Pirates vs Yankees Game Breakdown

Get ready to watch sparks fly at Yankee Stadium as the Pittsburgh Pirates sail into the Bronx, ready to clash with the New York Yankees in a game that’s sure to be a spectacle. With the Pirates trying to find their treasure at 17 games back and the Yankees defending their throne right at the top of the league, this afternoon’s matchup at 3:05 PM EST is more than just a game—it’s a battle for pride and position. Despite the gloomy forecast promising heavy rain and brisk winds, the heat will definitely be on with the over/under teasing at 8.5. Fresh off a surprising twist where the Pirates plundered a victory against the Yankees just yesterday, today’s game is anyone’s guess. So, as the Pirates aim to hoist their colors and the Yankees look to rule the seas, expect nothing less than an epic showdown where only one can sail away victorious.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 29, 2024 03:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Heavy rain with winds from the ENE at 9.6 mph. Temperature is at 62.1° with 78% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+165	-200	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+156	-190	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-9	+10	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

122W-196L

39.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

185W-134L

60.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/28/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	9	Over	+4.5
09/28/24	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+4.5
09/27/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-2.5
09/27/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-2.5
09/15/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+3.5
09/15/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+3.5
09/16/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+0.5
09/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+0.5
09/17/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-3.5
09/17/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-3.5

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Paul Skenes

ERA 1.891 | IP 138.0 | 12.0W-3.0L | KO 179.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	@NYY	9-4W	2.0	0	0	3	Over
09-22-24	@CIN	2-0W	5.0	2	0	9	Under
09-22-24	@CIN	2-0W	5.0	2	0	9	Under
09-16-24	@STL	0-4L	6.0	4	1	7	Under
09-09-24	vsMIA	2-3W	6.0	6	1	9	Under
09-03-24	@CHC	5-0W	5.0	4	0	6	Under
08-28-24	vsCHC	14-10L	5.0	5	3	6	Over
08-22-24	vsCIN	0-7W	6.0	2	0	9	Under
08-16-24	vsSEA	3-5W	6.0	3	2	6	Push
08-10-24	@LAD	1-4L	6.0	6	4	8	Under

Luis Gil

ERA 3.611 | IP 157.0 | 16.0W-7.0L | KO 176.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	vsPIT	9-4L	5.7	6	6	5	Over
09-22-24	@OAK	7-4W	5.3	5	4	5	Over
09-22-24	@OAK	7-4W	5.3	5	4	5	Over
09-17-24	@SEA	11-2W	5.0	4	1	5	Over
09-11-24	vsKC	3-4W	5.0	5	1	5	Under
09-06-24	@CHC	3-0W	6.0	1	0	7	Under
08-20-24	vsCLE	9-5L	3.0	3	3	3	Over
08-12-24	@CWS	2-12L	4.0	7	4	3	Over
08-07-24	vsLAA	2-5W	5.0	2	0	6	Under
07-29-24	@PHI	14-4W	5.3	5	3	8	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	vs NYY	9-4W	8	5	Over
09/29	vs NYY	4-2W	6	3	Under
09/28	@ MIL	2-5L	5	1	Under
09/27	@ MIL	2-1W	3	0	Under
09/26	@ MIL	2-7L	10	0	Over
09/24	vs CIN	2-0W	7	2	Under
09/24	vs CIN	2-0W	7	2	Under
09/23	vs CIN	1-7L	7	1	Push
09/22	vs CIN	3-8L	9	1	Over
09/21	vs STL	3-2W	8	1	Under
09/20	vs STL	5-10L	13	1	Over
09/19	vs STL	1-3L	8	1	Under
09/18	vs STL	0-4L	4	0	Under
09/17	@ KC	4-3W	7	0	Under
09/16	@ KC	1-5L	9	0	Under

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	@ PIT	4-9L	7	1	Over
09/29	@ PIT	2-4L	6	0	Under
09/28	@ BAL	10-1W	8	3	Over
09/27	@ BAL	7-9L	10	2	Over
09/26	@ BAL	3-5L	7	1	Push
09/24	vs OAK	7-4W	9	3	Over
09/24	vs OAK	7-4W	9	3	Over
09/23	vs OAK	10-0W	14	3	Over
09/22	vs OAK	3-2W	8	0	Under
09/21	vs SEA	2-3L	6	1	Under
09/20	vs SEA	2-1W	3	0	Under
09/19	vs SEA	11-2W	12	2	Over
09/17	@ BOS	5-2W	9	2	Under
09/16	@ BOS	1-7L	5	0	Push
09/15	@ BOS	5-4W	7	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	6.9	8.6	0.269	0.376	0.325	0.701	0.292	0.017
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.3	10.8	0.276	0.446	0.378	0.825	0.335	0.037
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.2	10.7	0.259	0.457	0.360	0.817	0.333	0.041
#4 Nick Gonzales	6.3	8.1	0.270	0.394	0.332	0.727	0.301	0.020
#5 Joshua Palacios	5.9	7.8	0.197	0.295	0.344	0.639	0.264	0.033
#6 Jared Triolo	6.0	7.9	0.215	0.314	0.334	0.648	0.268	0.023
#7 Yasmani Grandal	5.5	7.3	0.229	0.402	0.341	0.743	0.304	0.042
#8 Nick Yorke	5.1	6.7	0.237	0.474	0.316	0.789	0.323	0.079
#9 Billy Cook	4.6	6.0	0.224	0.429	0.224	0.653	0.274	0.061
#9 Jose Rojas	7.1	7.1	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jasson Dominguez	6.5	8.6	0.193	0.368	0.368	0.737	0.297	0.053
#2 Juan Soto	8.6	11.6	0.289	0.571	0.524	1.096	0.416	0.071
#3 Aaron Judge	8.4	11.3	0.327	0.713	0.579	1.291	0.480	0.105
#4 Austin Wells	5.5	7.3	0.231	0.400	0.372	0.772	0.313	0.037
#5 Giancarlo Stanton	6.1	8.2	0.234	0.477	0.332	0.809	0.330	0.064
#6 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	6.2	8.0	0.255	0.435	0.355	0.790	0.322	0.043
#7 Anthony Rizzo	5.4	7.1	0.226	0.331	0.334	0.666	0.277	0.023
#8 Oswaldo Cabrera	4.6	6.0	0.250	0.368	0.321	0.689	0.286	0.027
#9 Jon Berti	5.3	6.7	0.286	0.333	0.381	0.714	0.294	0.016

Pirates Notable Injuries

Henry Davis OUT (C): Avg: 0.144 SLG:0.212 Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 0.6
Kyle Nicolas OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 0.1

Yankees Notable Injuries

Nestor Cortes OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/20/24. Impact: 7.1
DJ LeMahieu OUT (1B): Avg: 0.204 SLG:0.259 Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 1.6
Jake Cousins OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 1.1
Mark Leiter Jr. OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/27/24. Impact: 1.6