Miami Dolphins
20260-0 20257-9
@
Las Vegas Raiders
20260-0 20252-14
MIA @ LV breakdown unlocks Fri Sep 11, 4:25 PM ET
The AI read lands 48 hours before kickoff. The market, key matchups, injuries and weather below are live now.
SpreadLV -3.5
Total40.5
MIA implied18.5
LV implied22.0
MIA ML+148
LV ML-178
Line movement open Sep 6
LV spread
-3.5 -3.5
no move
Total
39.5 40.5
1.0
FanDuel
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA |
De'Von Achane | RB | 18.1 | $7,000 | LV #20 of 32 | 23.5 | Favorable |
| MIA |
Malik Willis | QB | 15.3 | $5,300 | LV #15 of 32 | 16.8 | Neutral |
| MIA |
Malik Washington | WR | 7.2 | $4,200 | LV #20 of 32 | 32.4 | Favorable |
| MIA |
Greg Dulcich | TE | 7.0 | $3,500 | LV #4 of 32 | 10.3 | Tough |
| LV |
Kirk Cousins | QB | 15.1 | $5,000 | MIA #24 of 32 | 19.4 | Favorable |
| LV |
Brock Bowers | TE | 14.4 | $6,900 | MIA #28 of 32 | 16.5 | Smash |
| LV |
Ashton Jeanty | RB | 14.1 | $6,600 | MIA #26 of 32 | 25.3 | Smash |
| LV |
Tre Tucker | WR | 8.3 | $4,000 | MIA #18 of 32 | 31.5 | Neutral |
MIA skill positions vs LV defenseQB
#15/32
16.8 fpa
RB
#20/32
23.5 fpa
WR
#20/32
32.4 fpa
TE
#4/32
10.3 fpa
LV skill positions vs MIA defenseQB
#24/32
19.4 fpa
RB
#26/32
25.3 fpa
WR
#18/32
31.5 fpa
TE
#28/32
16.5 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
MIA18.5
LV22.0
Offense profile
MIARank of 32LV
21.2
#21
Pts / G
13.8
#32
198.5
#25
Pass yds / G
184.8
#30
122.9
#12
Rush yds / G
78.8
#32
56.4
#31
Plays / G
55.4
#32
52%
Pass rate
58%
1.4
Pass TD / G
1.2
0.9
Rush TD / G
0.2
2.2
Sacks taken / G
3.8
1.0
INT thrown / G
1.1
Defense profile
MIARank of 32LV
24.4
#22
Pts allowed / G
26.2
#26
228.4
#17
Pass yds allowed
210.9
#10
130.9
#27
Rush yds allowed
120.4
#18
2.4
Sacks / G
2.1
0.6
INT / G
0.4
1.8
Pass TD allowed
1.4
1.0
Rush TD allowed
1.4
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-09, 20 games per team.
Weather
Indoor: no weather factor. Allegiant Stadium is a covered venue.
DFS
MIA projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | De'Von Achane | 18.1 | 12.8 / 36.1 | $7,000 | 2.58x | $8,500 | #20 |
| QB | Malik Willis | 15.3 | 9.7 / 24.9 | $5,300 | 2.88x | $6,500 | #15 |
| WR | Malik Washington | 7.2 | 3.4 / 22.0 | $4,200 | 1.71x | $5,800 | #20 |
| WR | Caleb Douglas | 7.0 | 2.2 / 20.7 | $3,000 | 2.34x | $4,600 | #20 |
| TE | Greg Dulcich | 7.0 | 2.3 / 21.2 | $3,500 | 2.01x | $4,900 | #4 |
| WR | Jalen Tolbert | 3.6 | 0.0 / 13.8 | $3,500 | 1.04x | $5,200 | #20 |
| RB | Jaylen Wright | 3.4 | 0.2 / 11.6 | $4,500 | 0.75x | $4,900 | #20 |
LV projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Kirk Cousins | 15.1 | 8.8 / 23.8 | $5,000 | 3.02x | $6,700 | #24 |
| TE | Brock Bowers | 14.4 | 7.9 / 32.6 | $6,900 | 2.09x | $6,800 | #28 |
| RB | Ashton Jeanty | 14.1 | 7.1 / 23.8 | $6,600 | 2.13x | $7,000 | #26 |
| RB | Mike Washington Jr. | 8.6 | 3.8 / 18.2 | $4,600 | 1.86x | $4,500 | #26 |
| WR | Tre Tucker | 8.3 | 2.5 / 18.4 | $4,000 | 2.09x | $5,600 | #18 |
| WR | Jalen Nailor | 6.0 | 0.0 / 16.5 | $4,300 | 1.40x | $5,200 | #18 |
| TE | Michael Mayer | 5.2 | 0.0 / 15.0 | $2,900 | 1.80x | $4,600 | #28 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane RB MIA | Rush yds | 68.5 | 78.6 | -110 | DraftKings | #18 |
| De'Von Achane RB MIA | Receptions | 4.5 | 3.9 | +130 | Bovada | #9 |
| De'Von Achane RB MIA | Rec yds | 27.5 | 28.4 | -112 | BetOnline | #9 |
| Malik Willis QB MIA | Pass TD | 0.5 | 1.0 | -214 | DraftKings | #11 |
| Malik Willis QB MIA | Pass yds | 181.5 | 137.9 | -113 | DraftKings | #10 |
| Malik Willis QB MIA | Rush yds | 38.5 | 39.5 | -109 | DraftKings | #18 |
| Kirk Cousins QB LV | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.2 | +135 | DraftKings | #22 |
| Kirk Cousins QB LV | Pass yds | 217.5 | 210.8 | -111 | DraftKings | #17 |
| Kirk Cousins QB LV | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0.9 | +120 | FanDuel | #27 |
| Brock Bowers TE LV | Receptions | 5.5 | 5.5 | -140 | FanDuel | #17 |
| Brock Bowers TE LV | Rec yds | 65.5 | 58.0 | -110 | DraftKings | #17 |
| Tre Tucker WR LV | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.3 | -106 | BetOnline | #17 |
| Tre Tucker WR LV | Rec yds | 40.5 | 40.1 | -109 | DraftKings | #17 |
| Malik Washington WR MIA | Receptions | 2.5 | 3.3 | -150 | DraftKings | #9 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All MIA and LV props with AI gradesInjuries
MIA 8 listed- IR Ben Sims TE Undisclosed Severe
- IR Cole Turner TE Undisclosed Severe
- Quest. Ollie Gordon II RB Ribs Moderate
- Out Rene Konga DT Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Jacob Rodriguez LB Undisclosed Minimal
- Quest. Ronnie Harrison Jr. LB Hamstring Minimal
- Quest. Will Kacmarek TE Undisclosed Minimal
- Quest. Zach Sieler DT Unknown Minimal
LV 8 listed- Out Chris Collier RB Undisclosed Severe
- Out Corey Rucker WR Undisclosed Severe
- IR Carter Runyon TE Undisclosed Severe
- IR Dont'e Thornton WR Undisclosed Severe
- Quest. Ashton Jeanty RB Ankle Moderate
- Out Brennan Jackson OLB Unknown Minimal
- Out Justin Pickett G Unknown Minimal
- IR Chigozie Anusiem CB Knee Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
MIA last 5L 10-38 @ NEW 20-17 vs TBL 21-45 vs CINL 15-28 @ PITW 34-10 @ NYJ
LV last 5W 14-12 vs KCL 10-34 vs NYGL 21-23 @ HOUL 0-31 @ PHIL 17-24 vs DEN
Head-to-head
- Nov 17, 2024 LV 19 at MIA 34
- Nov 19, 2023 LV 13 at MIA 20
- Sep 26, 2021 MIA 28 at LV 31
Week 1 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
NE @ SEA
Wed 8:20 PM ET
SEA -3.5
O/U 44.5
Ready
SF @ LA
Thu 8:35 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
ATL @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -3.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BAL @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -3.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BUF @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -1.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CHI @ CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -8.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NO @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TEN -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TB @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ LAC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LAC -9.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
GB @ MIN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
MIA @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LV -3.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
WAS @ PHI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
PHI -5.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DAL @ NYG
Sun 8:20 PM ET
DAL -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
DEN @ KC
Mon 8:15 PM ET
KC -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM