NFL · 2026 season

Week 3 game breakdowns

Every Week 3 game cut to the line, the angle and the signals that move it. Open a game for the full matchup, DFS, props, weather and injury picture. Angles unlock 48 hours before kickoff.

16 games · Updated Sep 28, 8:03 PM ET

Edge board

2 edges that clear the bar

Ranked by edge score. Off the board at kickoff.
01
PHI @ CHI · Mon 8:15 PMBest bet
Jalen Hurts as GPP core against CHI's #28-ranked QB defense (20.5 fpa) is the game's clearest edge

Hurts draws CHI's #28 QB defense, but the model's 3.5-point margin exactly matches the spread.

4/10 confidenceOpen angle
02
PHI @ CHI · Mon 8:15 PMMatchup
Jalen Hurts draws CHI, the No. 28 defense against QBs

CHI allows 20.5 fantasy points per game to QBs, rank 28 of 32; Jalen Hurts projects 20.8 on DraftEdge.

#28 vs QBsOpen angle

Thursday, Sep 24

1 game
8:15 PM ET · Prime Video · Lambeau Field Final
Atlanta Falcons
0-2 · 8-9 last season
35
Green Bay Packers
1-1 · 8-9 last season · Home
14
ClosedGB -4.5
Closed total43.5
ResultATL covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
GB -5.5 with implied totals exactly at 24.5-19.0, but Penix is Out and the QB picture is murky. · Pass · Pass
Final · closed GB -4.5 · 43.5 Recap

Sunday, Sep 27

14 games
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Huntington Bank Field Final
Carolina Panthers
1-1 · 8-10 last season
18
Cleveland Browns
1-1 · 6-11 last season · Home
21
ClosedCAR -2.5
Closed total41.5
ResultCLE covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
Quinshon Judkins is the game's only SMASH, running into Carolina's 32nd-ranked run defense. · CLE +2.5 · Under 41.5
  • Darren Waller: CLE #20 vs TE · 13.9 fpa Favorable
  • Quinshon Judkins: CAR #32 vs RB · 28.4 fpa Smash
Final · closed CAR -2.5 · 41.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Acrisure Stadium Final
Cincinnati Bengals
2-0 · 6-11 last season
27
Pittsburgh Steelers
1-1 · 10-8 last season · Home
30
ClosedCIN -3.5
Closed total42.5
ResultPIT covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Pat Freiermuth faces the NFL's worst TE defense: CIN ranks 32nd, a smash spot. · PIT +3.5 · Over 42.5
Final · closed CIN -3.5 · 42.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Lucas Oil Stadium · Indoor Final
Houston Texans
0-2 · 13-6 last season
17
Indianapolis Colts
0-2 · 6-11 last season · Home
19
ClosedHOU -1.5
Closed total42.5
ResultIND covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
HOU -1.5 with every skill spot vs a bottom-4 Colts defense, WR matchup a 32nd-ranked smash · HOU -1.5 · Pass
Final · closed HOU -1.5 · 42.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Hard Rock Stadium Final
Kansas City Chiefs
2-0 · 8-9 last season
24
Miami Dolphins
0-2 · 7-10 last season · Home
10
ClosedKC -10.5
Closed total45.5
ResultKC covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
KC -10.5 with three SMASH spots: Miami ranks 31st vs RB, 26th vs TE, 26th vs QB. · KC -10.5 · Pass
Final · closed KC -10.5 · 45.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Highmark Stadium Final
Los Angeles Chargers
0-2 · 8-10 last season
16
Buffalo Bills
2-0 · 13-6 last season · Home
24
ClosedBUF -7.5
Closed total50.5
ResultBUF covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
Bills -7.5 but LAC's defense ranks 3rd vs the run and 7th vs QB against Allen. · LAC +7.5 · Pass
Final · closed BUF -7.5 · 50.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · EverBank Stadium Final
New England Patriots
1-1 · 17-4 last season
6
Jacksonville Jaguars
1-1 · 13-5 last season · Home
35
ClosedJAX -2.5
Closed total45.5
ResultJAX covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
JAX -2.5 with both QBs walled in: NE pass defense #1, Jacksonville run defense #1. · Pass · Under 45.5
Final · closed JAX -2.5 · 45.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Ford Field · Indoor Final
New York Jets
1-1 · 4-13 last season
24
Detroit Lions
1-1 · 9-8 last season · Home
31
ClosedDET -6.5
Closed total48.5
ResultDET covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
DET -6.5 with Gibbs projected 24.4, but Detroit's defense ranks 31st or worse vs three Jets positions. · DET -6.5 · Over 48.5
Final · closed DET -6.5 · 48.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Northwest Stadium Final
Seattle Seahawks
2-0 · 16-3 last season
31
Washington Commanders
0-2 · 4-13 last season · Home
33
ClosedSEA -8.5
Closed total40.5
ResultWAS covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Seattle -7.5 into the NFL's softest defense: WAS ranks 30th pass, 32nd run. · SEA SEA -7.5 · Pass
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba: WAS #32 vs WR · 40.8 fpa Smash
  • Marcus Mariota: SEA #3 vs QB · 14.2 fpa Tough
Final · closed SEA -8.5 · 40.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · MetLife Stadium Final
Tennessee Titans
0-2 · 3-14 last season
7
New York Giants
1-1 · 6-11 last season · Home
12
ClosedNYG -2.5
Closed total37.5
ResultNYG covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
Wind 26 mph, gusts 44, at MetLife caps a 38.5 total between two bottom-half offenses. · NYG -2.5 · Under 38.5
Final · closed NYG -2.5 · 37.5 Recap
4:05 PM ET · FOX · Levi's Stadium Final
Arizona Cardinals
1-1 · 2-14 last season
30
San Francisco 49ers
2-0 · 13-6 last season · Home
36
ClosedSF -7.5
Closed total47.5
ResultARI covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
SF -8.5 with Kittle a smash vs Arizona's 27th-ranked TE defense allowing 16.3 fpa. · SF -8.5 · Pass
Final · closed SF -7.5 · 47.5 Recap
4:05 PM ET · FOX · Raymond James Stadium Final
Minnesota Vikings
2-0 · 10-7 last season
23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-2 · 5-12 last season · Home
16
ClosedMIN -1.5
Closed total42.5
ResultMIN covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
MIN -1.5 with Kyler and Hockenson smashing TB's 28th and 30th ranked defense spots. · MIN -1.5 · Pass
Final · closed MIN -1.5 · 42.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · CBS · Neutral site Final
Baltimore Ravens
1-1 · 9-8 last season
34
Dallas Cowboys
1-1 · 7-9 last season · Neutral
31
ClosedBAL -3.5
Closed total52.5
ResultDAL covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
BAL -3.5 with SMASH grades at QB, RB and WR against a 31st-ranked Dallas defense. · BAL -3.5 · Pass
Final · closed BAL -3.5 · 52.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · CBS · Caesars Superdome · Indoor Final
Las Vegas Raiders
2-0 · 5-12 last season
35
New Orleans Saints
1-1 · 7-10 last season · Home
27
ClosedNO -3
Closed total43.5
ResultLV covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
NO -3 at home with the #32 Raiders offense, yet the line has not budged off 43.5. · NO -3 · Pass
  • Ashton Jeanty: NO #23 vs RB · 24.1 fpa Favorable
  • Juwan Johnson: LV #24 vs TE · 15.1 fpa Favorable
Final · closed NO -3 · 43.5 Recap
8:20 PM ET · NBC · Empower Field at Mile High Final
Los Angeles Rams
1-1 · 13-7 last season
26
Denver Broncos
1-1 · 16-3 last season · Home
30
ClosedLA -2.5
Closed total44.5
ResultDEN covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
LA -2.5 but DEN's #3 pass defense chokes Adams while Waddle draws the softest WR spot on the board. · Pass · Under 44.5
  • Terrance Ferguson: DEN #23 vs TE · 14.7 fpa Favorable
  • Jaylen Waddle: LA #21 vs WR · 32.9 fpa Favorable
Final · closed LA -2.5 · 44.5 Recap

Monday, Sep 28

1 game
8:15 PM ET · ESPN · Soldier Field Live
Philadelphia Eagles
2-0 · 10-7 last season
23.0implied
Chicago Bears
1-1 · 12-6 last season · Home
19.5implied
ClosedPHI -3.5
Closed total42.5
The angle
Hurts draws CHI's #28 QB defense, but the model's 3.5-point margin exactly matches the spread. · Pass · Pass
  • Jalen Hurts: CHI #28 vs QB · 20.5 fpa Smash
  • D'Andre Swift: PHI #18 vs RB · 22.0 fpa Neutral
Live · closed PHI -3.5 · 42.5 Game page