NFL · 2026 season

Week 9 game breakdowns

Every Week 9 game cut to the line, the angle and the signals that move it. Open a game for the full matchup, DFS, props, weather and injury picture. Angles unlock 48 hours before kickoff.

15 games · Updated Nov 8, 8:03 PM ET

Edge board

4 edges that clear the bar

Ranked by edge score. Off the board at kickoff.
01
BUF @ MIN · Mon 8:15 PMBest bet
Jordan Mason over 47.5 rushing yards against Buffalo's 27th-ranked run defense is the single best edge

Jordan Mason into Buffalo's #27 run defense is the cleanest edge in a 44.5-total grinder.

5/10 confidenceOpen angle
02
TB @ CHI · Sun 8:20 PMBest bet
Mayfield at $5100 is the top DFS play, a 3.37x value against Chicago's #30 pass defense

CHI -6.5 matches DraftEdge's exact 6.5-point projected margin, no edge on the number.

4/10 confidenceOpen angle
03
TB @ CHI · Sun 8:20 PMMatchup
Baker Mayfield draws CHI, the No. 30 defense against QBs

CHI allows 21.8 fantasy points per game to QBs, rank 30 of 32; Baker Mayfield projects 17.4 on DraftEdge.

#30 vs QBsOpen angle
04
BUF @ MIN · Mon 8:15 PMLine move
Total fell 2 points to 44.5

Opened 46.5 on 2026-11-03, now 44.5; BUF -3.

Open angle

Thursday, Nov 5

1 game
8:15 PM ET · Prime Video · M&T Bank Stadium Final
Jacksonville Jaguars
5-2 · 6-2 last season
33
Baltimore Ravens
4-4 · 4-5 last season · Home
10
ClosedJAX -9.5
Closed total39.5
ResultJAX covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
JAX -9.5 with Lamar out and Fagnano under center, implied 25-15.5 split. · Pass · Under 40.5
  • Trevor Lawrence: BAL #20 vs QB · 18.7 fpa Favorable
  • Zay Flowers: JAX #21 vs WR · 32.3 fpa Favorable
Final · closed JAX -9.5 · 39.5 Recap

Sunday, Nov 8

13 games
9:30 AM ET · NFL NETWORK · Neutral site Final
Cincinnati Bengals
5-2 · 5-2 last season
34
Atlanta Falcons
3-5 · 3-5 last season · Neutral
17
ClosedCIN -14.5
Closed total57.5
ResultCIN covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
Chase Brown smashes into Atlanta's 30th-ranked run defense in a 52.5 shootout. · CIN CIN -3 · Pass
  • Chase Brown: ATL #30 vs RB · 28.1 fpa Smash
  • Kyle Pitts Sr.: CIN #29 vs TE · 18.1 fpa Smash
Final · closed CIN -14.5 · 57.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Caesars Superdome · Indoor Final
Cleveland Browns
5-3 · 5-3 last season
22
New Orleans Saints
2-5 · 2-5 last season · Home
23
ClosedPK
The angle, before kickoff
Judkins into the NFL's softest run funnel: NO #32 vs RB, 28.8 fpa allowed. · Pass · Pass
  • Quinshon Judkins: NO #32 vs RB · 28.8 fpa Smash
  • Alvin Kamara: CLE #23 vs RB · 24.3 fpa Favorable
Final · closed PK Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Lucas Oil Stadium · Indoor Final
Dallas Cowboys
3-5 · 3-5 last season
27
Indianapolis Colts
2-6 · 2-6 last season · Home
23
ClosedDAL -2.5
Closed total44.5
ResultDAL covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
DAL -5.5 in a 51.5 shootout: Colts' defense is a smash funnel the Cowboys will exploit. · DAL -5.5 · Pass
  • Javonte Williams: IND #24 vs RB · 24.6 fpa Favorable
  • Jonathan Taylor: DAL #31 vs RB · 28.2 fpa Smash
Final · closed DAL -2.5 · 44.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Bank of America Stadium Final
Denver Broncos
6-2 · 6-2 last season
26
Carolina Panthers
3-4 · 3-4 last season · Home
21
ClosedDEN -5.5
The angle, before kickoff
Jonah Coleman into Carolina's 29th-ranked run defense is the game's one true smash at $5300. · DEN -2.5, spread moved toward Denver and Coleman owns the #29 run matchup. · Pass
  • Jonah Coleman: CAR #29 vs RB · 27.4 fpa Smash
  • Darren Waller: DEN #28 vs TE · 16.7 fpa Smash
Final · closed DEN -5.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Hard Rock Stadium Final
Detroit Lions
5-2 · 5-2 last season
19
Miami Dolphins
1-6 · 1-6 last season · Home
9
ClosedDET -10.5
The angle, before kickoff
DET -6.5 but implied totals project the exact 6.5 margin, a priced-up coinflip with soft pass defenses. · Pass · Pass
  • Sam LaPorta: MIA #31 vs TE · 19.2 fpa Smash
  • Malik Willis: DET #32 vs QB · 23.2 fpa Smash
Final · closed DET -10.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Northwest Stadium Final
Los Angeles Rams
4-4 · 4-4 last season
20
Washington Commanders
2-4 · 2-4 last season · Home
13
ClosedLA -6.5
The angle, before kickoff
LA -4.5 with Puka and Higbee into a WAS defense ranked 25th in points allowed. · LA -4.5 · Pass
  • Tyler Higbee: WAS #30 vs TE · 18.8 fpa Smash
  • Jayden Daniels: LA #16 vs QB · 17.3 fpa Neutral
Final · closed LA -6.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Lincoln Financial Field Final
New York Giants
4-2 · 4-2 last season
19
Philadelphia Eagles
2-6 · 2-6 last season · Home
11
ClosedNYG -8.5
The angle, before kickoff
NYG -3 but Malik Nabers is the game: PHI ranks 29th vs WR, allowing 36.5 fpa. · NYG NYG -3 · Pass
  • Malik Nabers: PHI #29 vs WR · 36.5 fpa Smash
  • Joe Milton III: NYG #27 vs QB · 20.7 fpa Smash
Final · closed NYG -8.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium Final
New York Jets
2-6 · 2-6 last season
12
Kansas City Chiefs
5-2 · 5-2 last season · Home
35
ClosedKC -22.5
The angle, before kickoff
KC -9.5 sits exactly on the projected 9.5 margin, so the edge is in the smash spots, not the side. · Pass · Pass
  • Mason Taylor: KC #27 vs TE · 16.1 fpa Smash
  • Patrick Mahomes: NYJ #25 vs QB · 20.3 fpa Favorable
Final · closed KC -22.5 Recap
4:05 PM ET · CBS · SoFi Stadium · Indoor Final
Houston Texans
2-5 · 2-5 last season
44
Los Angeles Chargers
0-7 · 0-7 last season · Home
22
ClosedHOU -25.5
Closed total60.5
ResultLAC covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Ladd McConkey vs Houston's 27th-ranked pass defense is the game's cleanest smash at 35.6 fpa allowed. · HOU -5.5 · Pass
  • Woody Marks: LAC #16 vs RB · 23.1 fpa Neutral
  • Ladd McConkey: HOU #27 vs WR · 35.6 fpa Smash
Final · closed HOU -25.5 · 60.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · FOX · Lumen Field Final
Arizona Cardinals
3-5 · 3-5 last season
3
Seattle Seahawks
4-4 · 4-4 last season · Home
17
ClosedSEA -9.5
Closed total26.5
ResultSEA covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
Drew Lock faces the NFL's worst scoring defense at $4000 and a 3.99x value. · SEA -8.5 · Under 39.5
  • Tyler Allgeier: SEA #10 vs RB · 21.3 fpa Neutral
  • Drew Lock: ARI #29 vs QB · 21.4 fpa Smash
Final · closed SEA -9.5 · 26.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · FOX · Gillette Stadium Final
Green Bay Packers
5-3 · 5-3 last season
45
New England Patriots
5-3 · 5-3 last season · Home
27
ClosedGB -20.5
Closed total76.5
ResultNE covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
NE -3 at home with a 23.8 implied total, but GB's No.2 pass attack draws the No.22 WR matchup. · Pass · Pass
  • Matthew Golden: NE #22 vs WR · 32.9 fpa Favorable
  • Rhamondre Stevenson: GB #20 vs RB · 23.8 fpa Favorable
Final · closed GB -20.5 · 76.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · FOX · Levi's Stadium Final
Las Vegas Raiders
4-4 · 4-4 last season
17
San Francisco 49ers
6-1 · 6-1 last season · Home
38
ClosedSF -20.5
Closed total55.5
ResultSF covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
SF -9.5 at home as LV defense ranks 28th or worse against every SF skill position. · SF -9.5 · Pass
  • Brock Bowers: SF #14 vs TE · 13.6 fpa Neutral
  • Christian McCaffrey: LV #28 vs RB · 26.6 fpa Smash
Final · closed SF -20.5 · 55.5 Recap
8:20 PM ET · NBC · Soldier Field Live
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-5 · 3-5 last season
20.5implied
Chicago Bears
6-2 · 6-2 last season · Home
27.0implied
ClosedCHI -6.5
Closed total47.5
The angle
CHI -6.5 matches DraftEdge's exact 6.5-point projected margin, no edge on the number. · Pass · Pass
  • Baker Mayfield: CHI #30 vs QB · 21.8 fpa Smash
  • Colston Loveland: TB #21 vs TE · 14.7 fpa Favorable
Live · closed CHI -6.5 · 47.5 Game page

Monday, Nov 9

1 game
8:15 PM ET · ESPN · US Bank Stadium · Indoor Ready
Buffalo Bills
6-1 · 6-1 last season
23.8implied
Minnesota Vikings
6-1 · 6-1 last season · Home
20.8implied
SpreadBUF -3
Total44.5
MoneylineBUF -174
Indoor. No weather factor.
The angle 5/10 confidence

Jordan Mason into Buffalo's #27 run defense is the cleanest edge in a 44.5-total grinder.

SidePass
TotalUnder 44.5
Best bet
Jordan Mason over 47.5 rushing yards against Buffalo's 27th-ranked run defense is the single best edge.
  • Matchup: Jordan Mason vs BUF RB defense: #27 of 32, 25.6 fpa, SMASH spot.
  • Script: Slow pace: MIN 59 plays (#26), both offenses at 49% pass rate.
  • Watch: Ed Oliver and Greg Gaines (DT, Questionable) - their absence further softens Buffalo's run front for Mason.
Full angle