Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ET · FOX · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay
Upcoming · Fri 4:05 PM
Minnesota Vikings
2-0 · 9-7 last season
Implied22.0
At
MIN -1.5 Total 42.5 Live line · MIN -122 · TB +104
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-2 · 5-11 last season
Implied20.5
Line movement open Sep 22
TB spread
+1.5 +1.5
no move
Total
42.5 42.5
no move
FanDuel
MIN @ TB: the angle lands Fri 4:05 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN |
Justin Jefferson | WR | 16.6 | $7,500 | TB #10 of 32 | 28.8 | Neutral |
| MIN |
Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | 15.4 | $5,900 | TB #11 of 32 | 21.4 | Neutral |
| MIN |
Carson Wentz | QB | 15.4 | $4,600 | TB #28 of 32 | 20.6 | Smash |
| MIN |
T.J. Hockenson | TE | 7.7 | $3,200 | TB #30 of 32 | 18.7 | Smash |
| TB |
Baker Mayfield | QB | 17.5 | $5,300 | MIN #1 of 32 | 12.9 | Tough |
| TB |
Bucky Irving | RB | 13.8 | $6,300 | MIN #5 of 32 | 18.2 | Tough |
| TB |
Emeka Egbuka | WR | 12.3 | $6,200 | MIN #11 of 32 | 29.0 | Neutral |
| TB |
Cade Otton | TE | 8.2 | $3,100 | MIN #2 of 32 | 9.6 | Tough |
MIN skill positions vs TB defenseQB
#28/32
20.6 fpa
RB
#11/32
21.4 fpa
WR
#10/32
28.8 fpa
TE
#30/32
18.7 fpa
TB skill positions vs MIN defenseQB
#1/32
12.9 fpa
RB
#5/32
18.2 fpa
WR
#11/32
29.0 fpa
TE
#2/32
9.6 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
MIN22.0
TB20.5
Offense profile
MINRank of 32TB
19.4
#28
Pts / G
22.1
#18
187.3
#29
Pass yds / G
221.6
#18
106.2
#25
Rush yds / G
111.3
#20
57.1
#30
Plays / G
61.9
#15
54%
Pass rate
55%
1.1
Pass TD / G
1.3
0.9
Rush TD / G
0.9
3.4
Sacks taken / G
2.4
1.2
INT thrown / G
0.8
Defense profile
MINRank of 32TB
18.9
#5
Pts allowed / G
25.1
#23
194.7
#2
Pass yds allowed
257.6
#31
120.0
#17
Rush yds allowed
98.9
#4
3.0
Sacks / G
2.0
0.5
INT / G
0.8
0.9
Pass TD allowed
1.8
0.7
Rush TD allowed
0.9
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-22, 20 games per team.
Weather
Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay)
DFS
MIN projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | Justin Jefferson | 16.6 | 9.4 / 33.2 | $7,500 | 2.21x | $8,600 | #10 |
| RB | Aaron Jones Sr. | 15.4 | 9.4 / 26.7 | $5,900 | 2.61x | $5,900 | #11 |
| QB | Carson Wentz | 15.4 | 9.8 / 25.1 | $4,600 | 3.35x | $7,000 | #28 |
| WR | Jordan Addison | 8.4 | 2.9 / 17.3 | $4,900 | 1.71x | $5,800 | #10 |
| TE | T.J. Hockenson | 7.7 | 3.3 / 17.8 | $3,200 | 2.40x | $5,100 | #30 |
| RB | Demond Claiborne | 5.0 | 1.8 / 11.4 | $4,400 | 1.13x | $4,000 | #11 |
| TE | Josh Oliver | 4.8 | 0.2 / 13.5 | $2,500 | 1.93x | $4,300 | #30 |
TB projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Baker Mayfield | 17.5 | 11.4 / 28.0 | $5,300 | 3.30x | $7,600 | #1 |
| RB | Bucky Irving | 13.8 | 8.8 / 26.1 | $6,300 | 2.18x | $7,900 | #5 |
| WR | Emeka Egbuka | 12.3 | 4.8 / 22.7 | $6,200 | 1.99x | $6,500 | #11 |
| WR | Chris Godwin Jr. | 10.6 | 5.0 / 23.0 | $5,300 | 2.01x | $5,800 | #11 |
| RB | Kenny Gainwell | 9.2 | 5.3 / 19.3 | $4,800 | 1.91x | $5,200 | #5 |
| TE | Cade Otton | 8.2 | 3.4 / 18.6 | $3,100 | 2.66x | $4,800 | #2 |
| WR | Jalen McMillan | 5.4 | 0.0 / 15.2 | $4,100 | 1.31x | $5,000 | #11 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Injuries
MIN 8 listed- Out Jauan Jennings WR Unknown Severe
- Out Kyler Murray QB Unknown Severe
- Out Caleb Tiernan OT Unknown Minimal
- Out Elijah Williams DE Unknown Minimal
- Out Jakobe Thomas FS Unknown Minimal
- Out Jamal Adams LB Unknown Minimal
- Out Nick Samac C Unknown Minimal
- Out Zemaiah Vaughn CB Unknown Minimal
TB 8 listed- Out David Sills WR Undisclosed Severe
- Out Ayden Garnes CB Unknown Minimal
- Out Billy Schrauth G Unknown Minimal
- Out DeMonte Capehart DT Unknown Minimal
- Out Elijah Simmons DT Unknown Minimal
- Out Jacob Parrish CB Back Minimal
- Out Luke Haggard G Unknown Minimal
- Out Mohamed Kamara OLB Knee Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
MIN last 5W 9-3 @ CHIW 39-22 vs GBW 16-3 vs GBW 23-10 vs DETW 16-13 @ NYG
TB last 5L 19-23 vs CLEL 27-33 @ CINW 16-14 vs CARL 17-20 @ MIAL 20-23 @ CAR
Head-to-head
- Sep 10, 2023 TB 20 at MIN 17
Week 3 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
ATL @ GB
Thu 8:15 PM ET
GB -6.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Tue 8:15 PM
CAR @ CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CAR -2.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CIN @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
KC @ MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
KC -10.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LAC @ BUF
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -7
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -2.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
SEA @ WAS
Sun 1:00 PM ET
SEA -6.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TEN @ NYG
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYG -3
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ SF
Sun 4:05 PM ET
SF -8.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
MIN @ TB
Sun 4:05 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
BAL @ DAL
Sun 4:25 PM ET
BAL -3
O/U 52.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LV @ NO
Sun 4:25 PM ET
NO -3
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LA @ DEN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
LA -2.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
PHI @ CHI
Mon 8:15 PM ET
PHI -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM