Houston Astros

79-80

Athletics

63-96

9:40 PM ET Sutter Health Park NBCSCA Divisional

Hunter Brown is the clear edge in a matchup with no posted odds, so attack it through Astros DFS bats.

Brown's 3.26 ERA and strikeout stuff tower over Jacob Lopez's 5.68 ERA in a divisional spot.

SidePASS

TotalPASS

Lean5/10

Confidence

Brown 3.26 ERA and 10.59 K/9 dwarf Lopez's 5.68 ERA.
Houston ranks 3rd in HR/game at 1.37, real power upside.
Lopez allows 9.45 H/9, prime slugging target for Astros.

Best Bet Target Astros bats in DFS against Lopez, headlined by Jeremy Pena at $5200 (2.22x value).

Total—

HOU Win—

ATH Win—

Vegas / Market

Total

—

Run line

ATH —

HOU ML

—

ATH ML

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No game odds, total, or moneyline are posted for this matchup, so there is no de-vigged edge to measure. Without a market number to beat, any side or total lean stays theoretical. The read favors Houston, but there is no price to confirm it.

Pitching Matchup

HOU

Hunter Brown

6-3 · 102.0 IP

ERA

3.26

WHIP

1.27

K/9

10.6

BB/9

4.5

ATH

Jacob Lopez

6-5 · 117.1 IP

ERA

5.68

WHIP

1.53

K/9

8.3

BB/9

4.3

Brown owns the decisive stuff edge with a 3.26 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and 10.59 K/9, though his 4.50 BB/9 leaves some traffic. Lopez has been hittable at a 5.68 ERA and 1.53 WHIP with a heavy 9.45 H/9, giving Houston plenty to work with. Both walk batters, but Brown's swing-and-miss profile clearly separates the two.

Offense Comparison

HOURank of 30ATH

4.5 #15 Runs / G 4.4 #20

0.240 #21 AVG 0.246 #11

1.37 #3 HR / G 1.22 #10

8.26 #17 K / G 8.50 #12

Houston brings the more dangerous top of the order behind Pena, Alvarez, Paredes, and Altuve, and their 3rd-ranked power plays well against a pitcher surrendering hits at a high clip. The Athletics counter with a middle-of-the-pack lineup (11th in AVG, 20th in runs) that projects modestly and faces a much stiffer strikeout challenge. Stack appeal tilts strongly to the Astros' order tonight.

Weather & Park

Weather not yet available for this game.

Weather is not available for this outdoor game at Sutter Health Park, so no wind or temperature effect can be projected.

DFS Angles

Stack the Astros against Lopez, whose 9.45 H/9 and 5.68 ERA pair with Houston's 3rd-ranked home run rate for genuine ceiling. A Pena-Alvarez-Paredes-Altuve run offers the night's best correlated upside.

Target Hunter Brown for his 10.59 K/9 upside; fade Jacob Lopez given his 5.68 ERA and hittable profile in this spot.

HOU top bats