Marlins vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into a clash of underdogs as the Miami Marlins swim north to face the Toronto Blue Jays at the Rogers Centre today at the stroke of 3:07 PM EST! With the Marlins trying to make a splash from 33 games back in the National League and the Blue Jays flapping 19 games behind in the American League, both teams are hungry for a win. The betting lines are buzzing with an over/under of 8.0, favoring the Jays slightly in what’s expected to be a cool, overcast day perfect for some baseball. Fresh off a surprising Marlins victory that saw them reel in the Jays with an 8-1 score, tensions are high for a rematch. Will the Marlins keep swimming upstream, or will the Blue Jays soar to even the score? Let’s find out if today’s game will have the Marlins fishing for runs or the Blue Jays flying home victorious!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 29, 2024 03:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Overcast with winds from the NE at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 68.2° with 83% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+130	-155	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+121	-144	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-9	+11	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

123W-195L

45.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

175W-147L

54.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+1.0
09/28/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Over	+1.0
09/27/24	Miami Marlins MIA	15	Over	+12.0
09/27/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+12.0
06/19/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Over	+3.0
06/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	11	Over	+3.0
06/20/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-6.0
06/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-6.0
06/21/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+1.0
06/21/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+1.0

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Xzavion Curry

ERA 4.74 | IP 43.7 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 28.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	@TOR	8-1W	5.0	2	1	1	Over
09-22-24	vsATL	5-4L	1.0	1	1	0	Over
09-22-24	vsATL	5-4L	1.0	1	1	0	Over
09-21-24	vsATL	6-2L	0.3	0	0	1	Push
09-18-24	vsLAD	8-4L	2.7	0	0	3	Over
09-11-24	@PIT	1-3L	4.7	2	0	3	Under
09-06-24	vsPHI	16-2L	1.0	4	4	2	Over
09-05-24	vsPHI	5-2L	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-01-24	@SF	7-5W	1.7	0	0	2	Over
08-31-24	@SF	4-3W	0.7	0	0	0	Under

Yariel Rodriguez

ERA 4.465 | IP 86.7 | 1.0W-8.0L | KO 85.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	vsMIA	8-1L	5.0	4	3	5	Over
09-21-24	@TB	2-3L	4.0	4	3	3	Under
09-15-24	vsSTL	2-3W	4.3	3	1	2	Under
09-08-24	@ATL	3-4L	5.0	2	1	6	Under
09-01-24	@MIN	3-4L	3.0	3	0	3	Under
08-27-24	@BOS	3-6L	5.0	8	6	3	Over
08-26-24	@BOS	4-1W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
08-21-24	vsCIN	11-7L	4.3	6	5	6	Over
08-16-24	@CHC	5-6L	5.0	4	4	5	Over
08-10-24	vsOAK	1-0L	5.7	5	1	5	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	vs TOR	8-1W	11	1	Over
09/29	vs TOR	14-5W	17	3	Over
09/28	vs MIN	8-6W	13	0	Over
09/27	vs MIN	3-8L	11	1	Over
09/26	vs MIN	4-1W	10	1	Under
09/24	@ ATL	4-5L	9	4	Over
09/24	@ ATL	4-5L	9	4	Over
09/23	@ ATL	2-6L	6	0	Push
09/22	@ ATL	4-3W	8	0	Under
09/21	@ LAD	4-20L	9	3	Over
09/20	@ LAD	4-8L	8	0	Over
09/19	@ LAD	11-9W	15	2	Over
09/17	vs WAS	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/16	vs WAS	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/15	vs WAS	1-4L	8	1	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	@ MIA	1-8L	4	1	Over
09/29	@ MIA	5-14L	12	1	Over
09/27	@ BOS	6-1W	11	1	Under
09/26	@ BOS	5-6L	5	0	Over
09/25	@ BOS	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/24	vs TB	3-4L	11	0	Under
09/24	vs TB	3-4L	11	0	Under
09/23	vs TB	2-3L	9	0	Under
09/22	vs TB	0-1L	5	0	Under
09/21	vs TEX	4-0W	7	2	Under
09/20	vs TEX	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/19	vs TEX	8-13L	13	1	Over
09/17	@ STL	3-2W	6	1	Under
09/16	@ STL	7-2W	10	1	Over
09/15	@ STL	4-3W	10	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	8.5	10.6	0.316	0.411	0.437	0.848	0.340	0.004
#2 Connor Norby	7.9	10.4	0.240	0.458	0.324	0.782	0.321	0.056
#3 Jake Burger	8.7	11.4	0.249	0.463	0.324	0.787	0.324	0.056
#4 Jesus Sanchez	7.8	10.2	0.254	0.428	0.349	0.777	0.318	0.039
#5 Jonah Bride	7.1	9.4	0.268	0.469	0.412	0.882	0.353	0.053
#6 Griffin Conine	6.5	8.5	0.287	0.487	0.375	0.863	0.351	0.037
#7 Otto Lopez	6.5	8.2	0.272	0.377	0.337	0.713	0.295	0.015
#8 Kyle Stowers	5.1	6.7	0.200	0.323	0.282	0.605	0.253	0.015
#9 Jhonny Pereda	5.8	7.1	0.231	0.231	0.256	0.487	0.209	0.000

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	9.1	11.9	0.219	0.370	0.341	0.711	0.291	0.035
#2 Nathan Lukes	7.9	10.2	0.296	0.432	0.420	0.852	0.341	0.012
#3 V. Guerrero	9.2	12.0	0.324	0.539	0.446	0.985	0.392	0.047
#4 Spencer Horwitz	7.8	10.3	0.265	0.435	0.417	0.852	0.342	0.037
#5 Alejandro Kirk	7.4	9.7	0.253	0.359	0.365	0.724	0.297	0.015
#6 Ernie Clement	6.5	8.3	0.265	0.411	0.297	0.708	0.295	0.028
#7 Addison Barger	6.2	8.3	0.196	0.349	0.273	0.622	0.260	0.033
#8 Davis Schneider	6.3	8.4	0.189	0.341	0.318	0.659	0.272	0.033
#9 Joey Loperfido	5.4	7.0	0.218	0.357	0.286	0.643	0.268	0.017

Marlins Notable Injuries

Max Meyer OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 3.6
John McMillon OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/13/24. Impact: 2.0
Calvin Faucher OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Declan Cronin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/27/24. Impact: 1.1

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Daulton Varsho OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.403 Last game: 09/13/24. Impact: 2.1
Will Wagner OUT (2B): Avg: 0.305 SLG:0.451 Last game: 09/15/24. Impact: 2.2
Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.225 SLG:0.322 Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 1.6