NFL · 2026 season

Week 5 game breakdowns

Every Week 5 game cut to the line, the angle and the signals that move it. Open a game for the full matchup, DFS, props, weather and injury picture. Angles unlock 48 hours before kickoff.

15 games · Updated Oct 12, 9:02 PM ET

Thursday, Oct 8

1 game
8:15 PM ET · Prime Video · AT&T Stadium · Indoor Final
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-4 · 1-4 last season
24
Dallas Cowboys
2-2 · 2-3 last season · Home
16
ClosedDAL -7.5
Closed total48.5
ResultTB covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
DAL -8.5 but TB has lost four straight by single digits with a top-3 run defense. · TB +8.5 · Pass
  • Jalon Daniels: DAL #30 vs QB · 22.7 fpa Smash
  • Dak Prescott: TB #21 vs QB · 18.5 fpa Favorable
Final · closed DAL -7.5 · 48.5 Recap

Sunday, Oct 11

13 games
9:30 AM ET · NFL NETWORK · Neutral site · Indoor Final
Philadelphia Eagles
2-2 · 2-3 last season
17
Jacksonville Jaguars
3-1 · 4-1 last season · Neutral
19
ClosedJAX -2.5
Closed total45.5
ResultPHI covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
JAX -7.5 with the NFL's #2 scoring defense hosting Philadelphia's #32 passing offense. · JAX -7.5 · Pass
  • Dontayvion Wicks: JAX #25 vs WR · 35.5 fpa Favorable
  • Trevor Lawrence: PHI #20 vs QB · 18.4 fpa Favorable
Final · closed JAX -2.5 · 45.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Lambeau Field Final
Chicago Bears
3-1 · 3-2 last season
7
Green Bay Packers
2-2 · 3-2 last season · Home
31
ClosedCHI -1.5
Closed total46.5
ResultGB covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
Swift into GB's 28th-ranked run defense (26.3 fpa) is the game's cleanest smash spot. · GB ML GB +106 · Under 45.5
  • D'Andre Swift: GB #29 vs RB · 26.6 fpa Smash
  • Christian Watson: CHI #21 vs WR · 34.0 fpa Favorable
Final · closed CHI -1.5 · 46.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Hard Rock Stadium Final
Cincinnati Bengals
2-2 · 3-2 last season
31
Miami Dolphins
0-4 · 0-5 last season · Home
24
ClosedCIN -7
Closed total44.5
ResultPush · Over
The angle, before kickoff
CIN -7 at 0-4 Miami, and Chase Brown draws the NFL's #29 run defense for 16.7 projected. · CIN -7 · Pass
  • Chase Brown: MIA #27 vs RB · 25.5 fpa Smash
  • Greg Dulcich: CIN #31 vs TE · 19.6 fpa Smash
Final · closed CIN -7 · 44.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · MetLife Stadium Final
Cleveland Browns
3-1 · 3-2 last season
12
New York Jets
1-3 · 2-3 last season · Home
17
ClosedNYJ -2.5
Closed total38.5
ResultNYJ covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
Quinshon Judkins into the NFL's #32 run defense is the only edge in a 39.5-total coinflip. · Pass · Under 39.5
  • Quinshon Judkins: NYJ #32 vs RB · 28.2 fpa Smash
  • Garrett Wilson: CLE #14 vs WR · 31.4 fpa Neutral
Final · closed NYJ -2.5 · 38.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Nissan Stadium Final
Houston Texans
0-4 · 1-4 last season
26
Tennessee Titans
0-4 · 0-5 last season · Home
3
ClosedHOU -6.5
Closed total37.5
ResultHOU covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
HOU -7 with implied 22.2 to 15.2, but the model margin of 7.0 matches the spread exactly. · Pass · Pass
  • Nico Collins: TEN #27 vs WR · 37.2 fpa Smash
  • Carnell Tate: HOU #24 vs WR · 35.1 fpa Favorable
Final · closed HOU -6.5 · 37.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Acrisure Stadium Final
Indianapolis Colts
2-2 · 2-3 last season
22
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-2 · 3-2 last season · Home
34
ClosedPIT -2.5
Closed total42.5
ResultPIT covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Rodgers and Metcalf both SMASH a Colts secondary ranked 29th and 27th vs the pass. · PIT -2.5 · Pass
  • Tyler Warren: PIT #23 vs TE · 15.5 fpa Favorable
  • Aaron Rodgers: IND #26 vs QB · 20.3 fpa Smash
Final · closed PIT -2.5 · 42.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Gillette Stadium Final
Las Vegas Raiders
3-1 · 3-2 last season
17
New England Patriots
2-2 · 3-2 last season · Home
45
ClosedNE -3.5
Closed total45.5
ResultNE covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
NE -3.5 but model margin is exactly 3.5, a coinflip with a 44.5 total. · Pass · Pass
  • Brock Bowers: NE #16 vs TE · 12.5 fpa Neutral
  • Drake Maye: LV #28 vs QB · 20.4 fpa Smash
Final · closed NE -3.5 · 45.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Caesars Superdome · Indoor Final
Minnesota Vikings
4-0 · 5-0 last season
23
New Orleans Saints
1-3 · 1-4 last season · Home
13
ClosedMIN -1.5
Closed total42.5
ResultMIN covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
NO defense ranks 32nd allowing 32.0 points - Aaron Jones is the smash into a 31st RB matchup. · NO ML · Pass
  • Aaron Jones Sr.: NO #31 vs RB · 27.5 fpa Smash
  • Chris Olave: MIN #1 vs WR · 24.1 fpa Tough
Final · closed MIN -1.5 · 42.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Northwest Stadium Final
New York Giants
3-1 · 3-1 last season
27
Washington Commanders
1-3 · 1-3 last season · Home
27
ClosedWAS -3.5
Closed total41.5
ResultNYG covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
WAS -3.5 but implied just 23.0; severe wind gusts to 30 and rain crush this 42.5 total. · NYG +3.5 · Under 42.5
  • Jameis Winston: WAS #31 vs QB · 23.3 fpa Smash
  • Jayden Daniels: NYG #27 vs QB · 20.3 fpa Smash
Final · closed WAS -3.5 · 41.5 Recap
4:05 PM ET · CBS · SoFi Stadium · Indoor Final
Denver Broncos
2-2 · 3-2 last season
23
Los Angeles Chargers
0-4 · 0-5 last season · Home
17
ClosedDEN -3.5
Closed total42.5
ResultDEN covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
DEN -3.5 on the road against 0-4 LAC, but implied margin is exactly 3.5 with no edge. · DEN -3.5 · Pass
  • Jaylen Waddle: LAC #10 vs WR · 30.2 fpa Neutral
  • Oronde Gadsden II: DEN #20 vs TE · 14.9 fpa Favorable
Final · closed DEN -3.5 · 42.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · FOX · State Farm Stadium · Indoor Final
Detroit Lions
2-2 · 3-2 last season
45
Arizona Cardinals
1-3 · 1-4 last season · Home
21
ClosedDET -5.5
Closed total54.5
ResultDET covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Total up to 54.5 with both defenses bottom-5, Goff smashes ARI's 28th pass defense. · Pass · Over 54.5
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: ARI #26 vs WR · 36.2 fpa Smash
  • Jacoby Brissett: DET #32 vs QB · 25.6 fpa Smash
Final · closed DET -5.5 · 54.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · FOX · Lumen Field Final
San Francisco 49ers
4-0 · 5-0 last season
32
Seattle Seahawks
3-1 · 3-2 last season · Home
29
ClosedSEA -3
Closed total46.5
ResultSF covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
SEA -3 at home with a 24.8 implied total, and SF's passing attack walks into the NFL's #1 WR and #2 QB defense. · SEA -3 · Pass
  • Christian McCaffrey: SEA #10 vs RB · 20.1 fpa Neutral
  • Emanuel Wilson: SF #23 vs RB · 24.2 fpa Favorable
Final · closed SEA -3 · 46.5 Recap
8:20 PM ET · NBC · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Indoor Final
Baltimore Ravens
3-1 · 4-1 last season
30
Atlanta Falcons
2-2 · 2-3 last season · Home
23
ClosedATL -3.5
Closed total43.5
ResultBAL covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
ATL -3.5 with Lamar Jackson flagged out, flipping Baltimore's 20.0 implied total into question. · ATL -3.5 · Pass
  • Zay Flowers: ATL #29 vs WR · 38.5 fpa Smash
  • Drake London: BAL #28 vs WR · 38.2 fpa Smash
Final · closed ATL -3.5 · 43.5 Recap

Monday, Oct 12

1 game
8:15 PM ET · ESPN · SoFi Stadium · Indoor Live
Buffalo Bills
3-1 · 3-1 last season
26.5implied
Los Angeles Rams
2-2 · 2-2 last season · Home
25.0implied
ClosedBUF -1.5
Closed total51.5
The angle
LA -3.5 at home with Kyren Williams smashing Buffalo's 26th-ranked run defense. · LA -3.5 · Pass
  • Josh Allen: LA #13 vs QB · 16.6 fpa Neutral
  • Kyren Williams: BUF #26 vs RB · 25.3 fpa Smash
Live · closed BUF -1.5 · 51.5 Game page