Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · FOX · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Cincinnati Bengals
2-2 · 2-2 last season
Implied25.0
At
CIN -6.5 Total 43.5 Live line · CIN -320 · MIA +260
Miami Dolphins
0-4 · 0-4 last season
Implied18.5
Line movement open Oct 6
MIA spread
+7.5 +6.5
1.0
Total
42.5 43.5
1.0
FanDuel
CIN @ MIA: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN |
Joe Burrow | QB | 19.1 | $6,900 | MIA #27 of 32 | 18.7 | Smash |
| CIN |
Chase Brown | RB | 16.7 | $6,900 | MIA #29 of 32 | 26.5 | Smash |
| CIN |
Ja'Marr Chase | WR | 16.1 | $8,100 | MIA #4 of 32 | 26.9 | Tough |
| CIN |
Mike Gesicki | TE | 7.4 | $4,100 | MIA #29 of 32 | 17.9 | Smash |
| MIA |
Malik Willis | QB | 13.7 | $4,600 | CIN #23 of 32 | 18.3 | Favorable |
| MIA |
Malik Washington | WR | 12.6 | $4,600 | CIN #3 of 32 | 26.6 | Tough |
| MIA |
Ollie Gordon II | RB | 11.4 | $5,300 | CIN #25 of 32 | 24.1 | Favorable |
| MIA |
Greg Dulcich | TE | 6.1 | $3,100 | CIN #31 of 32 | 19.9 | Smash |
CIN skill positions vs MIA defenseQB
#27/32
18.7 fpa
RB
#29/32
26.5 fpa
WR
#4/32
26.9 fpa
TE
#29/32
17.9 fpa
MIA skill positions vs CIN defenseQB
#23/32
18.3 fpa
RB
#25/32
24.1 fpa
WR
#3/32
26.6 fpa
TE
#31/32
19.9 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
CIN25.0
MIA18.5
Offense profile
CINRank of 32MIA
24.2
#14
Pts / G
11.5
#32
292.8
#5
Pass yds / G
178.5
#30
74.2
#31
Rush yds / G
104.0
#19
62.2
#15
Plays / G
52.5
#32
65%
Pass rate
52%
1.8
Pass TD / G
0.2
0.5
Rush TD / G
0.8
2.2
Sacks taken / G
2.8
0.8
INT thrown / G
0.5
Defense profile
CINRank of 32MIA
21.2
#13
Pts allowed / G
25.2
#21
272.0
#26
Pass yds allowed
236.0
#19
99.5
#8
Rush yds allowed
109.0
#15
3.5
Sacks / G
1.0
0.2
INT / G
0.8
1.0
Pass TD allowed
1.8
0.8
Rush TD allowed
1.0
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 4 games per team.
Weather
Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Hard Rock Stadium, Miami)
DFS
CIN projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Joe Burrow | 19.1 | 11.8 / 27.4 | $6,900 | 2.77x | $8,700 | #27 |
| RB | Chase Brown | 16.7 | 9.0 / 23.5 | $6,900 | 2.42x | $8,000 | #29 |
| WR | Ja'Marr Chase questionable | 16.1 | 8.3 / 26.9 | $8,100 | 1.99x | $8,900 | #4 |
| WR | Tee Higgins questionable | 13.4 | 6.0 / 23.3 | $7,100 | 1.89x | $7,500 | #4 |
| TE | Mike Gesicki | 7.4 | 2.0 / 14.5 | $4,100 | 1.81x | $5,200 | #29 |
| WR | Dohnte Meyers | 6.7 | 1.9 / 12.6 | $3,500 | 1.92x | $5,400 | #4 |
| RB | Samaje Perine | 5.4 | 2.0 / 10.2 | $4,400 | 1.23x | $5,200 | #29 |
MIA projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Malik Willis | 13.7 | 8.9 / 22.0 | $4,600 | 2.98x | $6,600 | #23 |
| WR | Malik Washington | 12.6 | 6.7 / 23.3 | $4,600 | 2.74x | $5,700 | #3 |
| RB | Ollie Gordon II | 11.4 | 5.9 / 19.1 | $5,300 | 2.15x | $6,100 | #25 |
| WR | Chris Bell questionable | 7.3 | 2.8 / 14.7 | $3,600 | 2.03x | $5,100 | #3 |
| TE | Greg Dulcich | 6.1 | 2.1 / 12.2 | $3,100 | 1.98x | $4,800 | #31 |
| RB | Jaylen Wright questionable | 4.0 | 1.4 / 9.8 | $4,800 | 0.84x | $5,600 | #25 |
| WR | Kevin Coleman Jr. | 3.7 | 0.0 / 8.9 | $3,000 | 1.23x | $4,800 | #3 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow QB CIN | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.6 | -155 | BetMGM | #21 |
| Joe Burrow QB CIN | Pass yds | 244.5 | 268.0 | -112 | DraftKings | #19 |
| Joe Burrow QB CIN | Rush yds | 8.5 | 8.7 | -114 | DraftKings | #15 |
| Chase Brown RB CIN | Rush yds | 66.5 | 59.5 | -110 | DraftKings | #15 |
| Malik Willis QB MIA | Pass TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | -179 | DraftKings | #3 |
| Malik Willis QB MIA | Pass yds | 191.5 | 213.8 | -111 | DraftKings | #26 |
| Malik Willis QB MIA | Rush yds | 33.5 | 33.6 | -111 | BetMGM | #8 |
| Malik Washington WR MIA | Receptions | 4.5 | 5.5 | -105 | BetMGM | #26 |
| Malik Washington WR MIA | Rec yds | 44.5 | 70.7 | -110 | DraftKings | #26 |
| Ollie Gordon II RB MIA | Rush yds | 43.5 | 46.5 | -112 | DraftKings | #8 |
| Ollie Gordon II RB MIA | Receptions | 1.5 | 1.6 | -146 | DraftKings | #26 |
| Ollie Gordon II RB MIA | Rec yds | 9.5 | 4.4 | -111 | DraftKings | #26 |
| Greg Dulcich TE MIA | Receptions | 2.5 | 3.1 | -135 | BetMGM | #26 |
| Greg Dulcich TE MIA | Rec yds | 25.5 | 30.6 | -114 | FanDuel | #26 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All CIN and MIA props with AI gradesInjuries
CIN 8 listed- IR Andrei Iosivas WR Thumb Severe
- Quest. Bryan Cook FS Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Colbie Young WR Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Ja'Marr Chase WR Concussion Minimal
- Quest. Kyle Dugger FS Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Swayze Bozeman LB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Tee Higgins WR Adductor Minimal
- IR Brian Parker II C Unknown Minimal
MIA 8 listed- IR Cole Turner TE Undisclosed Severe
- IR Devon Achane RB Knee Severe
- Out Reese Taylor CB Quadriceps Minimal
- Out Rene Konga DT Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Caleb Douglas WR Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Dante Trader Jr. FS Knee Minimal
- Quest. Jackson Woodard LB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Robert Beal Jr. DE Unknown Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
CIN last 5L 17-22 vs JAXL 27-30 @ PITW 20-6 @ HOUW 33-27 vs TBL 18-20 vs CLE
MIA last 5L 10-15 @ MINL 10-24 vs KCL 13-35 @ SFL 13-27 @ LVL 10-38 @ NE
Head-to-head
- Dec 21, 2025 CIN 45 at MIA 21
- Sep 29, 2022 MIA 15 at CIN 27
Week 5 slate
Swipe for all 15 games this week.
TB @ DAL
Thu 8:15 PM ET
DAL -8.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
PHI @ JAX
Sun 9:30 AM ET
JAX -7.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
CHI @ GB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -1.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CIN @ MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -6.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -7.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
IND @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -2.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LV @ NE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NE -3.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIN @ NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYG @ WAS
Sun 1:00 PM ET
WAS -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
DEN @ LAC
Sun 4:05 PM ET
DEN -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
DET @ ARI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DET -5.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
SF @ SEA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SEA -3
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
BAL @ ATL
Sun 8:20 PM ET
ATL -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
BUF @ LA
Mon 8:15 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM