New York Jets
20260-0 20253-13
@
Tennessee Titans
20260-0 20253-13
NYJ @ TEN breakdown unlocks Fri Sep 11, 1:00 PM ET
The AI read lands 48 hours before kickoff. The market, key matchups, injuries and weather below are live now.
SpreadTEN -1.5
Total39.5
NYJ implied19.0
TEN implied20.5
NYJ ML+104
TEN ML-122
Line movement open Sep 6
TEN spread
-2.5 -1.5
1.0
Total
39.5 39.5
no move
FanDuel
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ |
Breece Hall | RB | 17.0 | $6,200 | TEN #12 of 32 | 20.7 | Neutral |
| NYJ |
Geno Smith | QB | 15.7 | $4,600 | TEN #28 of 32 | 20.4 | Smash |
| NYJ |
Garrett Wilson | WR | 13.4 | $5,800 | TEN #28 of 32 | 36.3 | Smash |
| NYJ |
Kenyon Sadiq | TE | 5.5 | $3,800 | TEN #23 of 32 | 15.0 | Favorable |
| TEN |
Cam Ward | QB | 13.8 | $5,100 | NYJ #30 of 32 | 20.7 | Smash |
| TEN |
Carnell Tate | WR | 11.7 | $5,300 | NYJ #17 of 32 | 31.3 | Neutral |
| TEN |
Tony Pollard | RB | 11.4 | $5,600 | NYJ #32 of 32 | 30.4 | Smash |
| TEN |
Gunnar Helm | TE | 7.0 | $3,200 | NYJ #25 of 32 | 15.5 | Favorable |
NYJ skill positions vs TEN defenseQB
#28/32
20.4 fpa
RB
#12/32
20.7 fpa
WR
#28/32
36.3 fpa
TE
#23/32
15.0 fpa
TEN skill positions vs NYJ defenseQB
#30/32
20.7 fpa
RB
#32/32
30.4 fpa
WR
#17/32
31.3 fpa
TE
#25/32
15.5 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
NYJ19.0
TEN20.5
Offense profile
NYJRank of 32TEN
16.8
#30
Pts / G
17.0
#29
160.4
#32
Pass yds / G
195.6
#26
119.6
#15
Rush yds / G
94.9
#29
59.2
#26
Plays / G
59.3
#24
53%
Pass rate
60%
0.9
Pass TD / G
0.9
0.5
Rush TD / G
0.6
3.7
Sacks taken / G
3.1
0.8
INT thrown / G
0.5
Defense profile
NYJRank of 32TEN
29.3
#29
Pts allowed / G
28.6
#28
225.3
#15
Pass yds allowed
252.8
#28
144.9
#30
Rush yds allowed
112.3
#13
1.4
Sacks / G
2.6
0.0
INT / G
0.2
2.0
Pass TD allowed
1.8
1.2
Rush TD allowed
1.2
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-09, 20 games per team.
Weather
Forecast lands 2 days before kickoff (Nissan Stadium, Tennessee)
DFS
NYJ projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | Breece Hall | 17.0 | 9.6 / 28.4 | $6,200 | 2.75x | $6,900 | #12 |
| QB | Geno Smith | 15.7 | 8.9 / 23.5 | $4,600 | 3.42x | $6,700 | #28 |
| WR | Garrett Wilson | 13.4 | 6.3 / 27.6 | $5,800 | 2.31x | $6,900 | #28 |
| WR | Adonai Mitchell | 6.7 | 1.2 / 13.8 | $4,000 | 1.67x | $5,400 | #28 |
| TE | Kenyon Sadiq | 5.5 | 1.6 / 17.6 | $3,800 | 1.46x | $4,700 | #23 |
| WR | Omar Cooper Jr. | 5.0 | 0.0 / 15.8 | $4,100 | 1.22x | $5,100 | #28 |
| RB | Braelon Allen | 4.5 | 0.6 / 11.9 | $4,700 | 0.95x | $6,000 | #12 |
TEN projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Cam Ward | 13.8 | 8.9 / 23.7 | $5,100 | 2.71x | $6,600 | #30 |
| WR | Carnell Tate | 11.7 | 4.2 / 24.6 | $5,300 | 2.21x | $5,600 | #17 |
| RB | Tony Pollard | 11.4 | 5.6 / 21.8 | $5,600 | 2.03x | $6,000 | #32 |
| WR | Wan'Dale Robinson | 9.2 | 4.0 / 20.8 | $4,800 | 1.92x | $5,300 | #17 |
| RB | Tyjae Spears | 8.4 | 4.1 / 19.2 | $5,100 | 1.65x | $5,000 | #32 |
| TE | Gunnar Helm | 7.0 | 2.0 / 18.8 | $3,200 | 2.19x | $4,800 | #25 |
| WR | Calvin Ridley | 6.5 | 0.0 / 15.8 | $4,500 | 1.44x | $5,800 | #17 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall RB NYJ | Rush yds | 65.5 | 77.2 | -109 | DraftKings | #13 |
| Breece Hall RB NYJ | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.6 | -104 | DraftKings | #28 |
| Breece Hall RB NYJ | Rec yds | 18.5 | 25.4 | -114 | FanDuel | #28 |
| Geno Smith QB NYJ | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.5 | +194 | DraftKings | #22 |
| Geno Smith QB NYJ | Pass yds | 208.5 | 238.4 | -111 | DraftKings | #28 |
| Geno Smith QB NYJ | Rush yds | 6.5 | 8.5 | -112 | DraftKings | #13 |
| Cam Ward QB TEN | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.2 | +190 | BetRivers | #29 |
| Cam Ward QB TEN | Pass yds | 206.5 | 248.5 | -112 | DraftKings | #15 |
| Cam Ward QB TEN | Rush yds | 9.5 | 12.9 | -112 | DraftKings | #30 |
| Garrett Wilson WR NYJ | Receptions | 5.5 | 5.5 | -110 | BetRivers | #28 |
| Garrett Wilson WR NYJ | Rec yds | 61.5 | 60.3 | -113 | DraftKings | #28 |
| Carnell Tate WR TEN | Receptions | 3.5 | – | +116 | BetRivers | #15 |
| Carnell Tate WR TEN | Rec yds | 39.5 | – | -110 | DraftKings | #15 |
| Tony Pollard RB TEN | Rush yds | 53.5 | 63.6 | -111 | DraftKings | #30 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All NYJ and TEN props with AI gradesInjuries
NYJ 8 listed- Quest. Breece Hall RB Groin Moderate
- Quest. Isaiah Davis RB Knee Moderate
- Out Tre Brown CB Undisclosed Minimal
- Quest. D'Angelo Ponds CB Calf Minimal
- Quest. Joseph Ossai OLB Plantar Fascia Minimal
- Quest. Kenyon Sadiq TE Hernia Minimal
- Quest. Nahshon Wright CB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Qwan'tez Stiggers CB Concussion Minimal
TEN 8 listed- Out Jaren Kanak TE Unknown Severe
- Quest. Mitchell Trubisky QB Biceps Moderate
- Out Jaylen Harrell DE Unknown Minimal
- Out Tanoh Kpassagnon LB Undisclosed Minimal
- Quest. Andre James C Undisclosed Minimal
- Quest. Carnell Tate WR Undisclosed Minimal
- Quest. Keldric Faulk DE Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Wan'Dale Robinson WR Unknown Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
NYJ last 5L 8-35 @ BUFL 10-42 vs NEL 6-29 @ NOL 20-48 @ JAXL 10-34 vs MIA
TEN last 5L 7-41 @ JAXL 26-34 vs NOW 26-9 vs KCL 24-37 @ SFW 31-29 @ CLE
Head-to-head
- Sep 15, 2024 NYJ 24 at TEN 17
- Oct 3, 2021 TEN 24 at NYJ 27
Week 1 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
NE @ SEA
Wed 8:20 PM ET
SEA -3.5
O/U 44.5
Ready
SF @ LA
Thu 8:35 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
ATL @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -3.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BAL @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -3.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BUF @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -1.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CHI @ CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -8.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NO @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TEN -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TB @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ LAC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LAC -9.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
GB @ MIN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
MIA @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LV -3.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
WAS @ PHI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
PHI -5.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DAL @ NYG
Sun 8:20 PM ET
DAL -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
DEN @ KC
Mon 8:15 PM ET
KC -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM