Washington Commanders
20260-0 20254-12
@
Philadelphia Eagles
20260-0 202510-7
WAS @ PHI breakdown unlocks Fri Sep 11, 4:25 PM ET
The AI read lands 48 hours before kickoff. The market, key matchups, injuries and weather below are live now.
SpreadPHI -5.5
Total44.5
WAS implied19.5
PHI implied25.0
WAS ML+194
PHI ML-235
Line movement open Sep 6
PHI spread
-5.5 -5.5
no move
Total
44.5 44.5
no move
FanDuel
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS |
Jayden Daniels | QB | 17.2 | $6,500 | PHI #11 of 32 | 15.5 | Neutral |
| WAS |
Terry McLaurin | WR | 12.5 | $5,700 | PHI #8 of 32 | 26.6 | Neutral |
| WAS |
Rachaad White | RB | 8.9 | $5,200 | PHI #22 of 32 | 23.8 | Favorable |
| WAS |
Chig Okonkwo | TE | 7.1 | $4,000 | PHI #2 of 32 | 8.5 | Tough |
| PHI |
Jalen Hurts | QB | 23.0 | $6,600 | WAS #29 of 32 | 20.5 | Smash |
| PHI |
Saquon Barkley | RB | 18.7 | $6,900 | WAS #30 of 32 | 28.0 | Smash |
| PHI |
DeVonta Smith | WR | 13.7 | $6,600 | WAS #25 of 32 | 34.9 | Favorable |
| PHI |
Dallas Goedert | TE | 11.2 | $4,100 | WAS #27 of 32 | 16.0 | Smash |
WAS skill positions vs PHI defenseQB
#11/32
15.5 fpa
RB
#22/32
23.8 fpa
WR
#8/32
26.6 fpa
TE
#2/32
8.5 fpa
PHI skill positions vs WAS defenseQB
#29/32
20.5 fpa
RB
#30/32
28.0 fpa
WR
#25/32
34.9 fpa
TE
#27/32
16.0 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
WAS19.5
PHI25.0
Offense profile
WASRank of 32PHI
20.9
#23
Pts / G
22.0
#18
193.5
#27
Pass yds / G
206.7
#23
129.4
#6
Rush yds / G
115.9
#16
57.8
#29
Plays / G
60.0
#21
49%
Pass rate
52%
1.1
Pass TD / G
1.6
1.1
Rush TD / G
0.9
2.1
Sacks taken / G
2.1
0.8
INT thrown / G
0.4
Defense profile
WASRank of 32PHI
27.8
#27
Pts allowed / G
19.3
#7
262.9
#30
Pass yds allowed
210.6
#9
145.8
#31
Rush yds allowed
121.8
#21
2.5
Sacks / G
2.5
0.5
INT / G
0.8
2.1
Pass TD allowed
1.0
1.1
Rush TD allowed
1.1
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-09, 20 games per team.
Weather
Forecast lands 2 days before kickoff (Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia)
DFS
WAS projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Jayden Daniels | 17.2 | 11.6 / 28.6 | $6,500 | 2.65x | $7,900 | #11 |
| WR | Terry McLaurin | 12.5 | 5.1 / 25.1 | $5,700 | 2.19x | $6,200 | #8 |
| WR | Stefon Diggs | 11.0 | 5.1 / 23.7 | $5,200 | 2.12x | $6,000 | #8 |
| RB | Rachaad White | 8.9 | 4.5 / 19.3 | $5,200 | 1.71x | $5,600 | #22 |
| RB | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 7.5 | 2.8 / 16.7 | $5,300 | 1.41x | $5,700 | #22 |
| TE | Chig Okonkwo | 7.1 | 2.6 / 17.6 | $4,000 | 1.76x | $5,000 | #2 |
| WR | Antonio Williams | 4.2 | 0.0 / 11.4 | $4,200 | 0.99x | $5,200 | #8 |
PHI projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Jalen Hurts | 23.0 | 13.2 / 31.9 | $6,600 | 3.48x | $8,300 | #29 |
| RB | Saquon Barkley | 18.7 | 9.6 / 28.9 | $6,900 | 2.71x | $8,100 | #30 |
| WR | DeVonta Smith | 13.7 | 6.4 / 31.2 | $6,600 | 2.07x | $7,500 | #25 |
| TE | Dallas Goedert | 11.2 | 4.8 / 25.3 | $4,100 | 2.72x | $5,300 | #27 |
| WR | Makai Lemon | 7.9 | 2.1 / 18.2 | $5,100 | 1.55x | $5,500 | #25 |
| WR | Dontayvion Wicks | 6.9 | 1.5 / 16.0 | $4,100 | 1.69x | $5,500 | #25 |
| RB | Tank Bigsby | 4.0 | 0.3 / 11.5 | $4,900 | 0.81x | $4,600 | #30 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts QB PHI | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.7 | +120 | Bovada | #31 |
| Jalen Hurts QB PHI | Pass yds | 209.5 | 217.5 | -110 | Fanatics | #29 |
| Jalen Hurts QB PHI | Rush yds | 28.5 | 25.6 | -108 | DraftKings | #31 |
| Saquon Barkley RB PHI | Rush yds | 77.5 | 96.7 | -110 | DraftKings | #31 |
| Saquon Barkley RB PHI | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.9 | +104 | BetRivers | #29 |
| Saquon Barkley RB PHI | Rec yds | 16.5 | 22.3 | -114 | FanDuel | #29 |
| Jayden Daniels QB WAS | Pass TD | 0.5 | 1.2 | +180 | BetMGM | #4 |
| Jayden Daniels QB WAS | Pass yds | 200.5 | 186.8 | -113 | DraftKings | #9 |
| Jayden Daniels QB WAS | Rush yds | 36.5 | 41.2 | -114 | DraftKings | #21 |
| DeVonta Smith WR PHI | Receptions | 5.5 | 5.6 | +114 | BetRivers | #29 |
| DeVonta Smith WR PHI | Rec yds | 66.5 | 73.1 | -111 | DraftKings | #29 |
| Terry McLaurin WR WAS | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.9 | +110 | BetMGM | #10 |
| Terry McLaurin WR WAS | Rec yds | 49.5 | 59.8 | -113 | DraftKings | #10 |
| Dallas Goedert TE PHI | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.1 | +102 | FanDuel | #29 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All WAS and PHI props with AI gradesInjuries
WAS 8 listed- Quest. Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB Lower Body Moderate
- Quest. Marcus Mariota QB Knee Moderate
- Quest. Rachaad White RB Hamstring Moderate
- Quest. Ben Sinnott TE Unknown Minimal
- Quest. John Bates TE Hamstring Minimal
- Quest. Jordan Magee ILB Shoulder Minimal
- Quest. Nick Allegretti G Calf Minimal
- Quest. Odafe Oweh OLB Undisclosed Minimal
PHI 8 listed- Out Johnny Wilson WR Knee Severe
- Out Andre' Sam FS Foot Minimal
- Out Jonathan Greenard OLB Pectoral Minimal
- Out Tucker Large FS Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Byron Young DT Shoulder Minimal
- Quest. Cooper DeJean FS Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Eli Stowers TE Hamstring Minimal
- Quest. Jonathan Jones CB Unknown Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
WAS last 5W 24-17 @ PHIL 23-30 vs DALL 18-29 vs PHIW 29-21 @ NYGL 0-31 @ MIN
PHI last 5L 19-23 vs SFL 17-24 vs WASW 13-12 @ BUFW 29-18 @ WASW 31-0 vs LV
Head-to-head
- Jan 4, 2026 WAS 24 at PHI 17
- Dec 20, 2025 PHI 29 at WAS 18
- Jan 26, 2025 WAS 23 at PHI 55
Week 1 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
NE @ SEA
Wed 8:20 PM ET
SEA -3.5
O/U 44.5
Ready
SF @ LA
Thu 8:35 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
ATL @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -3.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BAL @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -3.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BUF @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -1.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CHI @ CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -8.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NO @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TEN -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TB @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ LAC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LAC -9.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
GB @ MIN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
MIA @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LV -3.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
WAS @ PHI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
PHI -5.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DAL @ NYG
Sun 8:20 PM ET
DAL -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
DEN @ KC
Mon 8:15 PM ET
KC -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM