Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville
Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
New England Patriots
1-1 · 17-3 last season
Implied21.5
At
JAX -2.5 Total 45.5 Live line · NE +134 · JAX -158
Jacksonville Jaguars
1-1 · 12-5 last season
Implied24.0
Line movement open Sep 22
JAX spread
-2.5 -2.5
no move
Total
45.5 45.5
no move
FanDuel
NE @ JAX: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE |
Drake Maye | QB | 17.8 | $6,100 | JAX #12 of 32 | 16.1 | Neutral |
| NE |
Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | 12.5 | $5,400 | JAX #4 of 32 | 18.2 | Tough |
| NE |
Hunter Henry | TE | 9.6 | $3,900 | JAX #19 of 32 | 12.9 | Neutral |
| NE |
Romeo Doubs | WR | 9.5 | $5,100 | JAX #17 of 32 | 31.1 | Neutral |
| JAX |
Trevor Lawrence | QB | 18.7 | $5,700 | NE #3 of 32 | 13.6 | Tough |
| JAX |
Parker Washington | WR | 12.9 | $6,000 | NE #12 of 32 | 29.1 | Neutral |
| JAX |
Bhayshul Tuten | RB | 11.8 | $5,600 | NE #6 of 32 | 18.3 | Tough |
| JAX |
Brenton Strange | TE | 8.8 | $3,400 | NE #7 of 32 | 11.2 | Tough |
NE skill positions vs JAX defenseQB
#12/32
16.1 fpa
RB
#4/32
18.2 fpa
WR
#17/32
31.1 fpa
TE
#19/32
12.9 fpa
JAX skill positions vs NE defenseQB
#3/32
13.6 fpa
RB
#6/32
18.3 fpa
WR
#12/32
29.1 fpa
TE
#7/32
11.2 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
NE21.5
JAX24.0
Offense profile
NERank of 32JAX
26.4
#8
Pts / G
27.9
#6
244.4
#9
Pass yds / G
235.2
#15
130.3
#6
Rush yds / G
112.1
#19
61.4
#17
Plays / G
62.3
#14
49%
Pass rate
52%
1.6
Pass TD / G
1.9
1.2
Rush TD / G
1.2
3.2
Sacks taken / G
2.5
0.7
INT thrown / G
0.6
Defense profile
NERank of 32JAX
16.2
#1
Pts allowed / G
20.1
#8
189.5
#1
Pass yds allowed
236.8
#19
104.6
#8
Rush yds allowed
86.9
#1
2.2
Sacks / G
1.9
0.6
INT / G
1.0
1.2
Pass TD allowed
1.4
0.4
Rush TD allowed
0.9
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-22, 20 games per team.
Weather
Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville)
DFS
NE projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Drake Maye | 17.8 | 11.7 / 27.9 | $6,100 | 2.92x | $7,500 | #12 |
| RB | Rhamondre Stevenson | 12.5 | 8.0 / 22.6 | $5,400 | 2.31x | $6,700 | #4 |
| TE | Hunter Henry | 9.6 | 4.3 / 20.5 | $3,900 | 2.47x | $5,000 | #19 |
| WR | Romeo Doubs | 9.5 | 3.8 / 19.1 | $5,100 | 1.87x | $5,800 | #17 |
| WR | Mack Hollins | 9.2 | 3.7 / 18.9 | $4,200 | 2.20x | $5,700 | #17 |
| WR | DeMario Douglas | 9.2 | 4.3 / 19.4 | $3,700 | 2.48x | $5,100 | #17 |
| RB | TreVeyon Henderson | 7.5 | 4.0 / 15.1 | $5,200 | 1.43x | $5,800 | #4 |
JAX projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Trevor Lawrence | 18.7 | 12.3 / 29.1 | $5,700 | 3.28x | $7,800 | #3 |
| WR | Parker Washington | 12.9 | 6.3 / 25.7 | $6,000 | 2.15x | $6,600 | #12 |
| RB | Bhayshul Tuten | 11.8 | 6.8 / 21.4 | $5,600 | 2.12x | $6,400 | #6 |
| WR | Jakobi Meyers | 9.7 | 4.2 / 20.7 | $4,800 | 2.01x | $5,500 | #12 |
| TE | Brenton Strange | 8.8 | 3.9 / 20.3 | $3,400 | 2.58x | $5,100 | #7 |
| WR | Brian Thomas Jr. | 8.7 | 2.9 / 18.0 | $4,600 | 1.89x | $5,700 | #12 |
| RB | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | 6.7 | 3.0 / 13.9 | $4,600 | 1.45x | $5,400 | #6 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Injuries
NE 8 listed- Out Behren Morton QB Coach'S Decision Severe
- Out Myles Montgomery RB Unknown Severe
- Out Tanner Arkin TE Coach'S Decision Severe
- Out Brenden Schooler FS Unknown Minimal
- Out Carlton Davis CB Neck Minimal
- Out Dametrious Crownover T Unknown Minimal
- Out Harold Landry III OLB Undisclosed Minimal
- Out Leonard Taylor III DE Unknown Minimal
JAX 8 listed- Out CJ Williams WR Coach'S Decision Severe
- Out Quinn Ewers QB Coach'S Decision Severe
- Out Tanner Koziol TE Coach'S Decision Severe
- Out Jack Kiser LB Unknown Minimal
- Out Jalen Huskey FS Unknown Minimal
- Out Jared Bartlett ILB Unknown Minimal
- Out Parker Hughes LB Unknown Minimal
- Out Wesley Williams DE Unknown Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
NE last 5W 20-3 vs PITL 10-13 @ SEAL 13-29 vs SEAW 10-7 @ DENW 28-16 vs HOU
JAX last 5L 13-20 @ DENW 34-10 vs CLEL 24-27 vs BUFW 41-7 vs TENW 23-17 @ IND
Head-to-head
- Oct 20, 2024 NE 16 at JAX 32
- Jan 2, 2022 JAX 10 at NE 50
Week 3 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
ATL @ GB
Thu 8:15 PM ET
GB -6.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Tue 8:15 PM
CAR @ CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CAR -2.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CIN @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -2.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
KC @ MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
KC -10.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LAC @ BUF
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -7
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NE @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -2.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -6.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
SEA @ WAS
Sun 1:00 PM ET
SEA -6.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TEN @ NYG
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYG -3
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
ARI @ SF
Sun 4:05 PM ET
SF -8.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
MIN @ TB
Sun 4:05 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
BAL @ DAL
Sun 4:25 PM ET
BAL -3
O/U 52.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LV @ NO
Sun 4:25 PM ET
NO -3
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LA @ DEN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
LA -2.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
PHI @ CHI
Mon 8:15 PM ET
PHI -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM