Chicago Bears
20260-0 202512-6
@
Carolina Panthers
20260-0 20258-9
CHI @ CAR breakdown unlocks Fri Sep 11, 1:00 PM ET
The AI read lands 48 hours before kickoff. The market, key matchups, injuries and weather below are live now.
SpreadCHI -3
Total47.5
CHI implied25.2
CAR implied22.2
CHI ML-164
CAR ML+138
Line movement open Sep 6
CAR spread
+2.5 +3
0.5
Total
47.5 47.5
no move
FanDuel
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI |
Caleb Williams | QB | 18.7 | $6,300 | CAR #6 of 32 | 14.5 | Tough |
| CHI |
D'Andre Swift | RB | 13.3 | $6,100 | CAR #25 of 32 | 25.3 | Favorable |
| CHI |
Luther Burden III | WR | 12.4 | $5,500 | CAR #11 of 32 | 28.2 | Neutral |
| CHI |
Colston Loveland | TE | 11.3 | $5,300 | CAR #16 of 32 | 13.5 | Neutral |
| CAR |
Bryce Young | QB | 16.8 | $5,200 | CHI #26 of 32 | 19.8 | Smash |
| CAR |
Tetairoa McMillan | WR | 13.7 | $6,100 | CHI #27 of 32 | 35.8 | Smash |
| CAR |
Jonathon Brooks | RB | 9.5 | $5,000 | CHI #15 of 32 | 21.4 | Neutral |
| CAR |
Darren Waller | TE | 6.1 | $3,200 | CHI #13 of 32 | 12.4 | Neutral |
CHI skill positions vs CAR defenseQB
#6/32
14.5 fpa
RB
#25/32
25.3 fpa
WR
#11/32
28.2 fpa
TE
#16/32
13.5 fpa
CAR skill positions vs CHI defenseQB
#26/32
19.8 fpa
RB
#15/32
21.4 fpa
WR
#27/32
35.8 fpa
TE
#13/32
12.4 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
CHI25.2
CAR22.2
Offense profile
CHIRank of 32CAR
25.8
#9
Pts / G
19.5
#27
244.7
#8
Pass yds / G
201.4
#24
143.6
#3
Rush yds / G
114.6
#19
66.6
#1
Plays / G
59.6
#23
54%
Pass rate
53%
1.7
Pass TD / G
1.4
1.1
Rush TD / G
0.7
1.3
Sacks taken / G
2.1
0.7
INT thrown / G
0.6
Defense profile
CHIRank of 32CAR
24.2
#21
Pts allowed / G
22.8
#17
250.3
#25
Pass yds allowed
222.5
#14
132.1
#28
Rush yds allowed
118.4
#16
2.1
Sacks / G
1.8
1.2
INT / G
0.9
1.9
Pass TD allowed
1.3
0.9
Rush TD allowed
1.2
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-09, 20 games per team.
Weather
Forecast lands 2 days before kickoff (Bank of America Stadium, Carolina)
DFS
CHI projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Caleb Williams | 18.7 | 11.9 / 29.6 | $6,300 | 2.97x | $8,000 | #6 |
| RB | D'Andre Swift | 13.3 | 7.2 / 24.8 | $6,100 | 2.18x | $6,600 | #25 |
| WR | Luther Burden III | 12.4 | 6.0 / 30.4 | $5,500 | 2.26x | $6,200 | #11 |
| WR | Rome Odunze | 11.9 | 0.0 / 0.0 | $5,400 | 2.20x | $6,700 | #11 |
| TE | Colston Loveland | 11.3 | 4.5 / 25.6 | $5,300 | 2.13x | $6,000 | #16 |
| RB | Kyle Monangai | 7.2 | 2.2 / 14.8 | $5,100 | 1.41x | $5,600 | #25 |
| WR | Zavion Thomas | 3.9 | 0.0 / 10.7 | $3,600 | 1.09x | $4,300 | #11 |
CAR projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Bryce Young | 16.8 | 10.1 / 26.1 | $5,200 | 3.23x | $6,800 | #26 |
| WR | Tetairoa McMillan | 13.7 | 5.4 / 26.7 | $6,100 | 2.25x | $6,800 | #27 |
| WR | Jalen Coker | 9.6 | 0.0 / 0.0 | $4,600 | 2.09x | $5,400 | #27 |
| RB | Jonathon Brooks | 9.5 | 0.0 / 0.0 | $5,000 | 1.90x | $5,700 | #15 |
| RB | Chuba Hubbard | 9.2 | 4.4 / 19.7 | $5,500 | 1.68x | $5,800 | #15 |
| TE | Darren Waller | 6.1 | 2.4 / 14.5 | $3,200 | 1.91x | $4,300 | #13 |
| WR | Xavier Legette | 3.9 | 0.0 / 10.2 | $3,700 | 1.06x | $4,800 | #27 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams QB CHI | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.6 | +100 | BetMGM | #8 |
| Caleb Williams QB CHI | Pass yds | 225.5 | 228.8 | -111 | DraftKings | #14 |
| Caleb Williams QB CHI | Rush yds | 19.5 | 21.3 | -112 | BetRivers | #16 |
| Bryce Young QB CAR | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.5 | +124 | BetOnline | #27 |
| Bryce Young QB CAR | Pass yds | 206.5 | 198.2 | -111 | DraftKings | #25 |
| Bryce Young QB CAR | Rush yds | 14.5 | 14.5 | +105 | Fanatics | #28 |
| Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR | Receptions | 4.5 | 4.7 | -111 | DraftKings | #25 |
| Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR | Rec yds | 58.5 | 68.2 | -109 | DraftKings | #25 |
| D'Andre Swift RB CHI | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.0 | -185 | BetOnline | #14 |
| D'Andre Swift RB CHI | Rec yds | 12.5 | 18.8 | -110 | BetOnline | #14 |
| Luther Burden III WR CHI | Receptions | 4.5 | 4.9 | -129 | DraftKings | #14 |
| Luther Burden III WR CHI | Rec yds | 55.5 | 65.4 | -110 | DraftKings | #14 |
| Rome Odunze WR CHI | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.3 | +112 | BetOnline | #14 |
| Rome Odunze WR CHI | Rec yds | 43.5 | 50.9 | -112 | DraftKings | #14 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All CHI and CAR props with AI gradesInjuries
CHI 8 listed- Quest. D'Andre Swift RB Abdomen Moderate
- Quest. Kyle Monangai RB Knee Moderate
- Out Dallis Flowers CB Unknown Minimal
- Out Jonathan Garvin DE Unknown Minimal
- Out Kyler Gordon CB Calf Minimal
- Out Ruben Hyppolite II LB Shoulder Minimal
- Quest. Luther Burden III WR Groin Minimal
- Quest. Rome Odunze WR Unknown Minimal
CAR 8 listed- Quest. Chuba Hubbard RB Hamstring Moderate
- Quest. Haynes King QB Hamstring Moderate
- Quest. Jonathon Brooks RB Soreness Moderate
- Out Taylor Moton OT Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Akayleb Evans CB Neck Minimal
- Quest. Derrick Brown DE Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Devin Lloyd ILB Knee Minimal
- Quest. Xavier Legette WR Ankle Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
CHI last 5L 17-20 vs LAW 31-27 vs GBL 16-19 vs DETL 38-42 @ SFW 22-16 vs GB
CAR last 5L 31-34 vs LAL 14-16 @ TBL 10-27 vs SEAW 23-20 vs TBL 17-20 @ NO
Head-to-head
- Oct 6, 2024 CAR 10 at CHI 36
- Nov 9, 2023 CAR 13 at CHI 16
Week 1 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
NE @ SEA
Wed 8:20 PM ET
SEA -3.5
O/U 44.5
Ready
SF @ LA
Thu 8:35 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
ATL @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -3.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BAL @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -3.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
BUF @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -1.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CHI @ CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -8.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NO @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TEN -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TB @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ LAC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LAC -9.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
GB @ MIN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
MIA @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LV -3.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
WAS @ PHI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
PHI -5.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DAL @ NYG
Sun 8:20 PM ET
DAL -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
DEN @ KC
Mon 8:15 PM ET
KC -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM