Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · MetLife Stadium, New York Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Cleveland Browns
3-1 · 3-1 last season
Implied19.0
At NYJ -1.5 Total 39.5 Live line · CLE +114 · NYJ -134
New York Jets
1-3 · 1-3 last season
Implied20.5
Line movement open Oct 6 NYJ spread -1.5 -1.5 no move Total 40.5 39.5 1.0 FanDuel

CLE @ NYJ: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
CLE Deshaun Watson QB 17.6 $5,100 NYJ #14 of 32 17.2 Neutral
CLE Quinshon Judkins RB 11.8 $5,700 NYJ #32 of 32 29.5 Smash
CLE Harold Fannin Jr. TE 9.9 $4,400 NYJ #15 of 32 12.8 Neutral
CLE Denzel Boston WR 9.6 $5,200 NYJ #10 of 32 29.8 Neutral
NYJ Garrett Wilson WR 20.1 $6,600 CLE #15 of 32 31.7 Neutral
NYJ Geno Smith QB 16.0 $5,000 CLE #9 of 32 16.6 Neutral
NYJ Braelon Allen RB 14.4 $5,400 CLE #11 of 32 20.3 Neutral
NYJ Kenyon Sadiq TE 8.9 $3,800 CLE #23 of 32 15.0 Favorable
CLE skill positions vs NYJ defense
QB
#14/32
17.2 fpa
Bad
RB
#32/32
29.5 fpa
Elite
WR
#10/32
29.8 fpa
Bad
TE
#15/32
12.8 fpa
Average
NYJ skill positions vs CLE defense
QB
#9/32
16.6 fpa
Bad
RB
#11/32
20.3 fpa
Bad
WR
#15/32
31.7 fpa
Average
TE
#23/32
15.0 fpa
Good

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
CLE19.0
NYJ20.5
Offense profile
CLERank of 32NYJ
20.2 #22 Pts / G 19.0 #24
213.8 #19 Pass yds / G 225.5 #17
93.8 #23 Rush yds / G 84.0 #28
57.2 #27 Plays / G 57.0 #28
53% Pass rate 54%
1.5 Pass TD / G 1.2
0.5 Rush TD / G 0.8
2.8 Sacks taken / G 3.0
0.5 INT thrown / G 0.0
Defense profile
CLERank of 32NYJ
23.8 #18 Pts allowed / G 21.0 #12
254.2 #24 Pass yds allowed 205.5 #6
113.2 #18 Rush yds allowed 123.5 #25
3.0 Sacks / G 2.2
1.0 INT / G 0.2
2.2 Pass TD allowed 1.2
0.0 Rush TD allowed 1.0

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 4 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (MetLife Stadium, New York)

DFS

CLE projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Deshaun Watson 17.6 10.0 / 23.4 $5,100 3.44x $6,900 #14
RB Quinshon Judkins 11.8 6.6 / 18.8 $5,700 2.08x $6,100 #32
TE Harold Fannin Jr. 9.9 4.6 / 18.2 $4,400 2.26x $5,400 #15
WR Denzel Boston 9.6 3.3 / 19.4 $5,200 1.84x $5,800 #10
WR KC Concepcion Jr. 9.6 4.1 / 16.7 $4,200 2.28x $5,600 #10
RB Raheim Sanders 4.9 1.7 / 9.5 $4,700 1.05x $4,700 #32
WR Jerry Jeudy 4.7 0.0 / 10.9 $3,700 1.28x $5,100 #10
NYJ projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
WR Garrett Wilson 20.1 10.2 / 30.1 $6,600 3.05x $7,400 #15
QB Geno Smith 16.0 9.1 / 22.1 $5,000 3.20x $6,700 #9
RB Braelon Allen 14.4 7.5 / 21.1 $5,400 2.66x $5,900 #11
TE Kenyon Sadiq 8.9 3.4 / 15.8 $3,800 2.34x $5,100 #23
WR Isaiah Williams 7.0 2.5 / 13.2 $3,700 1.88x $5,400 #15
TE Jeremy Ruckert 4.7 1.3 / 10.1 $2,500 1.88x $4,400 #23
RB Isaiah Davis 4.6 1.5 / 9.6 $4,200 1.09x $4,900 #11

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Garrett Wilson WR NYJ Receptions 6.5 7.3 +125 BetOnline #24
Garrett Wilson WR NYJ Rec yds 69.5 82.3 -110 DraftKings #24
Deshaun Watson QB CLE Pass TD 1.5 1.5 +158 DraftKings #10
Deshaun Watson QB CLE Pass yds 204.5 214.7 -112 DraftKings #5
Deshaun Watson QB CLE Rush yds 25.5 31.9 -112 DraftKings #25
Geno Smith QB NYJ Pass TD 1.5 1.3 +155 BetRivers #26
Geno Smith QB NYJ Pass yds 207.5 226.6 -111 DraftKings #24
Geno Smith QB NYJ Rush yds 10.5 9.0 -106 DraftKings #18
Braelon Allen RB NYJ Rush yds 73.5 66.6 -111 DraftKings #18
Quinshon Judkins RB CLE Rush yds 58.5 43.4 -112 DraftKings #25
Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE Receptions 4.5 3.4 +125 DraftKings #5
Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE Rec yds 36.5 30.2 -111 DraftKings #5
Denzel Boston WR CLE Receptions 3.5 2.3 +124 DraftKings #5
Denzel Boston WR CLE Rec yds 47.5 49.2 -111 DraftKings #5

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All CLE and NYJ props with AI grades

Injuries

CLE 8 listed
  • Out Joe Royer TE Personal Severe
  • Out Damarri Mathis CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Edefuan Ulofoshio LB Biceps Minimal
  • Out Elijah Chatman DT Quadriceps Minimal
  • Quest. Elgton Jenkins C Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Mason Graham DT Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Teven jenkins G Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Tylan Wallace WR Unknown Minimal
NYJ 8 listed
  • IR Chip Trayanum RB Neck Severe
  • Quest. Breece Hall RB Unknown Moderate
  • Out Tre Brown CB Undisclosed Minimal
  • Quest. Adonai Mitchell WR Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Dylan Parham G Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Francisco Mauigoa LB Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Jarvis Brownlee Jr. DB Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Kingsley Enagbare OLB Unknown Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 5 slate

Swipe for all 15 games this week.
Updated Oct 8, 5:07 PM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.