Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · FOX · Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
Indoor Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Minnesota Vikings
4-0 · 4-0 last season
Implied22.0
At
MIN -1.5 Total 42.5 Live line · MIN -132 · NO +112
New Orleans Saints
1-3 · 1-3 last season
Implied20.5
Line movement open Oct 6
NO spread
+1.5 +1.5
no move
Total
42.5 42.5
no move
FanDuel
MIN @ NO: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
| Team | Player | Pos | Proj | DK $ | vs defense | FPA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN |
Justin Jefferson | WR | 17.9 | $7,300 | NO #7 of 32 | 28.0 | Tough |
| MIN |
Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | 17.5 | $6,500 | NO #31 of 32 | 28.1 | Smash |
| MIN |
Kyler Murray | QB | 17.2 | $5,200 | NO #5 of 32 | 15.3 | Tough |
| MIN |
T.J. Hockenson | TE | 9.8 | $4,800 | NO #25 of 32 | 15.3 | Favorable |
| NO |
Tyler Shough | QB | 18.8 | $6,100 | MIN #1 of 32 | 11.6 | Tough |
| NO |
Chris Olave | WR | 17.1 | $7,700 | MIN #5 of 32 | 27.1 | Tough |
| NO |
Alvin Kamara | RB | 12.0 | $5,400 | MIN #1 of 32 | 17.7 | Tough |
| NO |
Juwan Johnson | TE | 10.2 | $4,500 | MIN #2 of 32 | 8.6 | Tough |
MIN skill positions vs NO defenseQB
#5/32
15.3 fpa
RB
#31/32
28.1 fpa
WR
#7/32
28.0 fpa
TE
#25/32
15.3 fpa
NO skill positions vs MIN defenseQB
#1/32
11.6 fpa
RB
#1/32
17.7 fpa
WR
#5/32
27.1 fpa
TE
#2/32
8.6 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
MIN22.0
NO20.5
Offense profile
MINRank of 32NO
21.5
#18
Pts / G
26.2
#10
178.2
#31
Pass yds / G
302.0
#3
106.8
#16
Rush yds / G
88.5
#27
59.8
#20
Plays / G
72.8
#2
49%
Pass rate
64%
1.0
Pass TD / G
2.2
0.5
Rush TD / G
1.0
3.2
Sacks taken / G
3.0
0.5
INT thrown / G
0.8
Defense profile
MINRank of 32NO
12.8
#1
Pts allowed / G
32.0
#32
220.2
#10
Pass yds allowed
228.0
#15
94.5
#7
Rush yds allowed
147.8
#30
4.0
Sacks / G
2.0
1.0
INT / G
0.2
0.8
Pass TD allowed
1.8
0.2
Rush TD allowed
2.2
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 4 games per team.
Weather
Indoor: no weather factor. Caesars Superdome is a covered venue.
DFS
MIN projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | Justin Jefferson questionable | 17.9 | 9.2 / 29.2 | $7,300 | 2.45x | $8,000 | #7 |
| RB | Aaron Jones Sr. | 17.5 | 9.5 / 24.0 | $6,500 | 2.69x | $6,200 | #31 |
| QB | Kyler Murray | 17.2 | 10.6 / 24.1 | $5,200 | 3.32x | $7,000 | #5 |
| TE | T.J. Hockenson | 9.8 | 4.6 / 16.5 | $4,800 | 2.04x | $5,200 | #25 |
| WR | Jordan Addison questionable | 8.9 | 3.8 / 17.1 | $5,800 | 1.53x | $6,700 | #7 |
| WR | Jauan Jennings | 3.7 | 0.0 / 8.9 | $4,100 | 0.90x | $5,300 | #7 |
| RB | Demond Claiborne | 2.3 | 0.5 / 5.9 | $4,000 | 0.57x | $5,000 | #31 |
NO projected players| Pos | Player | Proj | Floor / ceil | DK $ | Val | FD $ | vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Tyler Shough | 18.8 | 11.0 / 26.0 | $6,100 | 3.09x | $7,700 | #1 |
| WR | Chris Olave questionable | 17.1 | 9.2 / 28.9 | $7,700 | 2.23x | $8,300 | #5 |
| RB | Alvin Kamara questionable | 12.0 | 6.4 / 19.3 | $5,400 | 2.23x | $6,300 | #1 |
| TE | Juwan Johnson | 10.2 | 4.5 / 18.4 | $4,500 | 2.27x | $5,400 | #2 |
| WR | Devaughn Vele | 9.6 | 4.2 / 17.4 | $5,200 | 1.85x | $6,000 | #5 |
| RB | Kendre Miller | 7.0 | 3.1 / 12.9 | $4,900 | 1.43x | $5,700 | #1 |
| TE | Noah Fant questionable | 5.8 | 1.6 / 12.4 | $3,000 | 1.93x | $4,900 | #2 |
Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).
Props
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Over | Book | Opp rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough QB NO | Pass TD | 1.5 | 1.8 | +152 | FanDuel | #1 |
| Tyler Shough QB NO | Pass yds | 236.5 | 240.0 | -113 | DraftKings | #10 |
| Tyler Shough QB NO | Rush yds | 9.5 | 14.4 | -114 | FanDuel | #7 |
| Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN | Rush yds | 73.5 | 95.1 | -111 | DraftKings | #30 |
| Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN | Receptions | 3.5 | 2.9 | +131 | DraftKings | #16 |
| Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN | Rec yds | 18.5 | 21.8 | -114 | FanDuel | #16 |
| Kyler Murray QB MIN | Pass TD | 1.5 | 0.7 | +156 | DraftKings | #21 |
| Kyler Murray QB MIN | Pass yds | 213.5 | 317.4 | -114 | DraftKings | #15 |
| Kyler Murray QB MIN | Rush yds | 17.5 | 30.8 | -114 | DraftKings | #30 |
| Chris Olave WR NO | Receptions | 6.5 | 6.1 | +105 | Bovada | #10 |
| Chris Olave WR NO | Rec yds | 78.5 | 84.9 | -114 | DraftKings | #10 |
| Alvin Kamara RB NO | Rush yds | 33.5 | 25.4 | -114 | FanDuel | #7 |
| Alvin Kamara RB NO | Rec yds | 13.5 | 16.1 | -114 | FanDuel | #10 |
| Juwan Johnson TE NO | Receptions | 4.5 | 3.5 | +115 | BetRivers | #10 |
Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).
All MIN and NO props with AI gradesInjuries
MIN 8 listed- IR Ben Yurosek TE Unknown Severe
- IR Jordan Mason RB Unknown Severe
- IR Josh Oliver TE Biceps Severe
- Out Jamal Adams LB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Brett Thorson P Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Charles Demmings CB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Christian Darrisaw T Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Justin Jefferson WR Unknown Minimal
NO 8 listed- IR Jordyn Tyson WR Hamstring Severe
- IR Mason Tipton WR Leg Severe
- Out David Long DB Undisclosed Minimal
- Out Dillon Radunz G Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Anfernee Jennings OLB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Carl Granderson OLB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Kaden Elliss ILB Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Noah Fant TE Abdomen Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
MIN last 5W 15-10 vs MIAW 23-16 @ TBW 9-3 @ CHIW 39-22 vs GBW 16-3 vs GB
NO last 5L 24-45 vs ATLL 27-35 vs LVW 24-17 @ BALL 30-31 @ DETL 17-19 @ ATL
Head-to-head
- Nov 12, 2023 NO 19 at MIN 27
- Oct 2, 2022 MIN 28 at NO 25
Week 5 slate
Swipe for all 15 games this week.
TB @ DAL
Thu 8:15 PM ET
DAL -8.5
O/U 48.5
Ready
PHI @ JAX
Sun 9:30 AM ET
JAX -7.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
CHI @ GB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -1.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CIN @ MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -6.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -1.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
HOU @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -7.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
IND @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -2.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LV @ NE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NE -3.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIN @ NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
MIN -1.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYG @ WAS
Sun 1:00 PM ET
WAS -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
DEN @ LAC
Sun 4:05 PM ET
DEN -3.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
DET @ ARI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DET -5.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
SF @ SEA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SEA -3
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
BAL @ ATL
Sun 8:20 PM ET
ATL -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
BUF @ LA
Mon 8:15 PM ET
LA -3.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM