Dallas Cowboys
20260-0 20257-8
@
New York Giants
20260-0 20254-12
DAL @ NYG breakdown unlocks Fri Sep 11, 8:20 PM ET
The AI read lands 48 hours before kickoff. The market, key matchups, injuries and weather below are live now.
SpreadDAL -2.5
Total48.5
DAL implied25.5
NYG implied23.0
DAL ML-154
NYG ML+130
Line movement open Sep 6
NYG spread
+2.5 +2.5
no move
Total
48.5 48.5
no move
FanDuel
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL |
Dak Prescott | QB | 20.9 | $6,400 | NYG #19 of 32 | 18.5 | Neutral |
| DAL |
George Pickens | WR | 18.1 | $6,400 | NYG #22 of 32 | 32.9 | Favorable |
| DAL |
Javonte Williams | RB | 15.7 | $6,300 | NYG #28 of 32 | 26.2 | Smash |
| DAL |
Jake Ferguson | TE | 9.4 | $3,900 | NYG #7 of 32 | 11.1 | Tough |
| NYG |
Jaxson Dart | QB | 20.6 | $5,600 | DAL #32 of 32 | 24.0 | Smash |
| NYG |
Cam Skattebo | RB | 15.4 | $5,800 | DAL #27 of 32 | 25.6 | Smash |
| NYG |
Malik Nabers | WR | 12.4 | $6,800 | DAL #32 of 32 | 39.7 | Smash |
| NYG |
Isaiah Likely | TE | 9.5 | $4,300 | DAL #11 of 32 | 11.9 | Neutral |
DAL skill positions vs NYG defenseQB
#19/32
18.5 fpa
RB
#28/32
26.2 fpa
WR
#22/32
32.9 fpa
TE
#7/32
11.1 fpa
NYG skill positions vs DAL defenseQB
#32/32
24.0 fpa
RB
#27/32
25.6 fpa
WR
#32/32
39.7 fpa
TE
#11/32
11.9 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
DAL25.5
NYG23.0
Offense profile
DALRank of 32NYG
28.2
#4
Pts / G
23.4
#15
284.7
#1
Pass yds / G
221.0
#20
126.1
#10
Rush yds / G
132.6
#4
66.5
#2
Plays / G
63.9
#6
57%
Pass rate
50%
1.9
Pass TD / G
1.3
1.0
Rush TD / G
1.4
1.9
Sacks taken / G
2.9
0.8
INT thrown / G
0.6
Defense profile
DALRank of 32NYG
30.4
#32
Pts allowed / G
26.1
#25
272.8
#32
Pass yds allowed
229.8
#18
123.4
#22
Rush yds allowed
140.6
#29
2.1
Sacks / G
2.2
0.4
INT / G
0.6
2.2
Pass TD allowed
1.5
1.3
Rush TD allowed
1.2
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-09, 20 games per team.
Weather
Forecast lands 2 days before kickoff (MetLife Stadium, New York)
DFS
DAL projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Dak Prescott | 20.9 | 8.2 / 32.9 | $6,400 | 3.27x | $8,300 | #19 |
| WR | George Pickens | 18.1 | 6.8 / 27.2 | $6,400 | 2.83x | $8,300 | #22 |
| WR | CeeDee Lamb | 17.7 | 7.5 / 29.8 | $7,400 | 2.39x | $8,700 | #22 |
| RB | Javonte Williams | 15.7 | 6.2 / 24.6 | $6,300 | 2.50x | $7,000 | #28 |
| TE | Jake Ferguson | 9.4 | 4.7 / 18.9 | $3,900 | 2.41x | $5,700 | #7 |
| WR | Ryan Flournoy | 6.1 | 0.0 / 0.0 | $3,900 | 1.57x | $5,400 | #22 |
| WR | KaVontae Turpin | 3.1 | 1.4 / 5.6 | $3,300 | 0.95x | $4,700 | #22 |
NYG projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Jaxson Dart | 20.6 | 7.8 / 31.3 | $5,600 | 3.68x | $7,300 | #32 |
| RB | Cam Skattebo | 15.4 | 6.7 / 26.9 | $5,800 | 2.66x | $6,500 | #27 |
| WR | Malik Nabers | 12.4 | 5.5 / 22.0 | $6,800 | 1.82x | $7,900 | #32 |
| TE | Isaiah Likely | 9.5 | 4.4 / 17.6 | $4,300 | 2.20x | $5,300 | #11 |
| WR | Malachi Fields | 5.8 | 2.6 / 10.2 | $4,300 | 1.35x | $4,900 | #32 |
| WR | Darius Slayton | 4.7 | 2.1 / 8.3 | $4,200 | 1.13x | $5,300 | #32 |
| TE | Theo Johnson | 4.2 | 1.8 / 7.2 | $2,800 | 1.51x | $5,100 | #11 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott QB DAL | Pass TD | 1.5 | 2.0 | -136 | BetRivers | #15 |
| Dak Prescott QB DAL | Pass yds | 261.5 | 288.7 | -113 | DraftKings | #18 |
| Dak Prescott QB DAL | Rush yds | 7.5 | 11.5 | -114 | DraftKings | #29 |
| Jaxson Dart QB NYG | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.3 | +138 | BetRivers | #32 |
| Jaxson Dart QB NYG | Pass yds | 211.5 | 190.1 | -111 | DraftKings | #32 |
| Jaxson Dart QB NYG | Rush yds | 31.5 | 40.4 | +100 | Fanatics | #22 |
| George Pickens WR DAL | Receptions | 4.5 | 5.8 | +124 | FanDuel | #18 |
| George Pickens WR DAL | Rec yds | 67.5 | 90.6 | -114 | DraftKings | #18 |
| CeeDee Lamb WR DAL | Receptions | 6.5 | 7.0 | +117 | DraftKings | #18 |
| CeeDee Lamb WR DAL | Rec yds | 77.5 | 99.5 | -111 | DraftKings | #18 |
| Javonte Williams RB DAL | Rush yds | 73.5 | 74.4 | -114 | DraftKings | #29 |
| Javonte Williams RB DAL | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.1 | +154 | FanDuel | #18 |
| Javonte Williams RB DAL | Rec yds | 9.5 | 8.1 | -105 | DraftKings | #18 |
| Cam Skattebo RB NYG | Rush yds | 49.5 | 49.5 | -110 | DraftKings | #22 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All DAL and NYG props with AI gradesInjuries
DAL 7 listed- Out DJ Rogers TE Knee Severe
- IR Princeton Fant TE Unknown Severe
- Out Kelvin Gilliam DT Triceps Minimal
- Quest. Jonathan Bullard DT Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Tyler Guyton OT Unknown Minimal
- IR Devin Moore CB Undisclosed Minimal
- IR Marist Liufau OLB Forearm Minimal
NYG 8 listed- Quest. Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB Neck Moderate
- Out Jarrick Bernard-Converse CB Unknown Minimal
- Out Thaddeus Dixon CB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Andru Phillips CB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Colton Hood CB Quadriceps Minimal
- Quest. Francis Mauigoa G Upper Body Minimal
- Quest. Malik Nabers WR Knee Minimal
- Quest. Theo Johnson TE Shoulder Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
DAL last 5L 17-34 @ NYGW 30-23 @ WASL 17-34 vs LACL 26-34 vs MINL 30-44 @ DET
NYG last 5W 34-17 vs DALW 34-10 @ LVL 13-16 vs MINL 21-29 vs WASL 15-33 @ NE
Head-to-head
- Jan 4, 2026 DAL 17 at NYG 34
- Sep 14, 2025 NYG 37 at DAL 40
- Nov 28, 2024 NYG 20 at DAL 27
Week 1 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
NE @ SEA
Wed 8:20 PM ET
SEA -3.5
O/U 44.5
Ready
SF @ LA
Thu 8:35 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
ATL @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -3.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BAL @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -3.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BUF @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -1.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CHI @ CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -8.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NO @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TEN -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TB @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ LAC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LAC -9.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
GB @ MIN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
MIA @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LV -3.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
WAS @ PHI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
PHI -5.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DAL @ NYG
Sun 8:20 PM ET
DAL -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
DEN @ KC
Mon 8:15 PM ET
KC -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM