Mon Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET · ESPN · US Bank Stadium, Minnesota Primetime Indoor Upcoming · Sat 8:15 PM
Buffalo Bills
6-1 · 6-1 last season
Implied24.8
At BUF -3 Total 46.5 Live line · BUF -174 · MIN +146
Minnesota Vikings
6-1 · 6-1 last season
Implied21.8
Line movement open Nov 3 MIN spread +3 +3 no move Total 46.5 46.5 no move FanDuel

BUF @ MIN: the angle lands Sat 8:15 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
BUF Josh Allen QB 20.2 $7,400 MIN #1 of 32 8.8 Tough
BUF James Cook III RB 16.4 $7,400 MIN #9 of 32 20.9 Neutral
BUF Khalil Shakir WR 10.4 $5,300 MIN #1 of 32 23.2 Tough
BUF Dalton Kincaid TE 10.2 $5,400 MIN #1 of 32 7.5 Tough
MIN Kyler Murray QB 17.7 $5,500 BUF #19 of 32 18.3 Neutral
MIN Justin Jefferson WR 15.0 $6,800 BUF #22 of 32 33.2 Favorable
MIN T.J. Hockenson TE 8.9 $4,300 BUF #8 of 32 12.5 Neutral
MIN Jordan Mason RB 8.1 $5,400 BUF #27 of 32 25.6 Smash
BUF skill positions vs MIN defense
QB
#1/32
8.8 fpa
Avoid
RB
#9/32
20.9 fpa
Bad
WR
#1/32
23.2 fpa
Avoid
TE
#1/32
7.5 fpa
Avoid
MIN skill positions vs BUF defense
QB
#19/32
18.3 fpa
Good
RB
#27/32
25.6 fpa
Elite
WR
#22/32
33.2 fpa
Good
TE
#8/32
12.5 fpa
Avoid

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
BUF24.8
MIN21.8
Offense profile
BUFRank of 32MIN
33.3 #1 Pts / G 20.0 #27
259.4 #9 Pass yds / G 186.3 #30
148.4 #3 Rush yds / G 113.9 #17
62.1 #14 Plays / G 59.0 #27
49% Pass rate 49%
1.6 Pass TD / G 1.1
2.3 Rush TD / G 0.4
1.9 Sacks taken / G 3.0
0.7 INT thrown / G 0.4
Defense profile
BUFRank of 32MIN
25.9 #24 Pts allowed / G 13.3 #1
269.0 #30 Pass yds allowed 180.1 #2
97.4 #10 Rush yds allowed 116.7 #17
2.1 Sacks / G 3.6
0.6 INT / G 1.1
2.1 Pass TD allowed 0.6
1.0 Rush TD allowed 0.6

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 8 games per team.

Weather

Indoor: no weather factor. US Bank Stadium is a covered venue.

DFS

BUF projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Josh Allen 20.2 20.9 / 20.9 $7,400 2.73x $9,500 #1
RB James Cook III 16.4 14.9 / 14.9 $7,400 2.21x $8,500 #9
WR Khalil Shakir 10.4 9.8 / 9.8 $5,300 1.97x $5,900 #1
TE Dalton Kincaid 10.2 9.4 / 9.4 $5,400 1.89x $5,800 #1
WR DJ Moore questionable 9.5 9.8 / 9.8 $5,900 1.62x $6,900 #1
WR Keon Coleman 7.9 8.2 / 8.2 $4,900 1.62x $5,300 #1
RB Ty Johnson 4.3 4.5 / 4.5 $4,400 0.97x $5,100 #9
MIN projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Kyler Murray questionable 17.7 16.1 / 16.1 $5,500 3.21x $7,400 #19
WR Justin Jefferson 15.0 16.0 / 16.0 $6,800 2.21x $8,300 #22
WR Jordan Addison 9.6 9.3 / 9.3 $4,800 1.99x $5,800 #22
TE T.J. Hockenson 8.9 9.5 / 9.5 $4,300 2.07x $5,500 #8
RB Jordan Mason 8.1 8.0 / 8.0 $5,400 1.51x $6,100 #27
RB Aaron Jones Sr. 7.8 8.2 / 8.2 $5,900 1.32x $5,800 #27
WR Jauan Jennings 4.3 4.1 / 4.1 $3,300 1.29x $5,200 #22

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Josh Allen QB BUF Pass TD 1.5 1.1 +132 DraftKings #1
Josh Allen QB BUF Pass yds 235.5 181.3 -113 DraftKings #2
Josh Allen QB BUF Rush yds 30.5 27.3 -112 DraftKings #17
Kyler Murray QB MIN Pass TD 1.5 1.2 +120 Bovada #27
Kyler Murray QB MIN Pass yds 209.5 235.9 -113 DraftKings #30
Kyler Murray QB MIN Rush yds 17.5 38.6 -114 FanDuel #10
James Cook III RB BUF Rush yds 80.5 81.1 -110 DraftKings #17
James Cook III RB BUF Receptions 2.5 1.4 +124 FanDuel #2
James Cook III RB BUF Rec yds 13.5 12.6 -114 FanDuel #2
Justin Jefferson WR MIN Receptions 5.5 4.9 -154 DraftKings #30
Justin Jefferson WR MIN Rec yds 67.5 58.2 -114 DraftKings #30
Khalil Shakir WR BUF Receptions 3.5 4.2 -115 DraftKings #2
Khalil Shakir WR BUF Rec yds 37.5 54.8 -110 DraftKings #2
Dalton Kincaid TE BUF Receptions 3.5 3.3 -139 DraftKings #2

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All BUF and MIN props with AI grades

Injuries

BUF 8 listed
  • Out Tyrell Shavers WR Knee Severe
  • Out Dee Alford CB Ankle Minimal
  • Out Greg Gaines DT Calf Minimal
  • Out Joshua Palmer WR Hamstring Minimal
  • Out Michael Danna OLB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Spencer Brown T Back Minimal
  • Quest. DJ Moore WR Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Ed Oliver DT Knee Minimal
MIN 8 listed
  • IR Josh Oliver TE Biceps Severe
  • Quest. Kyler Murray QB Unknown Moderate
  • Out Jamal Adams LB Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Brian O'Neill T Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Theo Jackson FS Quadriceps Minimal
  • IR Donovan Jackson G Knee Minimal
  • IR Nick Samac C Knee Minimal
  • IR Tyler Batty OLB Knee Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 9 slate

All 15 games this week.
JAX @ BAL
Thu 8:15 PM ET
JAX -9.5
O/U 40.5
Ready
CIN @ ATL
Sun 9:30 AM ET
CIN -3
O/U 52.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
CLE @ NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NO -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
DAL @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DAL -5.5
O/U 51.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
DEN @ CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DEN -3
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
DET @ MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -7
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LA @ WAS
Sun 1:00 PM ET
LA -5.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYG @ PHI
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYG -3
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ KC
Sun 1:00 PM ET
KC -9.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ LAC
Sun 4:05 PM ET
HOU -4.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
ARI @ SEA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SEA -11.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
GB @ NE
Sun 4:25 PM ET
NE -3
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LV @ SF
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SF -9.5
O/U 52.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
TB @ CHI
Sun 8:20 PM ET
CHI -6.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
BUF @ MIN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
BUF -3
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM
Updated Nov 4, 9:09 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.