Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · MetLife Stadium, New York
Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Cleveland Browns
3-1 · 3-1 last season
Implied19.0
At
NYJ -1.5 Total 39.5 Live line · CLE +114 · NYJ -134
New York Jets
1-3 · 1-3 last season
Implied20.5
Line movement open Oct 6
NYJ spread
-1.5 -1.5
no move
Total
40.5 39.5
1.0
FanDuel
CLE @ NYJ: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson | QB | 17.6 | $5,100 | NYJ #14 of 32 | 17.2 | Neutral | |
| Quinshon Judkins | RB | 11.8 | $5,700 | NYJ #32 of 32 | 29.5 | Smash | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | 9.9 | $4,400 | NYJ #15 of 32 | 12.8 | Neutral | |
| Denzel Boston | WR | 9.6 | $5,200 | NYJ #10 of 32 | 29.8 | Neutral | |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 20.1 | $6,600 | CLE #15 of 32 | 31.7 | Neutral | |
| Geno Smith | QB | 16.0 | $5,000 | CLE #9 of 32 | 16.6 | Neutral | |
| Braelon Allen | RB | 14.4 | $5,400 | CLE #11 of 32 | 20.3 | Neutral | |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE | 8.9 | $3,800 | CLE #23 of 32 | 15.0 | Favorable |
QB
#14/32
17.2 fpa
RB
#32/32
29.5 fpa
WR
#10/32
29.8 fpa
TE
#15/32
12.8 fpa
QB
#9/32
16.6 fpa
RB
#11/32
20.3 fpa
WR
#15/32
31.7 fpa
TE
#23/32
15.0 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
CLE19.0
NYJ20.5
Offense profile
CLERank of 32NYJ
20.2
#22
Pts / G
19.0
#24
213.8
#19
Pass yds / G
225.5
#17
93.8
#23
Rush yds / G
84.0
#28
57.2
#27
Plays / G
57.0
#28
53%
Pass rate
54%
1.5
Pass TD / G
1.2
0.5
Rush TD / G
0.8
2.8
Sacks taken / G
3.0
0.5
INT thrown / G
0.0
Defense profile
CLERank of 32NYJ
23.8
#18
Pts allowed / G
21.0
#12
254.2
#24
Pass yds allowed
205.5
#6
113.2
#18
Rush yds allowed
123.5
#25
3.0
Sacks / G
2.2
1.0
INT / G
0.2
2.2
Pass TD allowed
1.2
0.0
Rush TD allowed
1.0
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 4 games per team.
Weather
Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (MetLife Stadium, New York)
DFS
| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Deshaun Watson | 17.6 | 10.0 / 23.4 | $5,100 | 3.44x | $6,900 | #14 |
| RB | Quinshon Judkins | 11.8 | 6.6 / 18.8 | $5,700 | 2.08x | $6,100 | #32 |
| TE | Harold Fannin Jr. | 9.9 | 4.6 / 18.2 | $4,400 | 2.26x | $5,400 | #15 |
| WR | Denzel Boston | 9.6 | 3.3 / 19.4 | $5,200 | 1.84x | $5,800 | #10 |
| WR | KC Concepcion Jr. | 9.6 | 4.1 / 16.7 | $4,200 | 2.28x | $5,600 | #10 |
| RB | Raheim Sanders | 4.9 | 1.7 / 9.5 | $4,700 | 1.05x | $4,700 | #32 |
| WR | Jerry Jeudy | 4.7 | 0.0 / 10.9 | $3,700 | 1.28x | $5,100 | #10 |
| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | Garrett Wilson | 20.1 | 10.2 / 30.1 | $6,600 | 3.05x | $7,400 | #15 |
| QB | Geno Smith | 16.0 | 9.1 / 22.1 | $5,000 | 3.20x | $6,700 | #9 |
| RB | Braelon Allen | 14.4 | 7.5 / 21.1 | $5,400 | 2.66x | $5,900 | #11 |
| TE | Kenyon Sadiq | 8.9 | 3.4 / 15.8 | $3,800 | 2.34x | $5,100 | #23 |
| WR | Isaiah Williams | 7.0 | 2.5 / 13.2 | $3,700 | 1.88x | $5,400 | #15 |
| TE | Jeremy Ruckert | 4.7 | 1.3 / 10.1 | $2,500 | 1.88x | $4,400 | #23 |
| RB | Isaiah Davis | 4.6 | 1.5 / 9.6 | $4,200 | 1.09x | $4,900 | #11 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson WR NYJ | Receptions | 6.5 | 7.3 | +125 | BetOnline | #24 |
| Garrett Wilson WR NYJ | Rec yds | 69.5 | 82.3 | -110 | DraftKings | #24 |
| Deshaun Watson QB CLE | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.5 | +158 | DraftKings | #10 |
| Deshaun Watson QB CLE | Pass yds | 204.5 | 214.7 | -112 | DraftKings | #5 |
| Deshaun Watson QB CLE | Rush yds | 25.5 | 31.9 | -112 | DraftKings | #25 |
| Geno Smith QB NYJ | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.3 | +155 | BetRivers | #26 |
| Geno Smith QB NYJ | Pass yds | 207.5 | 226.6 | -111 | DraftKings | #24 |
| Geno Smith QB NYJ | Rush yds | 10.5 | 9.0 | -106 | DraftKings | #18 |
| Braelon Allen RB NYJ | Rush yds | 73.5 | 66.6 | -111 | DraftKings | #18 |
| Quinshon Judkins RB CLE | Rush yds | 58.5 | 43.4 | -112 | DraftKings | #25 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE | Receptions | 4.5 | 3.4 | +125 | DraftKings | #5 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE | Rec yds | 36.5 | 30.2 | -111 | DraftKings | #5 |
| Denzel Boston WR CLE | Receptions | 3.5 | 2.3 | +124 | DraftKings | #5 |
| Denzel Boston WR CLE | Rec yds | 47.5 | 49.2 | -111 | DraftKings | #5 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All CLE and NYJ props with AI gradesInjuries
- Out Joe Royer TE Personal Severe
- Out Damarri Mathis CB Unknown Minimal
- Out Edefuan Ulofoshio LB Biceps Minimal
- Out Elijah Chatman DT Quadriceps Minimal
- Quest. Elgton Jenkins C Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Mason Graham DT Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Teven jenkins G Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Tylan Wallace WR Unknown Minimal
- IR Chip Trayanum RB Neck Severe
- Quest. Breece Hall RB Unknown Moderate
- Out Tre Brown CB Undisclosed Minimal
- Quest. Adonai Mitchell WR Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Dylan Parham G Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Francisco Mauigoa LB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Jarvis Brownlee Jr. DB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Kingsley Enagbare OLB Unknown Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
W 27-24 vs PITW 21-18 vs CARW 23-19 @ TBL 10-34 @ JAXW 20-18 @ CIN
L 12-23 @ CHIL 24-31 @ DETL 17-20 vs GBW 23-10 @ TENL 8-35 @ BUF
Head-to-head
- Nov 9, 2025 CLE 20 at NYJ 27
- Dec 28, 2023 NYJ 20 at CLE 37
- Sep 18, 2022 NYJ 31 at CLE 30
Week 5 slate
Swipe for all 15 games this week.
Thu 8:15 PM ET
DAL -8.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
Sun 9:30 AM ET
JAX -7.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -1.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -6.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -7.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -2.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NE -3.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
Sun 1:00 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
Sun 1:00 PM ET
WAS -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
Sun 4:05 PM ET
DEN -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DET -5.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SEA -3
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
Sun 8:20 PM ET
ATL -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
Mon 8:15 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM