Astros vs Guardians Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into the excitement as the Houston Astros clash with the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field! With both teams neck-and-neck in the American League standings, today’s showdown promises fireworks. The Astros, fresh off a nail-biting win, are looking to keep the momentum against the Guardians, who are eager to turn the tables after yesterday’s close call. The first pitch is slated for 03:10 PM EST under an overcast sky, with a brisk breeze that might just carry a few homers over the fence. Odds makers are stirring the pot with an over/under of 7.5, making every swing and pitch count even more. So, as these teams prepare to battle it out, remember: in today’s game, it’s not just about guarding bases or navigating stars, it’s about capturing victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 29, 2024 03:10PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Overcast with winds from the ENE at 9.2 mph. Temperature is at 71.1° with 84% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+153	-185	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+133	-159	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-20	+26	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

185W-137L

42.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

176W-141L

57.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/28/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-0.5
09/28/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-0.5
04/30/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	9	Over	+11.5
04/30/24	Houston Astros HOU	10	Over	+11.5
05/01/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-2.5
05/01/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-2.5
05/02/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Over	+2.5
05/02/24	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+2.5
09/27/24	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-0.5
09/27/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-0.5
06/09/23	Houston Astros HOU	9	Over	+11.5
06/09/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	10	Over	+11.5
06/10/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+2.5
06/10/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Over	+2.5
06/11/23	Houston Astros HOU	0	Under	-2.5
06/11/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-2.5
07/31/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+2.5
07/31/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Over	+2.5
08/01/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-5.5
08/01/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-5.5
08/02/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-2.5
08/02/23	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-2.5

Astros Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	@CLE	4-3W	6.0	7	3	5	Under
09-20-24	vsLAA	7-9W	4.7	8	6	4	Over
09-14-24	@LAA	5-3W	5.0	4	2	2	Over
09-08-24	vsARI	12-6L	3.0	8	8	0	Over
09-02-24	@CIN	3-5L	4.7	8	5	3	Over
08-27-24	@PHI	0-5L	5.0	7	4	3	Under
08-21-24	vsBOS	4-1L	5.0	4	2	6	Under
06-09-24	@LAA	7-9L	5.0	7	4	3	Over
06-03-24	vsSTL	4-7W	5.0	7	4	4	Over
05-29-24	@SEA	1-2L	7.0	3	1	9	Under

Ben Lively

ERA 3.831 | IP 145.7 | 13.0W-9.0L | KO 111.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	vsHOU	4-3L	4.0	5	4	4	Under
09-20-24	@STL	5-1W	5.0	3	1	2	Under
09-15-24	vsTB	0-2W	5.0	4	0	2	Under
09-10-24	@CWS	5-0W	2.0	1	0	2	Under
09-04-24	@KC	1-4L	4.0	7	4	3	Under
08-30-24	vsPIT	8-10W	4.3	9	6	3	Over
08-24-24	vsTEX	5-13W	6.7	5	3	4	Over
08-18-24	@MIL	0-2L	6.0	5	2	5	Under
08-12-24	vsCHC	8-9W	3.7	5	3	1	Over
08-07-24	vsARI	7-3L	5.0	4	4	2	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	vs CLE	4-3W	9	0	Under
09/29	vs CLE	5-2W	13	2	Under
09/27	@ SEA	1-8L	4	0	Over
09/26	@ SEA	4-3W	6	3	Under
09/25	@ SEA	1-6L	4	1	Under
09/24	@ LAA	8-9L	12	2	Over
09/24	@ LAA	8-9L	12	2	Over
09/23	@ LAA	10-4W	20	3	Over
09/22	@ LAA	9-7W	14	3	Over
09/21	@ LAA	3-1W	6	0	Under
09/20	vs SD	0-4L	2	0	Under
09/19	vs SD	3-3L	9	0	Under
09/18	vs SD	1-3L	6	0	Under
09/17	vs LAA	5-4W	8	1	Over
09/16	vs LAA	5-3W	10	2	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	@ HOU	3-4L	9	1	Under
09/29	@ HOU	2-5L	3	0	Under
09/27	@ CIN	5-2W	8	2	Under
09/26	@ CIN	6-1W	10	2	Under
09/24	vs STL	1-1L	2	0	Under
09/24	vs STL	1-1L	2	0	Under
09/23	vs STL	5-6L	10	2	Over
09/22	vs STL	5-1W	8	3	Under
09/21	@ MIN	3-2W	11	1	Under
09/20	@ MIN	5-4W	7	2	Over
09/19	@ MIN	1-4L	8	1	Under
09/18	@ MIN	4-3W	10	1	Under
09/17	@ TB	2-0W	7	0	Under
09/16	@ TB	6-1W	8	2	Under
09/15	@ TB	1-3L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	9.0	11.5	0.295	0.444	0.382	0.826	0.337	0.033
#2 Kyle Tucker	10.2	13.6	0.286	0.579	0.496	1.075	0.413	0.082
#3 Alex Bregman	8.2	10.7	0.263	0.461	0.348	0.809	0.331	0.046
#4 Yainer Diaz	7.3	9.4	0.304	0.447	0.348	0.795	0.328	0.027
#4 Luis Garcia	9.0	9.0	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#5 Jon Singleton	6.6	8.7	0.239	0.392	0.369	0.761	0.309	0.037
#6 Victor Caratini	7.2	9.3	0.268	0.404	0.372	0.776	0.317	0.032
#7 Jeremy Pena	6.9	8.9	0.264	0.394	0.331	0.724	0.301	0.025
#8 Jason Heyward	5.7	7.6	0.205	0.411	0.326	0.737	0.302	0.045
#9 Mauricio Dubon	5.5	7.1	0.269	0.361	0.316	0.677	0.282	0.010

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	8.6	11.0	0.293	0.427	0.415	0.842	0.339	0.029
#2 Kyle Manzardo	8.2	10.6	0.233	0.418	0.301	0.719	0.298	0.034
#3 Jose Ramirez	8.5	11.2	0.277	0.536	0.364	0.900	0.365	0.063
#4 Josh Naylor	7.6	10.2	0.241	0.451	0.357	0.807	0.328	0.055
#5 Lane Thomas	7.7	10.1	0.235	0.399	0.343	0.742	0.304	0.032
#6 Andres Gimenez	6.8	8.7	0.246	0.334	0.317	0.651	0.272	0.016
#7 Will Brennan	5.7	7.2	0.262	0.386	0.325	0.711	0.294	0.024
#8 Bo Naylor	5.1	6.7	0.202	0.353	0.291	0.644	0.267	0.037
#9 Brayan Rocchio	5.2	6.9	0.209	0.322	0.348	0.670	0.277	0.021

Astros Notable Injuries

Ben Gamel OUT (OF): Avg: 0.247 SLG:0.333 Last game: 09/16/24. Impact: 1.7
Chas McCormick OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.306 Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 2.2
Tayler Scott OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 0.8