Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · Gillette Stadium, New England
Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Las Vegas Raiders
3-1 · 3-1 last season
Implied20.5
At
NE -3.5 Total 44.5 Live line · LV +166 · NE -198
New England Patriots
2-2 · 2-2 last season
Implied24.0
Line movement open Oct 6
NE spread
-3.5 -3.5
no move
Total
45.5 44.5
1.0
FanDuel
LV @ NE: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV |
Ashton Jeanty | RB | 17.8 | $7,200 | NE #9 of 32 | 20.1 | Neutral |
| LV |
Kirk Cousins | QB | 16.6 | $5,400 | NE #3 of 32 | 15.2 | Tough |
| LV |
Brock Bowers | TE | 16.2 | $7,000 | NE #6 of 32 | 9.8 | Tough |
| LV |
Tre Tucker | WR | 11.6 | $4,800 | NE #20 of 32 | 32.8 | Favorable |
| NE |
Drake Maye | QB | 18.2 | $6,300 | LV #15 of 32 | 17.3 | Neutral |
| NE |
Romeo Doubs | WR | 13.8 | $5,000 | LV #12 of 32 | 30.5 | Neutral |
| NE |
Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | 12.9 | $5,500 | LV #19 of 32 | 22.8 | Neutral |
| NE |
Hunter Henry | TE | 9.8 | $3,700 | LV #20 of 32 | 14.1 | Favorable |
LV skill positions vs NE defenseQB
#3/32
15.2 fpa
RB
#9/32
20.1 fpa
WR
#20/32
32.8 fpa
TE
#6/32
9.8 fpa
NE skill positions vs LV defenseQB
#15/32
17.3 fpa
RB
#19/32
22.8 fpa
WR
#12/32
30.5 fpa
TE
#20/32
14.1 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
LV20.5
NE24.0
Offense profile
LVRank of 32NE
28.8
#8
Pts / G
16.2
#30
256.5
#12
Pass yds / G
225.0
#18
93.0
#24
Rush yds / G
117.8
#10
67.0
#5
Plays / G
63.2
#12
55%
Pass rate
51%
2.8
Pass TD / G
1.0
0.2
Rush TD / G
0.5
1.2
Sacks taken / G
2.5
1.0
INT thrown / G
1.8
Defense profile
LVRank of 32NE
21.0
#11
Pts allowed / G
19.2
#7
224.8
#12
Pass yds allowed
205.5
#5
134.5
#27
Rush yds allowed
104.0
#14
3.0
Sacks / G
2.0
1.0
INT / G
0.8
1.8
Pass TD allowed
1.2
1.0
Rush TD allowed
1.0
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 4 games per team.
Weather
Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Gillette Stadium, New England)
DFS
LV projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | Ashton Jeanty | 17.8 | 10.0 / 24.7 | $7,200 | 2.48x | $7,800 | #9 |
| QB | Kirk Cousins | 16.6 | 9.0 / 22.8 | $5,400 | 3.08x | $7,100 | #3 |
| TE | Brock Bowers questionable | 16.2 | 8.5 / 27.2 | $7,000 | 2.31x | $7,800 | #6 |
| WR | Tre Tucker | 11.6 | 4.6 / 19.3 | $4,800 | 2.42x | $5,700 | #20 |
| TE | Michael Mayer | 8.4 | 3.5 / 15.1 | $3,500 | 2.40x | $4,700 | #6 |
| WR | Cody White questionable | 5.3 | 0.0 / 12.3 | $3,300 | 1.60x | $5,300 | #20 |
| RB | Mike Washington Jr. | 5.2 | 2.0 / 12.1 | $4,200 | 1.25x | $4,900 | #9 |
NE projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Drake Maye | 18.2 | 11.6 / 26.2 | $6,300 | 2.89x | $7,800 | #15 |
| WR | Romeo Doubs | 13.8 | 6.5 / 23.1 | $5,000 | 2.75x | $6,000 | #12 |
| RB | Rhamondre Stevenson questionable | 12.9 | 7.3 / 19.6 | $5,500 | 2.34x | $5,900 | #19 |
| RB | TreVeyon Henderson | 10.1 | 4.5 / 16.6 | $5,000 | 2.01x | $5,800 | #19 |
| TE | Hunter Henry | 9.8 | 4.1 / 16.5 | $3,700 | 2.64x | $5,100 | #20 |
| WR | DeMario Douglas | 9.2 | 3.6 / 14.9 | $3,500 | 2.63x | $5,000 | #12 |
| WR | Efton Chism III | 7.2 | 1.7 / 13.2 | $3,200 | 2.25x | $4,700 | #12 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye QB NE | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.3 | -110 | BetMGM | #21 |
| Drake Maye QB NE | Pass yds | 230.5 | 273.8 | -110 | Fanatics | #12 |
| Drake Maye QB NE | Rush yds | 31.5 | 43.6 | -111 | DraftKings | #27 |
| Ashton Jeanty RB LV | Rush yds | 59.5 | 61.2 | -110 | DraftKings | #14 |
| Ashton Jeanty RB LV | Receptions | 3.5 | 4.4 | -107 | BetRivers | #5 |
| Ashton Jeanty RB LV | Rec yds | 24.5 | 38.3 | -112 | DraftKings | #5 |
| Kirk Cousins QB LV | Pass TD | 1.5 | 2.1 | +125 | BetRivers | #10 |
| Kirk Cousins QB LV | Pass yds | 232.5 | 198.7 | -111 | DraftKings | #5 |
| Kirk Cousins QB LV | Rush yds | 0.5 | – | -102 | FanDuel | #14 |
| Brock Bowers TE LV | Receptions | 6.5 | 5.1 | -108 | FanDuel | #5 |
| Brock Bowers TE LV | Rec yds | 71.5 | 63.9 | -114 | DraftKings | #5 |
| Romeo Doubs WR NE | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.7 | -148 | FanDuel | #12 |
| Romeo Doubs WR NE | Rec yds | 52.5 | 63.1 | -113 | BetRivers | #12 |
| Tre Tucker WR LV | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.7 | +115 | Bovada | #5 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All LV and NE props with AI gradesInjuries
LV 8 listed- Out Chris Collier RB Undisclosed Severe
- Out Corey Rucker WR Undisclosed Severe
- IR Carter Runyon TE Undisclosed Severe
- Out Brennan Jackson OLB Unknown Minimal
- Out Justin Pickett G Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Jackson Powers-Johnson G Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Jalen Nailor WR Concussion Minimal
- Quest. Trey Zuhn III G Knee Minimal
NE 8 listed- Out Myles Montgomery RB Unknown Severe
- Out Brenden Schooler FS Back Minimal
- Out Harold Landry III OLB Undisclosed Minimal
- Quest. Channing Canada CB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Charles Woods CB One Solo Minimal
- Quest. Christian Barmore DE Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Christian Gonzalez CB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Mack Hollins WR Unknown Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
LV last 5L 27-30 vs KCW 35-27 @ NOW 26-14 @ LACW 27-13 vs MIAW 14-12 vs KC
NE last 5W 29-26 @ BUFL 6-35 @ JAXW 20-3 vs PITL 10-13 @ SEAL 13-29 vs SEA
Head-to-head
- Sep 7, 2025 LV 20 at NE 13
- Oct 15, 2023 NE 17 at LV 21
- Dec 18, 2022 NE 24 at LV 30
Week 5 slate
Swipe for all 15 games this week.
TB @ DAL
Thu 8:15 PM ET
DAL -8.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
PHI @ JAX
Sun 9:30 AM ET
JAX -7.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
CHI @ GB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -1.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CIN @ MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -6.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -7.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
IND @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -2.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LV @ NE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NE -3.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIN @ NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYG @ WAS
Sun 1:00 PM ET
WAS -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
DEN @ LAC
Sun 4:05 PM ET
DEN -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
DET @ ARI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DET -5.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
SF @ SEA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SEA -3
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
BAL @ ATL
Sun 8:20 PM ET
ATL -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
BUF @ LA
Mon 8:15 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM