Denver Broncos
20260-0 202514-4
@
Kansas City Chiefs
20260-0 20256-10
DEN @ KC breakdown unlocks Sat Sep 12, 8:15 PM ET
The AI read lands 48 hours before kickoff. The market, key matchups, injuries and weather below are live now.
SpreadKC -2.5
Total43.5
DEN implied20.5
KC implied23.0
DEN ML+120
KC ML-142
Line movement open Sep 6
KC spread
-2.5 -2.5
no move
Total
43.5 43.5
no move
FanDuel
Key matchups
DEN skill positions vs KC defenseQB
#13/32
16.0 fpa
RB
#5/32
19.6 fpa
WR
#12/32
28.7 fpa
TE
#10/32
11.3 fpa
KC skill positions vs DEN defenseQB
#9/32
15.4 fpa
RB
#1/32
16.9 fpa
WR
#9/32
27.5 fpa
TE
#22/32
14.5 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
DEN20.5
KC23.0
Offense profile
DENRank of 32KC
23.4
#14
Pts / G
21.3
#20
231.5
#16
Pass yds / G
232.4
#15
112.0
#21
Rush yds / G
107.1
#24
63.7
#8
Plays / G
62.7
#14
58%
Pass rate
57%
1.6
Pass TD / G
1.4
0.9
Rush TD / G
0.9
1.4
Sacks taken / G
2.8
0.6
INT thrown / G
0.8
Defense profile
DENRank of 32KC
18.8
#4
Pts allowed / G
18.8
#5
214.9
#11
Pass yds allowed
198.1
#6
100.1
#4
Rush yds allowed
106.7
#9
3.9
Sacks / G
2.0
0.7
INT / G
0.6
1.2
Pass TD allowed
0.9
0.7
Rush TD allowed
0.9
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-09, 20 games per team.
Weather
Forecast lands 2 days before kickoff (GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City)
Injuries
DEN 8 listed- IR Caleb Lohner TE Lower Body Severe
- Out Jonathon Cooper OLB Colo. Minimal
- Out Levelle Bailey ILB Leg Minimal
- Out Matt Henningsen DE Unknown Minimal
- Out Michael Deiter C Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Luke Wattenberg C Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Marvin Mims WR Foot Minimal
- Quest. Riley Moss CB Ribs Minimal
KC 8 listed- Out Jeff Caldwell WR Knee Severe
- Quest. Patrick Mahomes QB Knee Moderate
- Quest. Alohi Gilman FS Back Minimal
- Quest. Ashton Gillotte DE Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Drue Tranquill LB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Josh Simmons OT Back Minimal
- Quest. L'Jarius Sneed CB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. R Mason Thomas DE Hamstring Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
DEN last 5L 7-10 vs NEW 33-30 vs BUFW 19-3 vs LACW 20-13 @ KCL 20-34 vs JAX
KC last 5L 12-14 @ LVL 13-20 vs DENL 9-26 @ TENL 13-16 vs LACL 10-20 vs HOU
Head-to-head
- Dec 25, 2025 DEN 20 at KC 13
- Nov 16, 2025 KC 19 at DEN 22
- Nov 10, 2024 DEN 14 at KC 16
Week 1 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
NE @ SEA
Wed 8:20 PM ET
SEA -3.5
O/U 44.5
Ready
SF @ LA
Thu 8:35 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
ATL @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -3.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BAL @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -3.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BUF @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -1.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CHI @ CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -8.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NO @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TEN -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TB @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ LAC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LAC -9.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
GB @ MIN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
MIA @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LV -3.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
WAS @ PHI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
PHI -5.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DAL @ NYG
Sun 8:20 PM ET
DAL -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
DEN @ KC
Mon 8:15 PM ET
KC -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM