New Orleans Saints
20260-0 20256-10
@
Detroit Lions
20260-0 20259-7
NO @ DET breakdown unlocks Fri Sep 11, 1:00 PM ET
The AI read lands 48 hours before kickoff. The market, key matchups, injuries and weather below are live now.
SpreadDET -6.5
Total49.5
NO implied21.5
DET implied28.0
NO ML+270
DET ML-335
Line movement open Sep 6
DET spread
-6.5 -6.5
no move
Total
49.5 49.5
no move
FanDuel
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO |
Travis Etienne Jr. | RB | 22.5 | $5,900 | DET #10 of 32 | 20.5 | Neutral |
| NO |
Tyler Shough | QB | 19.6 | $5,600 | DET #25 of 32 | 19.7 | Favorable |
| NO |
Chris Olave | WR | 17.8 | $6,700 | DET #30 of 32 | 37.1 | Smash |
| NO |
Juwan Johnson | TE | 10.4 | $3,700 | DET #19 of 32 | 13.9 | Neutral |
| DET |
Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | 24.4 | $8,000 | NO #14 of 32 | 21.0 | Neutral |
| DET |
Jared Goff | QB | 18.6 | $6,000 | NO #4 of 32 | 13.9 | Tough |
| DET |
Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 17.7 | $7,500 | NO #6 of 32 | 26.4 | Tough |
| DET |
Sam LaPorta | TE | 10.5 | $4,400 | NO #12 of 32 | 11.9 | Neutral |
NO skill positions vs DET defenseQB
#25/32
19.7 fpa
RB
#10/32
20.5 fpa
WR
#30/32
37.1 fpa
TE
#19/32
13.9 fpa
DET skill positions vs NO defenseQB
#4/32
13.9 fpa
RB
#14/32
21.0 fpa
WR
#6/32
26.4 fpa
TE
#12/32
11.9 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
NO21.5
DET28.0
Offense profile
NORank of 32DET
18.3
#28
Pts / G
29.2
#3
238.6
#12
Pass yds / G
271.4
#3
93.5
#30
Rush yds / G
124.7
#11
62.9
#13
Plays / G
62.4
#16
57%
Pass rate
56%
1.2
Pass TD / G
2.1
0.5
Rush TD / G
1.3
3.0
Sacks taken / G
2.2
0.8
INT thrown / G
0.4
Defense profile
NORank of 32DET
22.7
#16
Pts allowed / G
24.1
#20
199.5
#8
Pass yds allowed
240.2
#21
119.0
#17
Rush yds allowed
116.8
#15
2.5
Sacks / G
3.1
0.6
INT / G
0.8
1.4
Pass TD allowed
1.8
0.8
Rush TD allowed
0.9
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-09, 20 games per team.
Weather
Indoor: no weather factor. Ford Field is a covered venue.
DFS
NO projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | Travis Etienne Jr. | 22.5 | 12.6 / 32.4 | $5,900 | 3.81x | $6,800 | #10 |
| QB | Tyler Shough | 19.6 | 11.6 / 28.2 | $5,600 | 3.49x | $6,900 | #25 |
| WR | Chris Olave | 17.8 | 7.8 / 30.8 | $6,700 | 2.66x | $7,400 | #30 |
| TE | Juwan Johnson | 10.4 | 3.7 / 22.2 | $3,700 | 2.81x | $5,400 | #19 |
| WR | Devaughn Vele | 8.2 | 2.0 / 18.7 | $3,500 | 2.35x | $5,000 | #30 |
| TE | Noah Fant | 4.1 | 0.0 / 14.1 | $3,200 | 1.28x | $4,600 | #19 |
| WR | Bryce Lance | 3.8 | 0.0 / 11.0 | $3,100 | 1.21x | $4,000 | #30 |
DET projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | Jahmyr Gibbs | 24.4 | 16.6 / 39.6 | $8,000 | 3.05x | $9,100 | #14 |
| QB | Jared Goff | 18.6 | 12.3 / 29.4 | $6,000 | 3.10x | $7,800 | #4 |
| WR | Amon-Ra St. Brown | 17.7 | 9.4 / 36.4 | $7,500 | 2.37x | $8,600 | #6 |
| WR | Jameson Williams | 14.8 | 4.3 / 27.3 | $6,000 | 2.46x | $7,100 | #6 |
| TE | Sam LaPorta | 10.5 | 3.9 / 25.0 | $4,400 | 2.39x | $5,800 | #12 |
| WR | Isaac TeSlaa | 5.3 | 0.0 / 14.6 | $3,900 | 1.36x | $4,800 | #6 |
| RB | Jacob Saylors | 2.8 | 0.0 / 8.8 | $4,000 | 0.70x | $4,000 | #14 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET | Rush yds | 83.5 | 82.2 | -114 | DraftKings | #17 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET | Receptions | 4.5 | 5.2 | +120 | FanDuel | #8 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET | Rec yds | 30.5 | 41.5 | -110 | BetRivers | #8 |
| Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO | Rush yds | 56.5 | 95.9 | -114 | FanDuel | #15 |
| Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.4 | +126 | BetOnline | #21 |
| Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO | Rec yds | 18.5 | 27.9 | -112 | BetOnline | #21 |
| Tyler Shough QB NO | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.1 | +138 | BetRivers | #22 |
| Tyler Shough QB NO | Pass yds | 246.5 | 253.1 | -112 | BetOnline | #21 |
| Tyler Shough QB NO | Rush yds | 16.5 | 19.7 | -113 | BetRivers | #15 |
| Jared Goff QB DET | Pass TD | 1.5 | 2.3 | -155 | BetMGM | #11 |
| Jared Goff QB DET | Pass yds | 262.5 | 307.7 | -112 | DraftKings | #8 |
| Jared Goff QB DET | Rush yds | 0.5 | 3.0 | +142 | FanDuel | #17 |
| Chris Olave WR NO | Receptions | 6.5 | 6.6 | +107 | DraftKings | #21 |
| Chris Olave WR NO | Rec yds | 76.5 | 76.5 | -113 | DraftKings | #21 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All NO and DET props with AI gradesInjuries
NO 8 listed- Quest. Alvin Kamara RB Knee Moderate
- Quest. Kendre Miller RB Minor Moderate
- Out David Long DB Undisclosed Minimal
- Out Dillon Radunz G Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Cameron Jordan OLB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Chris Rumph II OLB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. John Ridgeway DT Foot Minimal
- Quest. Oscar Delp TE Hamstring Minimal
DET 8 listed- Out Giovanni Manu OT Knee Minimal
- Out Kerby Joseph FS Knee Minimal
- Out Michael Niese G Leg Minimal
- Quest. D.J. Reed CB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Derrick Moore DE Groin Minimal
- Quest. Ennis Rakestraw Jr. CB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Jimmy Rolder LB Hamstring Minimal
- Quest. Sam LaPorta TE Hip Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
NO last 5L 17-19 @ ATLW 34-26 @ TENW 29-6 vs NYJW 20-17 vs CARW 24-20 @ TB
DET last 5W 19-16 @ CHIL 10-23 @ MINL 24-29 vs PITL 34-41 @ LAW 44-30 vs DAL
Head-to-head
- Dec 3, 2023 DET 33 at NO 28
Week 1 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
NE @ SEA
Wed 8:20 PM ET
SEA -3.5
O/U 44.5
Ready
SF @ LA
Thu 8:35 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
ATL @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -3.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BAL @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -3.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BUF @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -1.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CHI @ CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -8.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NO @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TEN -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TB @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ LAC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LAC -9.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
GB @ MIN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
MIA @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LV -3.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
WAS @ PHI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
PHI -5.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DAL @ NYG
Sun 8:20 PM ET
DAL -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
DEN @ KC
Mon 8:15 PM ET
KC -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM