Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · Nissan Stadium, Tennessee
Division Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Houston Texans
0-4 · 0-4 last season
Implied22.5
At
HOU -7.5 Total 37.5 Live line · HOU -390 · TEN +310
Tennessee Titans
0-4 · 0-4 last season
Implied15.0
Line movement open Oct 6
TEN spread
+7 +7.5
0.5
Total
37.5 37.5
no move
FanDuel
HOU @ TEN: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU |
C.J. Stroud | QB | 16.7 | $5,900 | TEN #17 of 32 | 17.3 | Neutral |
| HOU |
Nico Collins | WR | 16.1 | $7,500 | TEN #24 of 32 | 35.9 | Favorable |
| HOU |
David Montgomery | RB | 12.4 | $5,800 | TEN #13 of 32 | 21.0 | Neutral |
| HOU |
Dalton Schultz | TE | 9.3 | $4,000 | TEN #14 of 32 | 12.7 | Neutral |
| TEN |
Cam Ward | QB | 12.6 | $4,900 | HOU #22 of 32 | 18.1 | Favorable |
| TEN |
Carnell Tate | WR | 11.4 | $5,300 | HOU #26 of 32 | 36.3 | Smash |
| TEN |
Tony Pollard | RB | 10.9 | $5,600 | HOU #3 of 32 | 18.5 | Tough |
| TEN |
Gunnar Helm | TE | 4.1 | $2,800 | HOU #13 of 32 | 12.6 | Neutral |
HOU skill positions vs TEN defenseQB
#17/32
17.3 fpa
RB
#13/32
21.0 fpa
WR
#24/32
35.9 fpa
TE
#14/32
12.7 fpa
TEN skill positions vs HOU defenseQB
#22/32
18.1 fpa
RB
#3/32
18.5 fpa
WR
#26/32
36.3 fpa
TE
#13/32
12.6 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
HOU22.5
TEN15.0
Offense profile
HOURank of 32TEN
21.0
#20
Pts / G
13.8
#31
285.2
#6
Pass yds / G
181.5
#29
79.0
#30
Rush yds / G
89.0
#26
63.5
#9
Plays / G
53.8
#31
63%
Pass rate
57%
1.2
Pass TD / G
0.8
1.0
Rush TD / G
0.8
3.0
Sacks taken / G
1.5
0.0
INT thrown / G
0.5
Defense profile
HOURank of 32TEN
27.2
#27
Pts allowed / G
20.8
#10
277.8
#30
Pass yds allowed
220.5
#11
83.8
#4
Rush yds allowed
122.8
#24
3.5
Sacks / G
2.0
0.2
INT / G
0.5
1.5
Pass TD allowed
1.0
1.2
Rush TD allowed
1.0
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 4 games per team.
Weather
Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Nissan Stadium, Tennessee)
DFS
HOU projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | C.J. Stroud | 16.7 | 10.5 / 25.0 | $5,900 | 2.83x | $7,300 | #17 |
| WR | Nico Collins | 16.1 | 8.7 / 30.1 | $7,500 | 2.15x | $7,800 | #24 |
| RB | David Montgomery | 12.4 | 6.2 / 20.0 | $5,800 | 2.13x | $6,800 | #13 |
| TE | Dalton Schultz | 9.3 | 4.0 / 15.9 | $4,000 | 2.32x | $5,300 | #14 |
| RB | Woody Marks | 8.0 | 3.6 / 14.0 | $4,800 | 1.67x | $5,800 | #13 |
| WR | Kayshon Boutte | 5.6 | 0.0 / 11.9 | $3,900 | 1.44x | $5,100 | #24 |
| WR | Jaylin Noel | 5.5 | 1.4 / 11.3 | $3,200 | 1.71x | $5,400 | #24 |
TEN projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Cam Ward | 12.6 | 8.1 / 20.3 | $4,900 | 2.58x | $6,500 | #22 |
| WR | Carnell Tate questionable | 11.4 | 4.9 / 20.6 | $5,300 | 2.16x | $5,900 | #26 |
| RB | Tony Pollard | 10.9 | 5.5 / 17.0 | $5,600 | 1.95x | $5,800 | #3 |
| WR | Wan'Dale Robinson | 9.4 | 3.8 / 16.0 | $4,500 | 2.09x | $5,200 | #26 |
| RB | Tyjae Spears | 4.5 | 1.7 / 9.2 | $4,600 | 0.98x | $4,800 | #3 |
| TE | Gunnar Helm questionable | 4.1 | 1.3 / 9.4 | $2,800 | 1.47x | $4,600 | #13 |
| WR | Elic Ayomanor | 3.8 | 0.0 / 10.8 | $3,000 | 1.26x | $4,800 | #26 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud QB HOU | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.1 | +108 | FanDuel | #3 |
| C.J. Stroud QB HOU | Pass yds | 245.5 | 249.6 | -111 | DraftKings | #11 |
| C.J. Stroud QB HOU | Rush yds | 10.5 | 14.4 | +100 | Fanatics | #24 |
| Nico Collins WR HOU | Receptions | 5.5 | 4.1 | -105 | BetOnline | #11 |
| Nico Collins WR HOU | Rec yds | 82.5 | 56.6 | -111 | DraftKings | #11 |
| Cam Ward QB TEN | Pass TD | 0.5 | 0.6 | -168 | FanDuel | #14 |
| Cam Ward QB TEN | Pass yds | 192.5 | 156.2 | -113 | DraftKings | #30 |
| Cam Ward QB TEN | Rush yds | 10.5 | 12.3 | -114 | FanDuel | #4 |
| David Montgomery RB HOU | Rush yds | 45.5 | 35.4 | -114 | FanDuel | #24 |
| David Montgomery RB HOU | Receptions | 1.5 | 2.0 | +125 | BetMGM | #11 |
| David Montgomery RB HOU | Rec yds | 7.5 | 18.7 | -113 | DraftKings | #11 |
| Carnell Tate WR TEN | Receptions | 4.5 | 4.9 | -123 | BetOnline | #30 |
| Carnell Tate WR TEN | Rec yds | 50.5 | 60.3 | -110 | DraftKings | #30 |
| Tony Pollard RB TEN | Rush yds | 49.5 | 62.7 | -111 | BetMGM | #4 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All HOU and TEN props with AI gradesInjuries
HOU 8 listed- Out Graham Mertz QB Unknown Severe
- IR British Brooks RB Hamstring Severe
- IR Jayden Higgins WR Unknown Severe
- Out E.J. Speed LB Quadriceps Minimal
- Out M.J. Stewart Jr. FS Knee Minimal
- Out Solomon Byrd DE Ankle Minimal
- Quest. Azeez Al-Shaair LB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Kenneth Murray Jr. LB Unknown Minimal
TEN 8 listed- Out Jaren Kanak TE Unknown Severe
- Quest. Tony Pollard RB Foot Moderate
- Out Jaylen Harrell DE Unknown Minimal
- Out Tanoh Kpassagnon LB Undisclosed Minimal
- Quest. Amani Hooker FS Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Jeffery Simmons DT Unknown Minimal
- Quest. John Franklin-Myers DE Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Kevin Winston Jr. FS Unknown Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
HOU last 5L 30-34 vs DALL 17-19 @ INDL 6-20 vs CINL 31-36 vs BUFL 16-28 @ NE
TEN last 5L 18-24 @ BALL 7-12 @ NYGL 20-24 vs PHIL 10-23 vs NYJL 7-41 @ JAX
Head-to-head
- Nov 16, 2025 HOU 16 at TEN 13
- Sep 28, 2025 TEN 0 at HOU 26
- Nov 24, 2024 TEN 32 at HOU 27
Week 5 slate
Swipe for all 15 games this week.
TB @ DAL
Thu 8:15 PM ET
DAL -8.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
PHI @ JAX
Sun 9:30 AM ET
JAX -7.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
CHI @ GB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -1.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CIN @ MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -6.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -7.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
IND @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -2.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LV @ NE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NE -3.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIN @ NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYG @ WAS
Sun 1:00 PM ET
WAS -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
DEN @ LAC
Sun 4:05 PM ET
DEN -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
DET @ ARI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DET -5.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
SF @ SEA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SEA -3
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
BAL @ ATL
Sun 8:20 PM ET
ATL -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
BUF @ LA
Mon 8:15 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM