Sun Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET · CBS · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood Division Indoor Upcoming · Fri 4:05 PM
Denver Broncos
2-2 · 2-2 last season
Implied23.0
At DEN -3.5 Total 42.5 Live line · DEN -180 · LAC +152
Los Angeles Chargers
0-4 · 0-4 last season
Implied19.5
Line movement open Oct 6 LAC spread +3.5 +3.5 no move Total 42.5 42.5 no move FanDuel

DEN @ LAC: the angle lands Fri 4:05 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
DEN Bo Nix QB 18.1 $5,600 LAC #6 of 32 15.8 Tough
DEN Jaylen Waddle WR 14.2 $6,100 LAC #14 of 32 31.0 Neutral
DEN RJ Harvey RB 10.7 $5,200 LAC #14 of 32 21.1 Neutral
DEN Evan Engram TE 6.0 $2,800 LAC #7 of 32 10.3 Tough
LAC Justin Herbert QB 15.9 $5,100 DEN #12 of 32 17.0 Neutral
LAC Omarion Hampton RB 10.7 $6,000 DEN #15 of 32 21.7 Neutral
LAC Oronde Gadsden II TE 10.1 $3,600 DEN #24 of 32 15.0 Favorable
LAC Tre' Harris WR 9.4 $4,100 DEN #8 of 32 28.3 Neutral
DEN skill positions vs LAC defense
QB
#6/32
15.8 fpa
Avoid
RB
#14/32
21.1 fpa
Bad
WR
#14/32
31.0 fpa
Bad
TE
#7/32
10.3 fpa
Avoid
LAC skill positions vs DEN defense
QB
#12/32
17.0 fpa
Bad
RB
#15/32
21.7 fpa
Average
WR
#8/32
28.3 fpa
Avoid
TE
#24/32
15.0 fpa
Good

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
DEN23.0
LAC19.5
Offense profile
DENRank of 32LAC
18.5 #27 Pts / G 16.8 #29
205.2 #21 Pass yds / G 204.0 #23
81.2 #29 Rush yds / G 121.5 #9
57.5 #25 Plays / G 61.2 #17
60% Pass rate 52%
1.2 Pass TD / G 1.0
0.5 Rush TD / G 0.8
1.2 Sacks taken / G 3.0
0.8 INT thrown / G 1.5
Defense profile
DENRank of 32LAC
23.5 #17 Pts allowed / G 26.5 #24
245.2 #22 Pass yds allowed 229.0 #17
142.8 #29 Rush yds allowed 121.8 #22
2.0 Sacks / G 2.5
1.0 INT / G 1.0
1.5 Pass TD allowed 1.5
1.0 Rush TD allowed 1.5

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 4 games per team.

Weather

Indoor: no weather factor. SoFi Stadium is a covered venue.

DFS

DEN projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Bo Nix 18.1 11.3 / 26.2 $5,600 3.24x $7,600 #6
WR Jaylen Waddle 14.2 6.2 / 23.6 $6,100 2.32x $6,600 #14
RB RJ Harvey 10.7 6.5 / 17.3 $5,200 2.06x $6,000 #14
WR Courtland Sutton 9.2 3.5 / 16.9 $4,600 2.00x $5,900 #14
RB J.K. Dobbins 7.8 4.2 / 15.0 $5,000 1.57x $5,900 #14
TE Evan Engram 6.0 1.9 / 12.2 $2,800 2.13x $4,900 #7
TE Nate Adkins 4.2 0.0 / 11.0 $2,500 1.66x $4,200 #7
LAC projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Justin Herbert 15.9 9.3 / 22.6 $5,100 3.13x $7,100 #12
RB Omarion Hampton 10.7 5.4 / 18.5 $6,000 1.78x $7,100 #15
TE Oronde Gadsden II 10.1 4.0 / 17.0 $3,600 2.82x $5,000 #24
RB Keaton Mitchell 10.0 4.8 / 15.5 $4,500 2.23x $5,300 #15
WR Tre' Harris 9.4 3.9 / 16.6 $4,100 2.30x $5,500 #8
WR Quentin Johnston questionable 8.0 3.0 / 15.4 $5,100 1.57x $5,300 #8
RB Kimani Vidal 5.3 1.7 / 11.3 $4,300 1.23x $4,400 #15

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Bo Nix QB DEN Pass TD 1.5 1.5 +110 BetMGM #14
Bo Nix QB DEN Pass yds 220.5 242.7 -111 DraftKings #16
Bo Nix QB DEN Rush yds 14.5 7.4 +105 Fanatics #22
Justin Herbert QB LAC Pass TD 1.5 1.3 +172 DraftKings #14
Justin Herbert QB LAC Pass yds 199.5 258.0 -113 DraftKings #22
Justin Herbert QB LAC Rush yds 26.5 27.8 -111 DraftKings #29
Jaylen Waddle WR DEN Receptions 4.5 4.8 -106 DraftKings #14
Jaylen Waddle WR DEN Rec yds 54.5 55.8 -110 DraftKings #14
RJ Harvey RB DEN Rush yds 22.5 13.7 -110 BetMGM #22
RJ Harvey RB DEN Receptions 3.5 5.6 +130 Fanatics #14
RJ Harvey RB DEN Rec yds 26.5 37.0 -112 BetOnline #14
Omarion Hampton RB LAC Rush yds 39.5 54.5 -110 DraftKings #29
Keaton Mitchell RB LAC Rush yds 31.5 40.4 -113 DraftKings #29
Courtland Sutton WR DEN Receptions 3.5 4.7 +115 BetOnline #14

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All DEN and LAC props with AI grades

Injuries

DEN 8 listed
  • Out Jonathon Cooper OLB Colo. Minimal
  • Out Levelle Bailey ILB Leg Minimal
  • Out Matt Henningsen DE Unknown Minimal
  • Out Michael Deiter C Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Dondrea Tillman OLB Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Pat Bryant WR Long-Term Right Ankle Minimal
  • Quest. Patrick Surtain II CB Ankle Minimal
  • Quest. Riley Moss CB Unknown Minimal
LAC 8 listed
  • Out Isaiah World OT Unknown Minimal
  • Out Rashawn Slater T Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Brenen Thompson WR Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Charlie Kolar TE Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Dalvin Tomlinson DT Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Derwin James FS Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Donte Jackson CB Hamstring Minimal
  • Quest. Ladd McConkey WR Foot Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 5 slate

Swipe for all 15 games this week.
Updated Oct 8, 5:07 PM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.