Orioles vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at Target Field as the high-flying Baltimore Orioles swoop into enemy territory to battle the Minnesota Twins in a clash that’s got everyone on the edge of their seats! With the Orioles just a few games shy of the top spot in the American League and the Twins trying to claw back into contention, today’s matchup, kicking off at the stroke of 3:10 PM EST, is more than just a game—it’s a statement. The stakes? Sky-high with an over/under of 7.5, hinting at a tight contest under the sunny, breezy Minneapolis skies. Fresh off their dominant victory yesterday, the Orioles are looking to repeat their performance, while the Twins are itching to turn the tables and even the score. As the Orioles aim to nest another win and the Twins look to mine their home field advantage, this game is shaping up to be nothing short of legendary—let’s see who truly rules the roost!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 29, 2024 03:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Sunny with winds from the E at 5.4 mph. Temperature is at 64.0° with 73% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+141	-170	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+117	-140	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-24	+30	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

160W-161L

46.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

171W-145L

53.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/28/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+3.5
09/28/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+3.5
04/15/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+3.5
04/15/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+3.5
04/16/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+6.5
04/16/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+6.5
04/17/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
04/17/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-1.5
09/27/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+1.5
09/27/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+1.5
06/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+1.5
06/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Over	+1.5
07/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-6.5
07/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-6.5
07/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
07/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-4.5
07/07/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-3.5
07/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-3.5
07/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+0.5
07/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+0.5
07/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	15	Over	+9.5
07/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+9.5

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Albert Suarez

ERA 3.867 | IP 132.7 | 8.0W-8.0L | KO 110.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-22-24	vsDET	4-3L	5.0	5	4	6	Under
09-22-24	vsDET	4-3L	5.0	5	4	6	Under
09-17-24	vsSF	10-0L	3.3	6	4	3	Over
09-10-24	@BOS	5-3W	6.0	4	1	8	Push
09-04-24	vsCWS	8-1L	4.3	8	6	2	Over
08-30-24	@COL	5-3W	7.0	8	2	4	Push
08-24-24	vsHOU	2-3W	5.7	4	2	3	Under
08-18-24	vsBOS	2-4W	6.0	7	0	6	Under
08-11-24	@TB	1-2L	6.7	4	0	5	Under
08-06-24	@TOR	2-5L	5.0	2	0	6	Under

Zebby Matthews

ERA 6.165 | IP 42.3 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 49.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	vsBAL	9-2L	3.0	7	6	5	Over
09-22-24	@BOS	3-9L	4.7	2	1	6	Over
09-22-24	@BOS	3-9L	4.7	2	1	6	Over
09-17-24	@CLE	4-1W	4.7	5	1	5	Under
09-11-24	vsLAA	4-6W	3.3	5	2	5	Over
09-06-24	@KC	0-5L	5.0	9	4	4	Under
08-31-24	vsTOR	15-0L	2.0	10	9	5	Over
08-25-24	vsSTL	3-2L	5.0	4	1	7	Under
08-19-24	@SD	3-5L	5.0	4	5	1	Push
08-13-24	vsKC	3-13W	5.0	5	2	5	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	vs MIN	9-2W	16	3	Over
09/29	vs MIN	7-2W	12	2	Over
09/28	vs NYY	1-10L	7	0	Over
09/27	vs NYY	9-7W	17	0	Over
09/26	vs NYY	5-3W	8	3	Push
09/24	@ DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/24	@ DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/23	@ DET	4-6L	10	0	Over
09/22	@ DET	7-1W	9	5	Push
09/21	@ SF	5-3W	10	1	Push
09/20	@ SF	3-5L	7	0	Push
09/19	@ SF	0-10L	5	0	Over
09/17	vs DET	2-4L	7	1	Under
09/16	vs DET	4-2W	8	1	Under
09/15	vs DET	0-1L	1	0	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	@ BAL	2-9L	7	1	Over
09/29	@ BAL	2-7L	4	0	Over
09/28	@ MIA	6-8L	12	1	Over
09/27	@ MIA	8-3W	8	1	Over
09/26	@ MIA	1-4L	8	0	Under
09/24	vs BOS	3-9L	8	0	Over
09/24	vs BOS	1-8L	4	0	Over
09/24	vs BOS	1-8L	4	0	Over
09/24	vs BOS	3-9L	8	0	Over
09/22	vs BOS	4-2W	13	0	Under
09/21	vs CLE	2-3L	3	0	Under
09/20	vs CLE	4-5L	8	0	Over
09/19	vs CLE	4-1W	8	1	Under
09/18	vs CLE	3-4L	8	0	Under
09/17	@ CIN	9-2W	12	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	10.2	13.4	0.283	0.528	0.422	0.950	0.378	0.058
#2 Jordan Westburg	9.2	12.0	0.265	0.485	0.333	0.818	0.336	0.044
#3 Anthony Santander	9.0	12.0	0.232	0.495	0.343	0.838	0.340	0.072
#4 Colton Cowser	8.1	10.7	0.240	0.446	0.360	0.806	0.327	0.048
#5 Adley Rutschman	7.6	10.0	0.256	0.399	0.360	0.758	0.310	0.034
#6 Ryan O’Hearn	7.3	9.5	0.260	0.422	0.363	0.786	0.320	0.034
#7 Ryan Mountcastle	7.3	9.4	0.272	0.429	0.332	0.761	0.314	0.028
#8 Cedric Mullins	7.0	9.1	0.230	0.405	0.333	0.739	0.303	0.043
#9 Ramon Urias	6.2	8.2	0.255	0.423	0.358	0.781	0.319	0.040

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Byron Buxton	9.6	12.6	0.278	0.518	0.364	0.882	0.360	0.050
#2 Carlos Correa	8.6	11.4	0.305	0.508	0.440	0.948	0.377	0.043
#3 Trevor Larnach	7.0	9.3	0.257	0.425	0.376	0.801	0.325	0.041
#4 Royce Lewis	9.0	12.1	0.231	0.447	0.329	0.776	0.317	0.054
#5 Carlos Santana	8.0	10.6	0.235	0.411	0.367	0.778	0.316	0.042
#6 Kyle Farmer	6.4	8.5	0.221	0.359	0.341	0.700	0.289	0.023
#7 Ryan Jeffers	6.2	8.3	0.225	0.429	0.337	0.765	0.314	0.051
#8 Willi Castro	6.0	7.9	0.248	0.386	0.379	0.764	0.312	0.021
#9 Austin Martin	5.3	6.9	0.249	0.345	0.345	0.690	0.285	0.004

Orioles Notable Injuries

Burch Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 0.4

Twins Notable Injuries

Matt Wallner OUT (OF): Avg: 0.265 SLG:0.525 Last game: 09/26/24. Impact: 2.0
Trevor Larnach OUT (OF): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.425 Last game: 09/28/24. Impact: 2.6
Jose Miranda OUT (1B/3B): Avg: 0.284 SLG:0.44 Last game: 09/26/24. Impact: 0.5
Max Kepler OUT (OF): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.389 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.1