Back the Dodgers on the road behind Ohtani, who owns a huge arm edge over a bottom-tier Mets offense.

Vegas / Market

De-vigged team totals are LAD 4.0 and NYM 3.5, and the 3.5 feels generous given how weak this offense ranks. LAD ML at -154 lines up with our read rather than beating it, so there is no glaring edge on price. The Mets side of the total is where value tilts toward the under.

Offense Comparison

The Dodgers' contact-heavy attack fits well against McLean, especially with Freeman, Betts and Muncy giving the top of the order real length and stack appeal. The Mets lean on Lindor and Robert Jr. for pop but strike out plenty and lack the depth to sustain rallies against premium stuff. Edge in lineup shape belongs to Los Angeles.

Weather & Park

Outdoor at Citi Field, 76F and sunny with a 9 mph wind blowing in from left field, a negative for run scoring that should knock down fly balls.

DFS Angles

Stack the Dodgers against McLean, as their contact-first order (Freeman, Betts, Tucker) profiles well even with the wind suppressing homers.

Target Ohtani as the premium SP given the matchup and strikeout upside; McLean is a risky play against a top-3 offense despite his own K rate.

Players to Watch

• Freddie Freeman - hits over lean - top projected bat at 1.43 projected hits.
• Kyle Tucker - RBI lean - 0.71 projected RBI leads Dodger bats.
• Shohei Ohtani - strikeouts over lean - 10.04 K/9 versus a whiff-prone lineup.
• Jorge Polanco - fade or low-owned dart - only 0.81 projected hits.

• Shohei Ohtani - dominant arm, watch pitch count and command early.
• Francisco Lindor - Mets' best bat and the lineup's spark.
• Luis Robert Jr. - power upside at cheap $3500 salary.
• Andy Pages - 0.74 projected RBI in the middle of the order.