Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh
Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Indianapolis Colts
2-2 · 2-2 last season
Implied21.0
At
PIT -2.5 Total 44.5 Live line · IND +120 · PIT -142
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-2 · 2-2 last season
Implied23.5
Line movement open Oct 6
PIT spread
-1.5 -2.5
1.0
Total
44.5 44.5
no move
FanDuel
IND @ PIT: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND |
Jonathan Taylor | RB | 18.1 | $7,800 | PIT #20 of 32 | 23.0 | Favorable |
| IND |
Daniel Jones | QB | 14.1 | $5,000 | PIT #13 of 32 | 17.1 | Neutral |
| IND |
Tyler Warren | TE | 11.5 | $5,000 | PIT #17 of 32 | 13.3 | Neutral |
| IND |
Josh Downs | WR | 10.9 | $6,000 | PIT #16 of 32 | 31.8 | Neutral |
| PIT |
Jaylen Warren | RB | 19.6 | $6,700 | IND #22 of 32 | 23.3 | Favorable |
| PIT |
Aaron Rodgers | QB | 17.8 | $5,300 | IND #29 of 32 | 20.5 | Smash |
| PIT |
DK Metcalf | WR | 11.4 | $5,400 | IND #27 of 32 | 36.5 | Smash |
| PIT |
Pat Freiermuth | TE | 8.4 | $3,900 | IND #21 of 32 | 14.9 | Favorable |
IND skill positions vs PIT defenseQB
#13/32
17.1 fpa
RB
#20/32
23.0 fpa
WR
#16/32
31.8 fpa
TE
#17/32
13.3 fpa
PIT skill positions vs IND defenseQB
#29/32
20.5 fpa
RB
#22/32
23.3 fpa
WR
#27/32
36.5 fpa
TE
#21/32
14.9 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
IND21.0
PIT23.5
Offense profile
INDRank of 32PIT
25.5
#13
Pts / G
19.2
#23
188.8
#27
Pass yds / G
250.2
#14
109.5
#14
Rush yds / G
94.8
#22
63.2
#11
Plays / G
63.5
#10
54%
Pass rate
64%
0.8
Pass TD / G
1.8
1.8
Rush TD / G
0.0
2.0
Sacks taken / G
3.2
1.0
INT thrown / G
1.0
Defense profile
INDRank of 32PIT
26.0
#22
Pts allowed / G
21.8
#14
276.2
#28
Pass yds allowed
226.0
#13
131.0
#26
Rush yds allowed
112.8
#17
2.2
Sacks / G
2.5
0.2
INT / G
1.0
1.5
Pass TD allowed
1.2
1.2
Rush TD allowed
0.8
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 4 games per team.
Weather
Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh)
DFS
IND projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | Jonathan Taylor | 18.1 | 10.8 / 28.2 | $7,800 | 2.31x | $8,600 | #20 |
| QB | Daniel Jones | 14.1 | 8.4 / 21.1 | $5,000 | 2.81x | $6,900 | #13 |
| TE | Tyler Warren | 11.5 | 6.0 / 20.1 | $5,000 | 2.30x | $5,500 | #17 |
| WR | Josh Downs | 10.9 | 4.7 / 18.3 | $6,000 | 1.81x | $6,100 | #16 |
| WR | Keenan Allen questionable | 8.8 | 4.0 / 15.6 | $4,300 | 2.03x | $5,800 | #16 |
| WR | Laquon Treadwell | 6.2 | 1.6 / 12.0 | $3,600 | 1.72x | $4,900 | #16 |
| RB | Seth McGowan | 2.7 | 0.5 / 6.5 | $4,300 | 0.63x | $5,000 | #20 |
PIT projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | Jaylen Warren | 19.6 | 10.9 / 27.1 | $6,700 | 2.93x | $6,700 | #22 |
| QB | Aaron Rodgers | 17.8 | 10.5 / 24.7 | $5,300 | 3.35x | $7,000 | #29 |
| WR | DK Metcalf | 11.4 | 5.4 / 21.7 | $5,400 | 2.10x | $6,800 | #27 |
| TE | Pat Freiermuth | 8.4 | 3.1 / 15.3 | $3,900 | 2.17x | $5,000 | #21 |
| WR | Michael Pittman Jr. out | 6.7 | 2.3 / 13.2 | $4,400 | 1.51x | $5,600 | #27 |
| WR | Roman Wilson | 6.6 | 1.7 / 13.6 | $3,700 | 1.78x | $5,600 | #27 |
| TE | Darnell Washington | 6.2 | 1.7 / 12.6 | $2,900 | 2.13x | $4,800 | #21 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren RB PIT | Rush yds | 64.5 | 100.6 | -114 | FanDuel | #26 |
| Jonathan Taylor RB IND | Rush yds | 85.5 | 73.1 | -112 | DraftKings | #17 |
| Jonathan Taylor RB IND | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.1 | -110 | FanDuel | #13 |
| Jonathan Taylor RB IND | Rec yds | 15.5 | 14.3 | -110 | BetRivers | #13 |
| Aaron Rodgers QB PIT | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.9 | -105 | DraftKings | #14 |
| Aaron Rodgers QB PIT | Pass yds | 220.5 | 268.2 | -110 | Fanatics | #28 |
| Aaron Rodgers QB PIT | Rush yds | 0.5 | 3.2 | -114 | FanDuel | #26 |
| Daniel Jones QB IND | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.0 | +175 | BetRivers | #10 |
| Daniel Jones QB IND | Pass yds | 211.5 | 245.1 | -112 | DraftKings | #13 |
| Daniel Jones QB IND | Rush yds | 10.5 | 6.8 | -104 | DraftKings | #17 |
| Tyler Warren TE IND | Receptions | 5.5 | 5.4 | +120 | FanDuel | #13 |
| Tyler Warren TE IND | Rec yds | 48.5 | 30.8 | -110 | Bovada | #13 |
| DK Metcalf WR PIT | Receptions | 4.5 | 3.9 | +114 | FanDuel | #28 |
| DK Metcalf WR PIT | Rec yds | 53.5 | 52.3 | -112 | DraftKings | #28 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All IND and PIT props with AI gradesInjuries
IND 8 listed- IR Alec Pierce WR Unknown Severe
- IR Carson Towt TE Unknown Severe
- IR D.J. Montgomery WR Abdomen Severe
- IR Will Mallory TE Thumb Severe
- Out Arden Key DE Hamstring Minimal
- Quest. Jaylon Carlies LB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Keenan Allen WR Unknown Minimal
- IR Cameron Mitchell CB Unknown Minimal
PIT 8 listed- Out Cole Burgess WR Unknown Severe
- Quest. Rico Dowdle RB Unknown Moderate
- Out Donte Kent CB Undisclosed Minimal
- Out Jack Driscoll OT Undisclosed Minimal
- Out Logan Lee DT Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Jamel Dean CB Unknown Minimal
- IR DeShon Elliott FS Unknown Minimal
- IR Derrick Harmon DT Foot Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
IND last 5W 30-13 @ WASW 19-17 vs HOUL 30-33 @ KCL 23-41 vs BALL 30-38 @ HOU
PIT last 5L 24-27 @ CLEW 30-27 vs CINL 3-20 @ NEW 20-13 vs ATLL 6-30 vs HOU
Head-to-head
- Nov 2, 2025 IND 20 at PIT 27
- Sep 29, 2024 PIT 24 at IND 27
- Dec 16, 2023 PIT 13 at IND 30
Week 5 slate
Swipe for all 15 games this week.
TB @ DAL
Thu 8:15 PM ET
DAL -8.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
PHI @ JAX
Sun 9:30 AM ET
JAX -7.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
CHI @ GB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -1.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CIN @ MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -6.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -7.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
IND @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -2.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LV @ NE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NE -3.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIN @ NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYG @ WAS
Sun 1:00 PM ET
WAS -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
DEN @ LAC
Sun 4:05 PM ET
DEN -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
DET @ ARI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DET -5.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
SF @ SEA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SEA -3
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
BAL @ ATL
Sun 8:20 PM ET
ATL -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
BUF @ LA
Mon 8:15 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM