0.000
#6 Will Smith	5.3	13.1	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#7 Adam Frazier	5.5	7.2	0.200	0.281	0.312	0.592	0.249	0.012
#8 Maikel Garcia	5.3	6.8	0.232	0.333	0.303	0.636	0.264	0.012
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.2	6.8	0.232	0.371	0.313	0.684	0.283	0.021

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Harris II	9.5	12.2	0.264	0.426	0.324	0.750	0.310	0.037
#2 Ozzie Albies	8.7	11.4	0.247	0.398	0.321	0.720	0.298	0.026
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.7	11.4	0.306	0.555	0.432	0.987	0.392	0.066
#4 Matt Olson	8.8	11.8	0.250	0.466	0.387	0.853	0.343	0.050
#5 Jorge Soler	7.4	9.9	0.244	0.444	0.397	0.841	0.338	0.043
#6 Ramon Laureano	6.2	8.0	0.252	0.424	0.327	0.752	0.311	0.036
#7 Travis d’Arnaud	6.2	8.2	0.232	0.416	0.329	0.745	0.307	0.044
#8 Gio Urshela	5.3	6.8	0.251	0.367	0.306	0.673	0.280	0.021
#9 Orlando Arcia	5.1	6.5	0.217	0.355	0.292	0.647	0.269	0.031

Royals Notable Injuries

Vinnie Pasquantino OUT (1B): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.447 Last game: 08/31/24. Impact: 2.9
James McArthur OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 0.7
Chris Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/15/24. Impact: -0.3