NFL · 2026 season

Week 1 game breakdowns

Every Week 1 game cut to the line, the angle and the signals that move it. Open a game for the full matchup, DFS, props, weather and injury picture. Angles unlock 48 hours before kickoff.

16 games · Updated Sep 14, 8:08 PM ET

Edge board

2 edges that clear the bar

Ranked by edge score. Off the board at kickoff.
01
DEN @ KC · Mon 8:15 PMBest bet
Under 43.5: both defenses allow under 19 per game and gusts to 30 mph choke the passing game

KC -2.5 with implied 23.0, but two top-5 defenses and 30 mph gusts scream under 43.5.

3/10 confidenceOpen angle
02
DEN @ KC · Mon 8:15 PMLine move
Total fell 1 point to 42.5

Opened 43.5 on 2026-09-06, now 42.5; KC -2.5.

Open angle

Wednesday, Sep 9

1 game
8:20 PM ET · NBC · Lumen Field Final
New England Patriots
0-0 · 17-4 last season
10
Seattle Seahawks
0-0 · 18-2 last season · Home
13
ClosedSEA -3.5
Closed total44.5
ResultNE covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
SEA -3.5 at home, top-ranked defense against Maye holds NE to a 20.5 implied total. · SEA -3.5 · Under 44.5
Final · closed SEA -3.5 · 44.5 Recap

Thursday, Sep 10

1 game
8:35 PM ET · NETFLIX · Neutral site Final
San Francisco 49ers
0-0 · 13-6 last season
27
Los Angeles Rams
0-0 · 13-7 last season · Neutral
7
ClosedLA -3.5
Closed total47.5
ResultSF covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
LA -3.5 with implied 26-22.5, but the margin sits exactly on the number. · Pass · Pass
Final · closed LA -3.5 · 47.5 Recap

Sunday, Sep 13

13 games
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Acrisure Stadium Final
Atlanta Falcons
0-0 · 8-9 last season
13
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-0 · 10-8 last season · Home
20
ClosedPIT -5.5
Closed total40.5
ResultPIT covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
PIT -5.5 with a 40.5 total, but Atlanta's QB room is gutted before kickoff. · Pass · Pass
  • Brandon Smith: ATL #24 vs WR · 32.7 fpa Favorable
Final · closed PIT -5.5 · 40.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Lucas Oil Stadium · Indoor Final
Baltimore Ravens
0-0 · 9-8 last season
41
Indianapolis Colts
0-0 · 7-10 last season · Home
23
ClosedBAL -3.5
Closed total47.5
ResultBAL covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Zay Flowers into IND's 31st-ranked pass defense is the game's cleanest smash. · BAL -3.5 · Over 47.5
Final · closed BAL -3.5 · 47.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · NRG Stadium · Indoor Final
Buffalo Bills
0-0 · 13-6 last season
36
Houston Texans
0-0 · 13-6 last season · Home
31
ClosedBUF -1.5
Closed total44.5
ResultBUF covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Two elite defenses collide: total sits 44.5 with both units top-10 in points allowed. · Pass · Under 44.5
Final · closed BUF -1.5 · 44.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Bank of America Stadium Final
Chicago Bears
0-0 · 13-6 last season
59
Carolina Panthers
0-0 · 8-10 last season · Home
37
ClosedCHI -3
Closed total47.5
ResultCHI covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
McMillan draws CHI's #26 WR defense allowing a league-soft 35.8 fpa: a genuine smash spot. · Pass · Pass
Final · closed CHI -3 · 47.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · EverBank Stadium Final
Cleveland Browns
0-0 · 5-12 last season
10
Jacksonville Jaguars
0-0 · 13-5 last season · Home
34
ClosedJAX -8.5
Closed total40.5
ResultJAX covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
JAX -8.5 with a 24.5 implied total against the NFL's 31st-ranked Browns offense. · JAX -8.5 · Under 40.5
  • Trevor Lawrence: CLE #11 vs QB · 16.2 fpa Neutral
Final · closed JAX -8.5 · 40.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Ford Field · Indoor Final
New Orleans Saints
0-0 · 6-11 last season
30
Detroit Lions
0-0 · 10-7 last season · Home
31
ClosedDET -6.5
Closed total49.5
ResultNO covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
DET -6.5 with implied 28.0, but Olave into DET's 29th-ranked pass defense is the game's cleanest edge. · NO +6.5 · Pass
Final · closed DET -6.5 · 49.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Nissan Stadium Final
New York Jets
0-0 · 4-13 last season
23
Tennessee Titans
0-0 · 3-14 last season · Home
10
ClosedTEN -1.5
Closed total38.5
ResultNYJ covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
TEN -1.5 but implied margin is exactly 1.5, this is a coinflip between two bottom-5 offenses. · NYJ +1.5 · Pass
Final · closed TEN -1.5 · 38.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Paycor Stadium Final
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-0 · 7-10 last season
27
Cincinnati Bengals
0-0 · 6-11 last season · Home
33
ClosedCIN -3.5
Closed total50.5
ResultCIN covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
CIN -3.5 with a 50.5 total: Burrow smashes TB's #31 QB defense in a bottom-tier defensive clash. · Pass · Over 50.5
Final · closed CIN -3.5 · 50.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · CBS · SoFi Stadium · Indoor Final
Arizona Cardinals
0-0 · 3-14 last season
26
Los Angeles Chargers
0-0 · 10-8 last season · Home
14
ClosedLAC -9.5
Closed total47.5
ResultARI covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
Omarion Hampton is a smash into Arizona's 31st-ranked run defense allowing 28.4 fpa. · Pass · Pass
Final · closed LAC -9.5 · 47.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · CBS · US Bank Stadium · Indoor Final
Green Bay Packers
0-0 · 7-9 last season
22
Minnesota Vikings
0-0 · 9-8 last season · Home
39
ClosedMIN -1.5
Closed total46.5
ResultMIN covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
MIN -1.5 with the NFL's #1 pass defense hosting a Packers offense that scored 3 last meeting. · MIN -1.5 · Under 46.5
Final · closed MIN -1.5 · 46.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · FOX · Allegiant Stadium · Indoor Final
Miami Dolphins
0-0 · 7-10 last season
13
Las Vegas Raiders
0-0 · 3-14 last season · Home
27
ClosedLV -3
Closed total39.5
ResultLV covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
LV -3 but the Raiders own the NFL-worst offense at 13.8 points per game. · MIA +3 · Under 39.5
Final · closed LV -3 · 39.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · FOX · Lincoln Financial Field Final
Washington Commanders
0-0 · 4-12 last season
22
Philadelphia Eagles
0-0 · 11-7 last season · Home
24
ClosedPHI -5.5
Closed total44.5
ResultWAS covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Saquon Barkley SMASHES a WAS run defense ranked 30th, allowing 28.0 fpa to backs. · PHI -5.5 · Pass
Final · closed PHI -5.5 · 44.5 Recap
8:20 PM ET · NBC · MetLife Stadium Final
Dallas Cowboys
0-0 · 7-9 last season
20
New York Giants
0-0 · 5-12 last season · Home
28
ClosedDAL -3
Closed total47.5
ResultNYG covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
DAL -3 but their defense ranks 32nd versus QB and WR, cracking a 48.5 total wide open. · Pass · Over 48.5
Final · closed DAL -3 · 47.5 Recap

Monday, Sep 14

1 game
8:15 PM ET · ESPN · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium Live
Denver Broncos
0-0 · 14-4 last season
20.0implied
Kansas City Chiefs
0-0 · 6-10 last season · Home
22.5implied
ClosedKC -2.5
Closed total42.5
The angle
KC -2.5 with implied 23.0, but two top-5 defenses and 30 mph gusts scream under 43.5. · Pass · Under 43.5
  • Bo Nix: KC #10 vs QB · 16.0 fpa Neutral
  • Travis Kelce: DEN #22 vs TE · 14.5 fpa Favorable
Live · closed KC -2.5 · 42.5 Game page