Green Bay Packers
20260-0 20258-8
@
Minnesota Vikings
20260-0 20258-8
GB @ MIN breakdown unlocks Fri Sep 11, 4:25 PM ET
The AI read lands 48 hours before kickoff. The market, key matchups, injuries and weather below are live now.
SpreadMIN -1.5
Total46.5
GB implied22.5
MIN implied24.0
GB ML+100
MIN ML-118
Line movement open Sep 6
MIN spread
-1.5 -1.5
no move
Total
46.5 46.5
no move
FanDuel
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB |
Jordan Love | QB | 16.4 | $5,700 | MIN #1 of 32 | 10.4 | Tough |
| GB |
MarShawn Lloyd | RB | 12.7 | $4,800 | MIN #7 of 32 | 20.2 | Tough |
| GB |
Christian Watson | WR | 12.6 | $5,900 | MIN #1 of 32 | 23.3 | Tough |
| GB |
Tucker Kraft | TE | 10.8 | $4,500 | MIN #3 of 32 | 9.4 | Tough |
| MIN |
Justin Jefferson | WR | 17.8 | $7,300 | GB #19 of 32 | 32.1 | Neutral |
| MIN |
Kyler Murray | QB | 17.8 | $5,500 | GB #12 of 32 | 16.0 | Neutral |
| MIN |
Jordan Mason | RB | 10.3 | $5,400 | GB #19 of 32 | 22.8 | Neutral |
| MIN |
T.J. Hockenson | TE | 8.5 | $3,300 | GB #9 of 32 | 11.3 | Neutral |
GB skill positions vs MIN defenseQB
#1/32
10.4 fpa
RB
#7/32
20.2 fpa
WR
#1/32
23.3 fpa
TE
#3/32
9.4 fpa
MIN skill positions vs GB defenseQB
#12/32
16.0 fpa
RB
#19/32
22.8 fpa
WR
#19/32
32.1 fpa
TE
#9/32
11.3 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
GB22.5
MIN24.0
Offense profile
GBRank of 32MIN
23.0
#16
Pts / G
19.8
#26
234.2
#14
Pass yds / G
191.4
#29
121.1
#14
Rush yds / G
107.6
#23
60.8
#19
Plays / G
56.6
#30
51%
Pass rate
55%
1.6
Pass TD / G
1.0
1.0
Rush TD / G
0.9
1.8
Sacks taken / G
3.6
0.4
INT thrown / G
1.2
Defense profile
GBRank of 32MIN
22.2
#12
Pts allowed / G
19.3
#6
214.9
#12
Pass yds allowed
175.8
#1
120.5
#19
Rush yds allowed
124.4
#23
1.9
Sacks / G
2.9
0.5
INT / G
0.5
1.5
Pass TD allowed
0.9
0.9
Rush TD allowed
0.8
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-09, 20 games per team.
Weather
Indoor: no weather factor. US Bank Stadium is a covered venue.
DFS
GB projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Jordan Love | 16.4 | 10.3 / 27.1 | $5,700 | 2.87x | $7,400 | #1 |
| RB | MarShawn Lloyd | 12.7 | 6.5 / 22.8 | $4,800 | 2.65x | $4,900 | #7 |
| WR | Christian Watson | 12.6 | 4.0 / 26.1 | $5,900 | 2.14x | $6,400 | #1 |
| TE | Tucker Kraft | 10.8 | 4.4 / 25.8 | $4,500 | 2.41x | $6,300 | #3 |
| WR | Jayden Reed | 10.6 | 3.2 / 23.1 | $4,900 | 2.16x | $5,700 | #1 |
| WR | Matthew Golden | 8.4 | 2.3 / 18.8 | $4,700 | 1.78x | $5,600 | #1 |
| RB | Chris Brooks | 7.8 | 2.7 / 16.8 | $4,500 | 1.74x | $4,500 | #7 |
MIN projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | Justin Jefferson | 17.8 | 8.6 / 34.2 | $7,300 | 2.44x | $8,100 | #19 |
| QB | Kyler Murray | 17.8 | 11.4 / 28.4 | $5,500 | 3.23x | $7,200 | #12 |
| RB | Jordan Mason | 10.3 | 3.9 / 18.4 | $5,400 | 1.91x | $5,400 | #19 |
| WR | Jordan Addison | 10.2 | 3.3 / 20.7 | $5,800 | 1.76x | $6,100 | #19 |
| RB | Aaron Jones Sr. | 9.0 | 4.7 / 20.3 | $5,300 | 1.70x | $5,900 | #19 |
| TE | T.J. Hockenson | 8.5 | 3.6 / 21.3 | $3,300 | 2.56x | $5,000 | #9 |
| WR | Jauan Jennings | 5.9 | 1.5 / 15.6 | $4,300 | 1.37x | $5,900 | #19 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson WR MIN | Receptions | 5.5 | 7.5 | +115 | BetMGM | #12 |
| Justin Jefferson WR MIN | Rec yds | 75.5 | 93.9 | -110 | DraftKings | #12 |
| Kyler Murray QB MIN | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.4 | +120 | Fanatics | #15 |
| Kyler Murray QB MIN | Pass yds | 222.5 | 218.9 | -112 | DraftKings | #11 |
| Kyler Murray QB MIN | Rush yds | 22.5 | 39.4 | -111 | DraftKings | #19 |
| Jordan Love QB GB | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.6 | +110 | BetRivers | #1 |
| Jordan Love QB GB | Pass yds | 238.5 | 226.3 | -113 | DraftKings | #1 |
| Jordan Love QB GB | Rush yds | 10.5 | 12.9 | -110 | DraftKings | #23 |
| MarShawn Lloyd RB GB | Rush yds | 43.5 | – | -114 | DraftKings | #23 |
| MarShawn Lloyd RB GB | Receptions | 1.5 | – | -147 | DraftKings | #1 |
| MarShawn Lloyd RB GB | Rec yds | 10.5 | – | -107 | DraftKings | #1 |
| Christian Watson WR GB | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.5 | +125 | BetRivers | #1 |
| Christian Watson WR GB | Rec yds | 57.5 | 59.4 | -110 | DraftKings | #1 |
| Tucker Kraft TE GB | Receptions | 4.5 | 3.3 | +128 | DraftKings | #1 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All GB and MIN props with AI gradesInjuries
GB 8 listed- Out Josh Jacobs RB Unknown Severe
- IR Luke Musgrave TE Neck Severe
- IR Savion Williams WR Unknown Severe
- Out Johnathan Baldwin FS Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Carrington Valentine CB Hamstring Minimal
- Quest. Dani Dennis-Sutton OLB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Tucker Kraft TE Knee Minimal
- Quest. Warren Brinson DE Calf Minimal
MIN 8 listed- IR Jermar Jefferson RB Undisclosed Severe
- Out Jamal Adams LB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Caleb Tiernan OT Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Jacob Thomas FS Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Jakobe Thomas FS Unknown Minimal
- IR Marcus Allen CB Undisclosed Minimal
- IR Michael Jurgens G Undisclosed Minimal
- IR Tyler Batty OLB Knee Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
GB last 5L 27-31 @ CHIL 3-16 @ MINL 24-41 vs BALL 16-22 @ CHIL 26-34 @ DEN
MIN last 5W 16-3 vs GBW 23-10 vs DETW 16-13 @ NYGW 34-26 @ DALW 31-0 vs WAS
Head-to-head
- Jan 4, 2026 GB 3 at MIN 16
- Nov 23, 2025 MIN 6 at GB 23
- Dec 29, 2024 GB 25 at MIN 27
Week 1 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
NE @ SEA
Wed 8:20 PM ET
SEA -3.5
O/U 44.5
Ready
SF @ LA
Thu 8:35 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
ATL @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -3.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BAL @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -3.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BUF @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -1.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CHI @ CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -8.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NO @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TEN -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TB @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ LAC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LAC -9.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
GB @ MIN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
MIA @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LV -3.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
WAS @ PHI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
PHI -5.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DAL @ NYG
Sun 8:20 PM ET
DAL -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
DEN @ KC
Mon 8:15 PM ET
KC -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM