Baltimore Ravens
20260-0 20258-8
@
Indianapolis Colts
20260-0 20257-9
BAL @ IND breakdown unlocks Fri Sep 11, 1:00 PM ET
The AI read lands 48 hours before kickoff. The market, key matchups, injuries and weather below are live now.
SpreadBAL -3.5
Total47.5
BAL implied25.5
IND implied22.0
BAL ML-180
IND ML+152
Line movement open Sep 6
IND spread
+3.5 +3.5
no move
Total
47.5 47.5
no move
FanDuel
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL |
Lamar Jackson | QB | 19.8 | $6,800 | IND #20 of 32 | 18.6 | Favorable |
| BAL |
Zay Flowers | WR | 16.9 | $6,400 | IND #31 of 32 | 37.4 | Smash |
| BAL |
Derrick Henry | RB | 16.6 | $6,700 | IND #13 of 32 | 20.9 | Neutral |
| BAL |
Mark Andrews | TE | 10.3 | $3,900 | IND #24 of 32 | 15.3 | Favorable |
| IND |
Jonathan Taylor | RB | 19.0 | $7,300 | BAL #18 of 32 | 22.7 | Neutral |
| IND |
Daniel Jones | QB | 18.1 | $5,400 | BAL #21 of 32 | 18.7 | Favorable |
| IND |
Tyler Warren | TE | 12.3 | $4,900 | BAL #6 of 32 | 11.1 | Tough |
| IND |
Alec Pierce | WR | 10.9 | $5,700 | BAL #29 of 32 | 36.5 | Smash |
BAL skill positions vs IND defenseQB
#20/32
18.6 fpa
RB
#13/32
20.9 fpa
WR
#31/32
37.4 fpa
TE
#24/32
15.3 fpa
IND skill positions vs BAL defenseQB
#21/32
18.7 fpa
RB
#18/32
22.7 fpa
WR
#29/32
36.5 fpa
TE
#6/32
11.1 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
BAL25.5
IND22.0
Offense profile
BALRank of 32IND
24.0
#13
Pts / G
27.1
#8
192.0
#28
Pass yds / G
238.8
#10
151.5
#2
Rush yds / G
115.4
#17
57.8
#28
Plays / G
59.2
#25
46%
Pass rate
56%
1.3
Pass TD / G
1.5
1.2
Rush TD / G
1.6
2.7
Sacks taken / G
1.8
0.7
INT thrown / G
0.9
Defense profile
BALRank of 32IND
22.3
#13
Pts allowed / G
25.2
#24
250.6
#26
Pass yds allowed
270.2
#31
106.6
#8
Rush yds allowed
103.4
#7
1.8
Sacks / G
2.2
0.7
INT / G
0.8
1.3
Pass TD allowed
1.4
0.9
Rush TD allowed
1.0
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-09, 20 games per team.
Weather
Indoor: no weather factor. Lucas Oil Stadium is a covered venue.
DFS
BAL projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Lamar Jackson | 19.8 | 12.9 / 32.0 | $6,800 | 2.91x | $8,400 | #20 |
| WR | Zay Flowers | 16.9 | 7.7 / 31.9 | $6,400 | 2.64x | $7,300 | #31 |
| RB | Derrick Henry | 16.6 | 8.6 / 28.3 | $6,700 | 2.48x | $8,300 | #13 |
| TE | Mark Andrews | 10.3 | 3.2 / 22.1 | $3,900 | 2.64x | $5,200 | #24 |
| RB | Justice Hill | 6.7 | 2.2 / 17.4 | $4,200 | 1.59x | $4,400 | #13 |
| WR | Rashod Bateman | 6.3 | 0.0 / 15.6 | $3,900 | 1.63x | $5,200 | #31 |
| WR | Ja'Kobi Lane | 5.0 | 0.0 / 14.3 | $3,100 | 1.60x | $4,900 | #31 |
IND projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | Jonathan Taylor | 19.0 | 10.6 / 30.1 | $7,300 | 2.60x | $8,600 | #18 |
| QB | Daniel Jones | 18.1 | 10.3 / 26.8 | $5,400 | 3.36x | $7,300 | #21 |
| TE | Tyler Warren | 12.3 | 6.1 / 27.4 | $4,900 | 2.51x | $5,600 | #6 |
| WR | Alec Pierce | 10.9 | 2.6 / 21.6 | $5,700 | 1.91x | $6,000 | #29 |
| WR | Josh Downs | 10.6 | 4.7 / 24.9 | $5,200 | 2.04x | $5,600 | #29 |
| WR | Keenan Allen | 9.3 | 2.8 / 20.6 | $4,700 | 1.99x | $5,600 | #29 |
| WR | Ashton Dulin | 1.9 | 2.1 / 2.1 | $3,200 | 0.61x | $4,300 | #29 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson QB BAL | Pass TD | 1.5 | 2.0 | +115 | Bovada | #11 |
| Lamar Jackson QB BAL | Pass yds | 219.5 | 238.6 | -112 | DraftKings | #31 |
| Lamar Jackson QB BAL | Rush yds | 36.5 | 32.6 | -113 | DraftKings | #7 |
| Jonathan Taylor RB IND | Rush yds | 76.5 | 88.9 | -112 | DraftKings | #8 |
| Jonathan Taylor RB IND | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.6 | -149 | BetOnline | #26 |
| Jonathan Taylor RB IND | Rec yds | 16.5 | 21.2 | -111 | BetMGM | #26 |
| Daniel Jones QB IND | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.4 | +136 | FanDuel | #8 |
| Daniel Jones QB IND | Pass yds | 233.5 | 231.1 | -112 | DraftKings | #26 |
| Daniel Jones QB IND | Rush yds | 10.5 | 11.8 | -110 | BetMGM | #8 |
| Zay Flowers WR BAL | Receptions | 4.5 | 5.5 | +120 | BetMGM | #31 |
| Zay Flowers WR BAL | Rec yds | 64.5 | 76.8 | -113 | DraftKings | #31 |
| Derrick Henry RB BAL | Rush yds | 79.5 | 94.6 | -111 | DraftKings | #7 |
| Derrick Henry RB BAL | Receptions | 0.5 | 0.9 | +190 | BetOnline | #31 |
| Derrick Henry RB BAL | Rec yds | 6.5 | 8.9 | -107 | DraftKings | #31 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All BAL and IND props with AI gradesInjuries
BAL 8 listed- Out Skylar Thompson QB Unknown Severe
- IR Adam Randall RB Undisclosed Severe
- Quest. Aeneas Peebles DT Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Jay Higgins IV ILB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Nnamdi Madubuike DE Neck Minimal
- Quest. Teddye Buchanan ILB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Zay Flowers WR Lower Body Minimal
- IR Bilhal Kone CB Lower Body Minimal
IND 8 listed- IR Carson Towt TE Unknown Severe
- IR Coleman Owen WR Concussion Severe
- IR D.J. Montgomery WR Abdomen Severe
- Quest. A.J. Haulcy FS Ankle Minimal
- Quest. Charvarius Ward CB Back Minimal
- Quest. Josh Downs WR Calf Minimal
- Quest. Sauce Gardner CB Calf Minimal
- Quest. Tyler Warren TE Adductor Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
BAL last 5L 24-26 @ PITW 41-24 @ GBL 24-28 vs NEW 24-0 @ CINL 22-27 vs PIT
IND last 5L 30-38 @ HOUL 17-23 vs JAXL 27-48 vs SFL 16-18 @ SEAL 19-36 @ JAX
Head-to-head
- Sep 24, 2023 IND 22 at BAL 19
- Oct 11, 2021 IND 25 at BAL 31
Week 1 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
NE @ SEA
Wed 8:20 PM ET
SEA -3.5
O/U 44.5
Ready
SF @ LA
Thu 8:35 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
ATL @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -3.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BAL @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -3.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BUF @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -1.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CHI @ CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -8.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NO @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TEN -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TB @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ LAC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LAC -9.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
GB @ MIN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
MIA @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LV -3.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
WAS @ PHI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
PHI -5.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DAL @ NYG
Sun 8:20 PM ET
DAL -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
DEN @ KC
Mon 8:15 PM ET
KC -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM