Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Kansas City Chiefs
2-0 · 7-9 last season
Implied28.0
At
KC -10.5 Total 45.5 Live line · KC -770 · MIA +540
Miami Dolphins
0-2 · 7-9 last season
Implied17.5
Line movement open Sep 22
MIA spread
+10.5 +10.5
no move
Total
45.5 45.5
no move
FanDuel
KC @ MIA: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC |
Patrick Mahomes | QB | 19.7 | $6,200 | MIA #26 of 32 | 20.3 | Smash |
| KC |
Kenneth Walker III | RB | 19.4 | $7,400 | MIA #31 of 32 | 27.9 | Smash |
| KC |
Rashee Rice | WR | 14.2 | $6,400 | MIA #9 of 32 | 28.8 | Neutral |
| KC |
Travis Kelce | TE | 11.1 | $4,500 | MIA #26 of 32 | 15.5 | Smash |
| MIA |
De'Von Achane | RB | 16.6 | $6,500 | KC #8 of 32 | 19.9 | Neutral |
| MIA |
Malik Willis | QB | 16.0 | $4,900 | KC #4 of 32 | 14.0 | Tough |
| MIA |
Malik Washington | WR | 10.6 | $4,200 | KC #4 of 32 | 26.0 | Tough |
| MIA |
Greg Dulcich | TE | 7.6 | $3,000 | KC #18 of 32 | 12.8 | Neutral |
KC skill positions vs MIA defenseQB
#26/32
20.3 fpa
RB
#31/32
27.9 fpa
WR
#9/32
28.8 fpa
TE
#26/32
15.5 fpa
MIA skill positions vs KC defenseQB
#4/32
14.0 fpa
RB
#8/32
19.9 fpa
WR
#4/32
26.0 fpa
TE
#18/32
12.8 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
KC28.0
MIA17.5
Offense profile
KCRank of 32MIA
22.9
#15
Pts / G
19.8
#25
242.1
#10
Pass yds / G
195.9
#26
116.2
#17
Rush yds / G
121.9
#11
64.0
#4
Plays / G
56.1
#31
57%
Pass rate
50%
1.6
Pass TD / G
1.2
0.9
Rush TD / G
0.9
2.8
Sacks taken / G
2.4
0.8
INT thrown / G
0.9
Defense profile
KCRank of 32MIA
19.5
#7
Pts allowed / G
24.3
#20
203.1
#7
Pass yds allowed
228.6
#17
102.2
#5
Rush yds allowed
127.6
#23
2.0
Sacks / G
2.1
0.6
INT / G
0.7
1.1
Pass TD allowed
1.8
0.8
Rush TD allowed
1.1
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-22, 20 games per team.
Weather
Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Hard Rock Stadium, Miami)
DFS
KC projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Patrick Mahomes | 19.7 | 13.1 / 30.8 | $6,200 | 3.18x | $7,900 | #26 |
| RB | Kenneth Walker III | 19.4 | 12.5 / 32.6 | $7,400 | 2.62x | $8,000 | #31 |
| WR | Rashee Rice | 14.2 | 8.1 / 29.8 | $6,400 | 2.21x | $7,500 | #9 |
| TE | Travis Kelce | 11.1 | 5.3 / 24.0 | $4,500 | 2.48x | $5,400 | #26 |
| WR | Xavier Worthy | 10.3 | 4.0 / 19.5 | $4,400 | 2.34x | $5,900 | #9 |
| RB | Emmett Johnson | 6.7 | 2.8 / 14.1 | $4,400 | 1.52x | $5,100 | #31 |
| WR | Tyquan Thornton | 4.2 | 0.0 / 11.0 | $3,300 | 1.26x | $4,900 | #9 |
MIA projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | De'Von Achane | 16.6 | 12.1 / 30.3 | $6,500 | 2.56x | $8,200 | #8 |
| QB | Malik Willis | 16.0 | 10.3 / 26.1 | $4,900 | 3.26x | $6,600 | #4 |
| WR | Malik Washington | 10.6 | 5.6 / 20.9 | $4,200 | 2.53x | $5,600 | #4 |
| WR | Caleb Douglas questionable | 9.2 | 4.2 / 19.4 | $3,900 | 2.36x | $5,100 | #4 |
| TE | Greg Dulcich | 7.6 | 3.2 / 16.1 | $3,000 | 2.55x | $4,800 | #18 |
| WR | Chris Bell | 5.3 | 1.7 / 13.3 | $3,400 | 1.57x | $4,800 | #4 |
| WR | Kevin Coleman Jr. | 2.0 | 0.0 / 6.0 | $3,000 | 0.66x | $4,200 | #4 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Injuries
KC 6 listed- Out Jeff Caldwell WR Knee Severe
- IR John Michael Gyllenborg TE Knee Severe
- Out Chukwuebuka Godrick OT Unknown Minimal
- IR Cooper McDonald LB Knee Minimal
- IR Ethan Downs DE Downs Minimal
- IR Matt Waletzko OT Undisclosed Minimal
MIA 8 listed- Out Brady Cook QB Coach'S Decision Severe
- Out Jalen Tolbert WR Coach'S Decision Severe
- Out Justin Joly TE Unknown Severe
- Out Chop Robinson DE Unknown Minimal
- Out DJ Campbell G Unknown Minimal
- Out Marcellas Dial CB Unknown Minimal
- Out Rene Konga DT Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Caleb Douglas WR Ankle Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
KC last 5W 33-30 vs INDW 31-10 vs DENL 12-14 @ LVL 13-20 vs DENL 9-26 @ TEN
MIA last 5L 13-35 @ SFL 13-27 @ LVL 10-38 @ NEW 20-17 vs TBL 21-45 vs CIN
Head-to-head
- Jan 13, 2024 MIA 7 at KC 26
- Nov 5, 2023 MIA 14 at KC 21
Week 3 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
ATL @ GB
Thu 8:15 PM ET
GB -6.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Tue 8:15 PM
CAR @ CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CAR -2.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CIN @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
KC @ MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
KC -10.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LAC @ BUF
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -7
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -2.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
SEA @ WAS
Sun 1:00 PM ET
SEA -6.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TEN @ NYG
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYG -3
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ SF
Sun 4:05 PM ET
SF -8.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
MIN @ TB
Sun 4:05 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
BAL @ DAL
Sun 4:25 PM ET
BAL -3
O/U 52.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LV @ NO
Sun 4:25 PM ET
NO -3
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LA @ DEN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
LA -2.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
PHI @ CHI
Mon 8:15 PM ET
PHI -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM