Mon Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET · ESPN · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood Primetime Indoor Upcoming · Sat 8:15 PM
Buffalo Bills
3-1 · 3-1 last season
Implied25.5
At LA -3.5 Total 54.5 Live line · BUF +148 · LA -176
Los Angeles Rams
2-2 · 2-2 last season
Implied29.0
Line movement open Oct 6 LA spread -3 -3.5 0.5 Total 54.5 54.5 no move FanDuel

BUF @ LA: the angle lands Sat 8:15 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
BUF Josh Allen QB 26.0 $7,400 LA #10 of 32 16.6 Neutral
BUF James Cook III RB 14.5 $7,100 LA #4 of 32 18.8 Tough
BUF DJ Moore WR 10.4 $5,600 LA #18 of 32 32.4 Neutral
BUF Dalton Kincaid TE 9.6 $5,100 LA #5 of 32 9.7 Tough
LA Kyren Williams RB 20.6 $6,400 BUF #27 of 32 25.3 Smash
LA Matthew Stafford QB 19.6 $6,000 BUF #26 of 32 18.7 Smash
LA Puka Nacua WR 19.2 $7,800 BUF #22 of 32 33.8 Favorable
LA Tyler Higbee TE 7.9 $3,300 BUF #3 of 32 9.6 Tough
BUF skill positions vs LA defense
QB
#10/32
16.6 fpa
Bad
RB
#4/32
18.8 fpa
Avoid
WR
#18/32
32.4 fpa
Average
TE
#5/32
9.7 fpa
Avoid
LA skill positions vs BUF defense
QB
#26/32
18.7 fpa
Elite
RB
#27/32
25.3 fpa
Elite
WR
#22/32
33.8 fpa
Good
TE
#3/32
9.6 fpa
Avoid

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
BUF25.5
LA29.0
Offense profile
BUFRank of 32LA
31.8 #1 Pts / G 21.2 #19
263.2 #8 Pass yds / G 300.8 #4
139.0 #5 Rush yds / G 126.8 #7
59.5 #22 Plays / G 69.0 #3
52% Pass rate 61%
1.5 Pass TD / G 1.5
2.5 Rush TD / G 1.0
2.2 Sacks taken / G 1.5
0.8 INT thrown / G 1.5
Defense profile
BUFRank of 32LA
26.8 #25 Pts allowed / G 20.8 #9
274.0 #27 Pass yds allowed 153.8 #1
116.0 #19 Rush yds allowed 102.0 #11
2.5 Sacks / G 1.8
0.5 INT / G 0.8
2.5 Pass TD allowed 1.8
0.8 Rush TD allowed 0.2

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 4 games per team.

Weather

Indoor: no weather factor. SoFi Stadium is a covered venue.

DFS

BUF projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Josh Allen 26.0 15.6 / 33.9 $7,400 3.51x $9,100 #10
RB James Cook III 14.5 7.4 / 22.8 $7,100 2.05x $8,300 #4
WR DJ Moore questionable 10.4 3.9 / 17.3 $5,600 1.86x $6,700 #18
WR Khalil Shakir 9.8 4.0 / 16.4 $5,000 1.96x $6,200 #18
TE Dalton Kincaid 9.6 4.2 / 17.8 $5,100 1.89x $5,800 #5
WR Keon Coleman 8.4 2.7 / 15.6 $4,600 1.83x $5,800 #18
RB Ty Johnson 5.0 1.7 / 10.6 $4,100 1.23x $5,100 #4
LA projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
RB Kyren Williams 20.6 11.9 / 31.1 $6,400 3.22x $8,100 #27
QB Matthew Stafford 19.6 12.6 / 29.2 $6,000 3.26x $7,900 #26
WR Puka Nacua 19.2 10.6 / 33.2 $7,800 2.46x $9,100 #22
WR Davante Adams 15.4 6.5 / 25.9 $6,800 2.27x $7,900 #22
TE Tyler Higbee 7.9 2.8 / 15.8 $3,300 2.39x $4,900 #3
RB Blake Corum 6.9 2.8 / 12.7 $4,900 1.40x $5,900 #27
TE Davis Allen 4.3 0.0 / 10.1 $2,500 1.70x $4,600 #3

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Josh Allen QB BUF Pass TD 1.5 1.3 -107 BetRivers #21
Josh Allen QB BUF Pass yds 244.5 225.9 -111 DraftKings #1
Josh Allen QB BUF Rush yds 36.5 25.7 -113 DraftKings #11
Kyren Williams RB LA Rush yds 70.5 66.8 -113 DraftKings #19
Kyren Williams RB LA Receptions 2.5 4.8 -140 BetMGM #27
Kyren Williams RB LA Rec yds 20.5 39.3 -113 BetRivers #27
Matthew Stafford QB LA Pass TD 2.5 1.5 +155 BetRivers #29
Matthew Stafford QB LA Pass yds 277.5 303.7 -111 DraftKings #27
Matthew Stafford QB LA Rush yds 0.5 5.4 +102 FanDuel #19
Puka Nacua WR LA Receptions 7.5 6.2 +118 BetRivers #27
Puka Nacua WR LA Rec yds 94.5 88.6 -112 DraftKings #27
Davante Adams WR LA Receptions 4.5 4.3 +108 FanDuel #27
Davante Adams WR LA Rec yds 62.5 76.2 -114 DraftKings #27
James Cook III RB BUF Rush yds 74.5 83.2 -111 DraftKings #11

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All BUF and LA props with AI grades

Injuries

BUF 8 listed
  • Out Tyrell Shavers WR Unknown Severe
  • Quest. Christian Benford CB Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. DJ Moore WR Shoulder Minimal
  • Quest. Dee Alford CB Ankle Minimal
  • Quest. Ed Oliver DT Knee Minimal
  • Quest. T.J. Sanders DE Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Te'Cory Couch DB Hamstring Minimal
  • IR Jordan Hancock FS Hamstring Minimal
LA 8 listed
  • IR Matthew Caldwell QB Undisclosed Severe
  • IR Ronnie Rivers RB Calf Severe
  • Out Daniel Rickert DE Knee Minimal
  • Out Eddie Walls III LB Undisclosed Minimal
  • Quest. Aaron Donald DE Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Colby Parkinson TE Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Jaylen Watson CB Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Konata Mumpfield WR Unknown Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 5 slate

Swipe for all 15 games this week.
TB @ DAL
Thu 8:15 PM ET
DAL -8.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
PHI @ JAX
Sun 9:30 AM ET
JAX -7.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
CHI @ GB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -1.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CIN @ MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -6.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -7.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
IND @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -2.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LV @ NE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NE -3.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIN @ NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYG @ WAS
Sun 1:00 PM ET
WAS -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
DEN @ LAC
Sun 4:05 PM ET
DEN -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
DET @ ARI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DET -5.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
SF @ SEA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SEA -3
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
BAL @ ATL
Sun 8:20 PM ET
ATL -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
BUF @ LA
Mon 8:15 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM
Updated Oct 8, 5:07 PM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.