NFL · 2026 season

Week 4 game breakdowns

Every Week 4 game cut to the line, the angle and the signals that move it. Open a game for the full matchup, DFS, props, weather and injury picture. Angles unlock 48 hours before kickoff.

16 games · Updated Oct 5, 8:03 PM ET

Edge board

2 edges that clear the bar

Ranked by edge score. Off the board at kickoff.
01
ATL @ NO · Mon 8:15 PMBest bet
Chris Olave over 85.5 receiving yards against ATL's 30th-ranked pass defense with A.J. Terrell out

Chris Olave smashes ATL's 30th-ranked pass defense with A.J. Terrell out.

5/10 confidenceOpen angle
02
ATL @ NO · Mon 8:15 PMMatchup
Chris Olave draws ATL, the No. 28 defense against WRs

ATL allows 37.5 fantasy points per game to WRs, rank 28 of 32; Chris Olave projects 19.6 on DraftEdge.

#28 vs WRsOpen angle

Thursday, Oct 1

1 game
8:15 PM ET · Prime Video · Huntington Bank Field Final
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-1 · 2-2 last season
24
Cleveland Browns
2-1 · 3-1 last season · Home
27
ClosedPIT -6.5
Closed total37.5
ResultCLE covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Total sits at 38.5, this Thursday division grind screams under with two bottom-10 offenses. · Pass · Under 38.5
  • Pat Freiermuth: CLE #23 vs TE · 15.0 fpa Favorable
  • Quinshon Judkins: PIT #20 vs RB · 23.0 fpa Favorable
Final · closed PIT -6.5 · 37.5 Recap

Sunday, Oct 4

14 games
9:30 AM ET · NFL NETWORK · Neutral site · Indoor Final
Indianapolis Colts
1-2 · 2-2 last season
30
Washington Commanders
1-2 · 1-3 last season · Neutral
13
ClosedIND -10.5
Closed total45.5
ResultIND covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
Two bottom-5 defenses collide: IND -3.5 with a 48.5 total built for shootout fantasy. · IND -3.5 · Over 48.5
  • Daniel Jones: WAS #30 vs QB · 22.4 fpa Smash
  • Marcus Mariota: IND #29 vs QB · 20.5 fpa Smash
Final · closed IND -10.5 · 45.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · MetLife Stadium Final
Arizona Cardinals
1-2 · 1-3 last season
24
New York Giants
2-1 · 3-1 last season · Home
36
ClosedARI -2.5
Closed total44.5
ResultNYG covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
ARI -2.5 but Arizona's defense ranks 26th-29th across the board, gifting Giants skill players smash spots. · NYG +2.5 · Pass
  • Jacoby Brissett: NYG #20 vs QB · 18.0 fpa Favorable
  • Jameis Winston: ARI #28 vs QB · 20.3 fpa Smash
Final · closed ARI -2.5 · 44.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · NRG Stadium · Indoor Final
Dallas Cowboys
1-2 · 2-2 last season
34
Houston Texans
0-3 · 0-4 last season · Home
30
ClosedHOU -3
Closed total48.5
ResultDAL covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
HOU -3 with three SMASH spots: Dallas defense ranks 27th or worse vs QB, RB and WR. · HOU -3 · Pass
  • CeeDee Lamb: HOU #26 vs WR · 36.3 fpa Smash
  • C.J. Stroud: DAL #31 vs QB · 24.1 fpa Smash
Final · closed HOU -3 · 48.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Raymond James Stadium Final
Green Bay Packers
1-2 · 2-2 last season
17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-3 · 0-4 last season · Home
14
ClosedGB -2.5
Closed total38.5
ResultGB covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
GB -3.5 but 24 mph wind caps a 39.5 total built on two sputtering offenses. · Pass · Under 39.5
  • Tucker Kraft: TB #28 vs TE · 17.5 fpa Smash
  • Bucky Irving: GB #29 vs RB · 26.3 fpa Smash
Final · closed GB -2.5 · 38.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Paycor Stadium Final
Jacksonville Jaguars
2-1 · 3-1 last season
22
Cincinnati Bengals
2-1 · 2-2 last season · Home
17
ClosedCIN -2.5
Closed total51.5
ResultJAX covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
JAX defense ranks #1 in points allowed; back the dog getting 2.5 at Cincinnati. · JAX +2.5 · Pass
  • Brenton Strange: CIN #31 vs TE · 19.9 fpa Smash
  • Ja'Marr Chase: JAX #23 vs WR · 34.8 fpa Favorable
Final · closed CIN -2.5 · 51.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Lincoln Financial Field Final
Los Angeles Rams
1-2 · 2-2 last season
24
Philadelphia Eagles
2-1 · 2-2 last season · Home
20
ClosedLA -3.5
Closed total42.5
ResultLA covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
LA -3.5 with a projected 3.5 margin: a pure coinflip, and Nacua is questionable. · Pass · Pass
  • Kyren Williams: PHI #21 vs RB · 23.2 fpa Favorable
  • Jalen Hurts: LA #10 vs QB · 16.6 fpa Neutral
Final · closed LA -3.5 · 42.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · Highmark Stadium Final
New England Patriots
1-2 · 2-2 last season
29
Buffalo Bills
3-0 · 3-1 last season · Home
26
ClosedBUF -6.5
Closed total49.5
ResultNE covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
BUF -6.5 and the model agree at a 6.5 margin, but Stevenson is a smash into Buffalo's 28th-ranked run defense. · Pass · Pass
  • Rhamondre Stevenson: BUF #28 vs RB · 25.3 fpa Smash
  • DJ Moore: NE #20 vs WR · 32.8 fpa Favorable
Final · closed BUF -6.5 · 49.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · FOX · Soldier Field Final
New York Jets
1-2 · 1-3 last season
12
Chicago Bears
2-1 · 3-1 last season · Home
23
ClosedCHI -3.5
Closed total43.5
ResultCHI covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
CHI -3.5 with Swift into NYJ's 31st-ranked run defense, a smash spot at 27.6 fpa. · CHI -3.5 · Pass
  • Geno Smith: CHI #21 vs QB · 18.1 fpa Favorable
  • D'Andre Swift: NYJ #32 vs RB · 29.5 fpa Smash
Final · closed CHI -3.5 · 43.5 Recap
1:00 PM ET · CBS · M&T Bank Stadium Final
Tennessee Titans
0-3 · 0-4 last season
18
Baltimore Ravens
2-1 · 3-1 last season · Home
24
ClosedBAL -11.5
Closed total42.5
ResultTEN covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
BAL -11.5 with projected margin exactly 11.5, but Carnell Tate smashes a 29th-ranked Ravens pass defense. · Pass · Pass
  • Carnell Tate: BAL #29 vs WR · 38.1 fpa Smash
  • Zay Flowers: TEN #24 vs WR · 35.9 fpa Favorable
Final · closed BAL -11.5 · 42.5 Recap
4:05 PM ET · FOX · US Bank Stadium · Indoor Final
Miami Dolphins
0-3 · 0-4 last season
10
Minnesota Vikings
3-0 · 4-0 last season · Home
15
ClosedMIN -9.5
Closed total38.5
ResultMIA covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
Minnesota -10.5 with a 24.5 implied total hosts Miami's 31st-ranked offense indoors. · MIN -10.5 · Pass
  • Malik Willis: MIN #1 vs QB · 11.6 fpa Tough
  • Kyler Murray: MIA #26 vs QB · 18.7 fpa Smash
Final · closed MIN -9.5 · 38.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · CBS · Levi's Stadium Final
Denver Broncos
2-1 · 2-2 last season
14
San Francisco 49ers
3-0 · 4-0 last season · Home
24
ClosedSF -2.5
Closed total47.5
ResultSF covered · Under
The angle, before kickoff
SF -2.5 but model margin matches exactly, San Francisco's #2 offense meets Denver's #31 run game. · SF -2.5 · Pass
  • J.K. Dobbins: SF #27 vs RB · 24.7 fpa Smash
  • George Kittle: DEN #24 vs TE · 15.0 fpa Favorable
Final · closed SF -2.5 · 47.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · CBS · Allegiant Stadium · Indoor Final
Kansas City Chiefs
3-0 · 4-0 last season
30
Las Vegas Raiders
3-0 · 3-1 last season · Home
27
ClosedKC -4.5
Closed total47.5
ResultLV covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
KC -4.5 with implied 26, but their #2 QB defense is the real edge against Cousins. · KC -4.5 · Pass
  • Travis Kelce: LV #20 vs TE · 14.1 fpa Favorable
  • Brock Bowers: KC #26 vs TE · 16.9 fpa Smash
Final · closed KC -4.5 · 47.5 Recap
4:25 PM ET · CBS · Lumen Field Final
Los Angeles Chargers
0-3 · 0-4 last season
23
Seattle Seahawks
2-1 · 3-1 last season · Home
30
ClosedSEA -7
Closed total43.5
ResultPush · Over
The angle, before kickoff
SEA -7 with LAC's #29 offense walking into Seattle's #1 pass defense. · SEA -7 · Pass
  • Omarion Hampton: SEA #10 vs RB · 20.1 fpa Neutral
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba: LAC #14 vs WR · 31.0 fpa Neutral
Final · closed SEA -7 · 43.5 Recap
8:20 PM ET · NBC · Bank of America Stadium Final
Detroit Lions
2-1 · 2-2 last season
26
Carolina Panthers
1-2 · 2-2 last season · Home
32
ClosedDET -3.5
Closed total51.5
ResultCAR covered · Over
The angle, before kickoff
Gibbs into Carolina's 32nd-ranked run defense is the night's cleanest smash at 28.8 projected. · Pass · Over 50.5
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: CAR #31 vs RB · 27.4 fpa Smash
  • Bryce Young: DET #32 vs QB · 25.4 fpa Smash
Final · closed DET -3.5 · 51.5 Recap

Monday, Oct 5

1 game
8:15 PM ET · ESPN · Caesars Superdome · Indoor Live
Atlanta Falcons
1-2 · 1-2 last season
23.0implied
New Orleans Saints
1-2 · 1-2 last season · Home
24.5implied
ClosedNO -1.5
Closed total47.5
The angle
Chris Olave smashes ATL's 30th-ranked pass defense with A.J. Terrell out. · NO -2.5 · Pass
  • Bijan Robinson: NO #26 vs RB · 24.1 fpa Smash
  • Tyler Shough: ATL #27 vs QB · 18.8 fpa Smash
Live · closed NO -1.5 · 47.5 Game page