Sun Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · FOX · State Farm Stadium, Arizona Indoor Upcoming · Fri 4:25 PM
Detroit Lions
2-2 · 2-2 last season
Implied30.0
At DET -5.5 Total 54.5 Live line · DET -235 · ARI +194
Arizona Cardinals
1-3 · 1-3 last season
Implied24.5
Line movement open Oct 6 ARI spread +5.5 +5.5 no move Total 53.5 54.5 1.0 FanDuel

DET @ ARI: the angle lands Fri 4:25 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
DET Jahmyr Gibbs RB 26.4 $9,800 ARI #18 of 32 22.1 Neutral
DET Jared Goff QB 22.1 $6,600 ARI #28 of 32 20.3 Smash
DET Amon-Ra St. Brown WR 21.1 $7,900 ARI #25 of 32 36.0 Favorable
DET Sam LaPorta TE 12.6 $4,900 ARI #30 of 32 18.2 Smash
ARI Jacoby Brissett QB 19.8 $5,500 DET #32 of 32 25.4 Smash
ARI Trey McBride TE 19.3 $6,700 DET #32 of 32 21.5 Smash
ARI Michael Wilson WR 14.9 $6,200 DET #32 of 32 41.7 Smash
ARI Jeremiyah Love RB 13.8 $6,100 DET #16 of 32 21.8 Neutral
DET skill positions vs ARI defense
QB
#28/32
20.3 fpa
Elite
RB
#18/32
22.1 fpa
Average
WR
#25/32
36.0 fpa
Elite
TE
#30/32
18.2 fpa
Elite
ARI skill positions vs DET defense
QB
#32/32
25.4 fpa
Elite
RB
#16/32
21.8 fpa
Average
WR
#32/32
41.7 fpa
Elite
TE
#32/32
21.5 fpa
Elite

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
DET30.0
ARI24.5
Offense profile
DETRank of 32ARI
29.8 #5 Pts / G 21.8 #17
303.5 #2 Pass yds / G 204.5 #22
102.0 #20 Rush yds / G 100.5 #21
66.8 #6 Plays / G 65.8 #7
62% Pass rate 59%
2.2 Pass TD / G 1.5
1.2 Rush TD / G 0.8
2.0 Sacks taken / G 1.8
0.0 INT thrown / G 1.0
Defense profile
DETRank of 32ARI
31.8 #31 Pts allowed / G 29.2 #29
327.0 #32 Pass yds allowed 247.8 #23
119.8 #21 Rush yds allowed 117.5 #20
3.8 Sacks / G 2.0
0.5 INT / G 0.8
2.8 Pass TD allowed 2.8
1.5 Rush TD allowed 0.8

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 4 games per team.

Weather

Indoor: no weather factor. State Farm Stadium is a covered venue.

DFS

DET projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
RB Jahmyr Gibbs 26.4 16.6 / 38.0 $9,800 2.69x $10,000 #18
QB Jared Goff 22.1 13.2 / 30.0 $6,600 3.35x $8,100 #28
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown 21.1 11.4 / 33.3 $7,900 2.67x $9,000 #25
TE Sam LaPorta 12.6 5.6 / 21.3 $4,900 2.56x $6,000 #30
WR Jameson Williams 12.2 4.5 / 21.5 $5,900 2.07x $6,500 #25
WR Isaac TeSlaa 6.1 1.3 / 13.1 $3,400 1.79x $5,400 #25
RB Sione Vaki 2.8 0.4 / 6.8 $4,300 0.65x $5,100 #18
ARI projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Jacoby Brissett 19.8 12.2 / 28.0 $5,500 3.60x $6,800 #32
TE Trey McBride 19.3 10.7 / 31.0 $6,700 2.88x $7,200 #32
WR Michael Wilson 14.9 7.3 / 26.7 $6,200 2.40x $6,400 #32
RB Jeremiyah Love questionable 13.8 6.9 / 21.1 $6,100 2.27x $6,600 #16
WR Marvin Harrison Jr. 7.9 1.7 / 15.2 $4,400 1.80x $5,600 #32
RB Tyler Allgeier 7.6 3.5 / 14.6 $5,100 1.49x $5,600 #16
WR Kendrick Bourne 6.8 2.1 / 13.2 $3,400 2.01x $4,900 #32

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET Rush yds 93.5 77.6 -110 Fanatics #20
Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET Receptions 4.5 4.8 +150 Fanatics #23
Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET Rec yds 37.5 41.1 -111 BetMGM #23
Jared Goff QB DET Pass TD 2.5 2.2 +160 BetMGM #30
Jared Goff QB DET Pass yds 279.5 291.7 -112 DraftKings #23
Jared Goff QB DET Rush yds 0.5 3.6 -114 FanDuel #20
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET Receptions 7.5 6.9 +112 BetRivers #23
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET Rec yds 80.5 67.5 -110 DraftKings #23
Jacoby Brissett QB ARI Pass TD 1.5 1.9 -125 BetRivers #30
Jacoby Brissett QB ARI Pass yds 269.5 256.9 -105 BetMGM #32
Jacoby Brissett QB ARI Rush yds 7.5 13.5 -109 BetRivers #21
Trey McBride TE ARI Receptions 7.5 9.2 -135 DraftKings #32
Trey McBride TE ARI Rec yds 81.5 67.4 -111 DraftKings #32
Michael Wilson WR ARI Receptions 5.5 6.5 +120 BetMGM #32

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All DET and ARI props with AI grades

Injuries

DET 8 listed
  • IR Isiah Pacheco RB Back Severe
  • Out Giovanni Manu OT Knee Minimal
  • Out Kerby Joseph FS Knee Minimal
  • Quest. Ben Bartch G Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Rock Ya-Sin CB Hamstring Minimal
  • IR Avonte Maddox FS Foot Minimal
  • IR Brian Branch FS Achilles Minimal
  • IR Cade Mays C Wrist Minimal
ARI 8 listed
  • Out Jameson Geers TE Unknown Severe
  • Out Trey Benson RB Knee Severe
  • IR Hunter Long TE Knee Severe
  • Quest. Jeremiyah Love RB Unknown Moderate
  • Out Chase Bisontis G Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Andrew Wingard FS Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Dadrion Taylor-Demerson FS Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Isaiah Adams G Unknown Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 5 slate

Swipe for all 15 games this week.
Updated Oct 8, 5:07 PM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.