Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
Division Indoor Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Houston Texans
0-2 · 13-5 last season
Implied23.0
At
HOU -2.5 Total 43.5 Live line · HOU -154 · IND +130
Indianapolis Colts
0-2 · 5-11 last season
Implied20.5
Line movement open Sep 22
IND spread
+2.5 +2.5
no move
Total
43.5 43.5
no move
FanDuel
HOU @ IND: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU |
C.J. Stroud | QB | 17.3 | $5,500 | IND #29 of 32 | 22.5 | Smash |
| HOU |
David Montgomery | RB | 15.4 | $6,000 | IND #30 of 32 | 26.3 | Smash |
| HOU |
Dalton Schultz | TE | 12.1 | $4,200 | IND #28 of 32 | 17.0 | Smash |
| HOU |
Kayshon Boutte | WR | 9.4 | $4,500 | IND #32 of 32 | 39.6 | Smash |
| IND |
Jonathan Taylor | RB | 19.1 | $7,600 | HOU #1 of 32 | 17.5 | Tough |
| IND |
Daniel Jones | QB | 14.6 | $5,000 | HOU #24 of 32 | 18.8 | Favorable |
| IND |
Tyler Warren | TE | 10.8 | $5,300 | HOU #22 of 32 | 13.2 | Favorable |
| IND |
Josh Downs | WR | 9.7 | $5,700 | HOU #20 of 32 | 32.5 | Favorable |
HOU skill positions vs IND defenseQB
#29/32
22.5 fpa
RB
#30/32
26.3 fpa
WR
#32/32
39.6 fpa
TE
#28/32
17.0 fpa
IND skill positions vs HOU defenseQB
#24/32
18.8 fpa
RB
#1/32
17.5 fpa
WR
#20/32
32.5 fpa
TE
#22/32
13.2 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
HOU23.0
IND20.5
Offense profile
HOURank of 32IND
24.9
#12
Pts / G
26.0
#10
247.0
#7
Pass yds / G
228.3
#17
109.1
#23
Rush yds / G
110.2
#22
67.5
#2
Plays / G
59.0
#25
56%
Pass rate
57%
1.4
Pass TD / G
1.5
0.6
Rush TD / G
1.6
2.0
Sacks taken / G
1.8
0.6
INT thrown / G
1.0
Defense profile
HOURank of 32IND
18.6
#4
Pts allowed / G
26.9
#26
204.3
#8
Pass yds allowed
287.8
#32
89.2
#2
Rush yds allowed
112.8
#12
3.0
Sacks / G
2.2
1.1
INT / G
0.6
1.3
Pass TD allowed
1.4
0.6
Rush TD allowed
1.1
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-22, 20 games per team.
Weather
Indoor: no weather factor. Lucas Oil Stadium is a covered venue.
DFS
HOU projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | C.J. Stroud | 17.3 | 11.4 / 27.6 | $5,500 | 3.15x | $7,100 | #29 |
| RB | David Montgomery | 15.4 | 9.4 / 27.6 | $6,000 | 2.57x | $7,000 | #30 |
| TE | Dalton Schultz | 12.1 | 6.3 / 24.3 | $4,200 | 2.88x | $5,200 | #28 |
| WR | Kayshon Boutte | 9.4 | 3.2 / 20.5 | $4,500 | 2.09x | $5,200 | #32 |
| WR | Xavier Hutchinson | 8.4 | 8.5 / 8.5 | $4,000 | 2.10x | $5,400 | #32 |
| RB | Woody Marks | 7.5 | 3.5 / 15.0 | $5,000 | 1.50x | $5,600 | #30 |
| WR | Jaylin Noel | 6.7 | 2.2 / 16.7 | $3,600 | 1.87x | $5,200 | #32 |
IND projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | Jonathan Taylor | 19.1 | 11.8 / 31.3 | $7,600 | 2.51x | $8,700 | #1 |
| QB | Daniel Jones | 14.6 | 9.3 / 23.6 | $5,000 | 2.92x | $7,200 | #24 |
| TE | Tyler Warren | 10.8 | 5.8 / 21.6 | $5,300 | 2.03x | $5,600 | #22 |
| WR | Josh Downs | 9.7 | 5.0 / 20.3 | $5,700 | 1.70x | $5,800 | #20 |
| WR | Alec Pierce doubtful | 9.3 | 3.1 / 18.2 | $5,600 | 1.66x | $6,000 | #20 |
| WR | Keenan Allen | 9.1 | 4.7 / 19.3 | $4,600 | 1.97x | $5,700 | #20 |
| WR | Laquon Treadwell | 2.1 | 0.0 / 6.7 | $3,100 | 0.69x | $4,000 | #20 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Injuries
HOU 8 listed- Out Brevin Jordan TE Unknown Severe
- Out Graham Mertz QB Unknown Severe
- Out Nico Collins WR Hamstring Severe
- Out Collin Wright CB Unknown Minimal
- Out E.J. Speed LB Quadriceps Minimal
- Out Ed Ingram G Groin Minimal
- Out Jadeveon Clowney DE Unknown Minimal
- Out Jake Hummel LB Unknown Minimal
IND 8 listed- Out Ashton Dulin WR Unknown Severe
- Out DJ Giddens RB Knee Severe
- Out Riley Leonard QB Coach'S Decision Severe
- Out Austin Ajiake LB Unknown Minimal
- Out Dalton Tucker G Unknown Minimal
- Out George Gumbs Jr. DE Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Alec Pierce WR Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Charvarius Ward CB Groin Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
HOU last 5L 6-20 vs CINL 31-36 vs BUFL 16-28 @ NEW 30-6 @ PITW 38-30 vs IND
IND last 5L 30-33 @ KCL 23-41 vs BALL 30-38 @ HOUL 17-23 vs JAXL 27-48 vs SF
Head-to-head
- Jan 4, 2026 IND 30 at HOU 38
- Nov 30, 2025 HOU 20 at IND 16
- Oct 27, 2024 IND 20 at HOU 23
Week 3 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
ATL @ GB
Thu 8:15 PM ET
GB -6.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Tue 8:15 PM
CAR @ CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CAR -2.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CIN @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
KC @ MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
KC -10.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LAC @ BUF
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -7
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -2.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
SEA @ WAS
Sun 1:00 PM ET
SEA -6.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TEN @ NYG
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYG -3
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ SF
Sun 4:05 PM ET
SF -8.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
MIN @ TB
Sun 4:05 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
BAL @ DAL
Sun 4:25 PM ET
BAL -3
O/U 52.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LV @ NO
Sun 4:25 PM ET
NO -3
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LA @ DEN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
LA -2.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
PHI @ CHI
Mon 8:15 PM ET
PHI -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM