NFL · 2026 season

Week 6 game breakdowns

Every Week 6 game cut to the line, the angle and the signals that move it. Open a game for the full matchup, DFS, props, weather and injury picture. Angles unlock 48 hours before kickoff.

14 games · Updated Oct 19, 6:05 PM ET

Edge board

2 edges that clear the bar

Ranked by edge score. Off the board at kickoff.
01
WAS @ SF · Mon 8:15 PMBest bet
George Kittle over 5.5 receptions against the WAS TE defense ranked 30th allowing 19.4 fpa

WAS defense ranks 32nd vs WR and 31st vs QB; Purdy, Evans and Kittle all smash.

6/10 confidenceOpen angle
02
WAS @ SF · Mon 8:15 PMMatchup
Mike Evans draws WAS, the No. 32 defense against WRs

WAS allows 39.3 fantasy points per game to WRs, rank 32 of 32; Mike Evans projects 14.9 on DraftEdge.

#32 vs WRsOpen angle

Thursday, Oct 15

1 game
8:15 PM ET · Prime Video · Empower Field at Mile High Final
Seattle Seahawks
3-2 · 3-3 last season
14
Denver Broncos
3-2 · 4-2 last season · Home
17
ClosedDEN -1.5
Closed total39.5
ResultDEN covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
SEA -2.5 with Denver down both starting corners, but a 40.5 total screams defense. · SEA -2.5 · Pass
  • AJ Barner: DEN #20 vs TE · 14.3 fpa Favorable
  • J.K. Dobbins: SEA #16 vs RB · 21.5 fpa Neutral
Final · closed DEN -1.5 · 39.5 Recap

Sunday, Oct 18

12 games
9:30 AM ET · NFL NETWORK · Neutral site Final
Houston Texans
1-4 · 2-4 last season
34
Jacksonville Jaguars
4-1 · 4-2 last season · Neutral
31
ClosedHOU -3.5
Closed total60.5
ResultJAX covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
JAX -2.5 but both WR1s draw bottom-third coverage - Collins and Washington are the edges in a 42.5 total. · Pass · Pass
  • Nico Collins: JAX #28 vs WR · 37.2 fpa Smash
  • Parker Washington: HOU #23 vs WR · 35.4 fpa Favorable
Final · closed HOU -3.5 · 60.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Huntington Bank Field Final
Baltimore Ravens
4-1 · 4-2 last season
10
Cleveland Browns
3-2 · 4-2 last season · Home
13
ClosedBAL -7.5
Closed total26.5
ResultCLE covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
BAL -3 with model margin exactly 3.0, the only edge is Boston vs Baltimore's 28th WR defense. · BAL -3 · Pass
Final · closed BAL -7.5 · 26.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Lincoln Financial Field Final
Carolina Panthers
2-2 · 3-2 last season
25
Philadelphia Eagles
2-3 · 2-4 last season · Home
14
ClosedCAR -4.5
Closed total39.5
ResultCAR covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
CAR -3 after a 4.5-point move toward a #4 offense facing Philadelphia's Hurts-less #29 attack. · CAR CAR -3 · Pass
  • Bryce Young: PHI #21 vs QB · 18.6 fpa Favorable
  • Dameon Pierce: CAR #24 vs RB · 24.3 fpa Favorable
Final · closed CAR -4.5 · 39.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Indoor Final
Chicago Bears
3-2 · 4-2 last season
31
Atlanta Falcons
2-3 · 2-4 last season · Home
23
ClosedCHI -7.5
Closed total58.5
ResultCHI covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
Luther Burden III at $5400 is a SMASH into Atlanta's 29th-ranked pass defense. · CHI CHI -1.5 · Pass
Final · closed CHI -7.5 · 58.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · MetLife Stadium Final
New Orleans Saints
1-4 · 2-4 last season
34
New York Giants
3-1 · 3-2 last season · Home
27
ClosedNO -10.5
Closed total58.5
ResultNYG covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
NO -1.5 is a coinflip, but Skattebo into the NFL's #31 run defense is the game's one clean edge. · NYG +1.5 · Pass
  • Tyler Shough: NYG #27 vs QB · 20.5 fpa Smash
  • Isaiah Likely: NO #27 vs TE · 16.7 fpa Smash
Final · closed NO -10.5 · 58.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Gillette Stadium Final
New York Jets
2-3 · 2-4 last season
19
New England Patriots
3-2 · 4-2 last season · Home
26
ClosedNE -7.5
Closed total43.5
ResultNYJ covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Rhamondre Stevenson smashes NYJ's 32nd-ranked run defense in a 43.5-total divisional spot. · Pass · Pass
Final · closed NE -7.5 · 43.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Raymond James Stadium Final
Pittsburgh Steelers
3-2 · 4-2 last season
26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1-4 · 1-5 last season · Home
19
ClosedTB -2.5
Closed total35.5
ResultPIT covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Wind 25 mph into a 38.5 total: this game screams under. · Pass · Under 38.5
  • Aaron Rodgers: TB #20 vs QB · 18.2 fpa Favorable
  • Cade Otton: PIT #21 vs TE · 14.5 fpa Favorable
Final · closed TB -2.5 · 35.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Lucas Oil Stadium · Indoor Final
Tennessee Titans
0-5 · 1-5 last season
26
Indianapolis Colts
2-3 · 2-4 last season · Home
20
ClosedTEN -3.5
Closed total43.5
ResultTEN covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
IND -6.5 at home vs the NFL's #32 scoring offense, but the model margin lands exactly on the spread. · IND -6.5 · Pass
Final · closed TEN -3.5 · 43.5 Recap
4:05 PM ET · FOX · SoFi Stadium · Indoor Final
Arizona Cardinals
1-4 · 2-4 last season
18
Los Angeles Rams
2-3 · 2-4 last season · Home
16
ClosedLA -1.5
Closed total35.5
ResultARI covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
LA -12.5 with a 32.0 implied total, and Stafford smashes the NFL's #32 scoring defense. · Pass · Pass
  • Jacoby Brissett: LA #19 vs QB · 18.1 fpa Neutral
  • Matthew Stafford: ARI #29 vs QB · 21.4 fpa Smash
Final · closed LA -1.5 · 35.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · CBS · Allegiant Stadium · Indoor Final
Buffalo Bills
4-1 · 5-1 last season
33
Las Vegas Raiders
3-2 · 3-3 last season · Home
30
ClosedBUF -3.5
Closed total51.5
ResultLV covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Allen smashes LV #28 QB defense in a 53.5 shootout at Allegiant. · BUF -5.5 · Pass
  • Josh Allen: LV #28 vs QB · 20.9 fpa Smash
  • Ashton Jeanty: BUF #30 vs RB · 25.8 fpa Smash
Final · closed BUF -3.5 · 51.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · CBS · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium Final
Los Angeles Chargers
0-5 · 0-6 last season
6
Kansas City Chiefs
4-0 · 5-0 last season · Home
22
ClosedKC -12.5
Closed total32.5
ResultKC covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
KC -7.5 but LAC has won the last three meetings, including 16-13 in December. · LAC +7.5 · Pass
  • Charlie Kolar: KC #26 vs TE · 16.3 fpa Smash
  • Kenneth Walker III: LAC #20 vs RB · 23.1 fpa Favorable
Final · closed KC -12.5 · 32.5 Recap
8:20 PM ET · NBC · Lambeau Field Final
Dallas Cowboys
2-3 · 2-4 last season
13
Green Bay Packers
3-2 · 4-2 last season · Home
23
ClosedDAL -1.5
Closed total53.5
ResultGB covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
GB -1.5 but DAL's defense ranks 30th vs QB and WR - Green Bay's skill smashes at home. · GB -1.5 · Pass
  • Javonte Williams: GB #29 vs RB · 25.6 fpa Smash
  • Jordan Love: DAL #30 vs QB · 22.4 fpa Smash
Final · closed DAL -1.5 · 53.5 Recap

Monday, Oct 19

1 game
8:15 PM ET · ESPN · Levi's Stadium Ready
Washington Commanders
1-3 · 1-3 last season
22.0implied
San Francisco 49ers
5-0 · 5-0 last season · Home
29.5implied
SpreadSF -7.5
Total51.5
MoneylineSF -430
Kickoff forecast: 59°F, wind 11 mph, 17% rain, overcast
The angle 6/10 confidence

WAS defense ranks 32nd vs WR and 31st vs QB; Purdy, Evans and Kittle all smash.

SideSF -7.5
TotalOver 51.5
Best bet
George Kittle over 5.5 receptions against the WAS TE defense ranked 30th allowing 19.4 fpa.
  • Matchup: Mike Evans vs WAS WR defense: 39.3 fpa, #32, SMASH and softest spot on board.
  • Script: WAS plays fast at 64 plays (#10); SF slow at 57 (#30), both near 51% pass.
  • Watch: Mike Evans (ribs/Achilles) questionable - his status swings the top WR smash spot.
Full angle