Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · Highmark Stadium, Buffalo
Division Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
New England Patriots
1-2 · 16-4 last season
Implied21.0
At
BUF -6.5 Total 48.5 Live line · NE +265 · BUF -330
Buffalo Bills
3-0 · 12-6 last season
Implied27.5
Line movement open Sep 29
BUF spread
-6.5 -6.5
no move
Total
48.5 48.5
no move
FanDuel
NE @ BUF: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM
Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.
Key matchups
NE skill positions vs BUF defenseQB
#15/32
17.3 fpa
RB
#28/32
25.7 fpa
WR
#18/32
31.8 fpa
TE
#2/32
9.1 fpa
BUF skill positions vs NE defenseQB
#4/32
14.6 fpa
RB
#8/32
19.9 fpa
WR
#16/32
31.0 fpa
TE
#4/32
10.5 fpa
Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.
Game script & scoring
Projected points (market implied)
NE21.0
BUF27.5
Offense profile
NERank of 32BUF
24.6
#11
Pts / G
28.1
#4
246.6
#7
Pass yds / G
241.2
#12
129.2
#6
Rush yds / G
154.8
#3
62.0
#15
Plays / G
63.5
#9
50%
Pass rate
49%
1.6
Pass TD / G
1.7
1.0
Rush TD / G
1.7
3.2
Sacks taken / G
2.5
0.8
INT thrown / G
0.7
Defense profile
NERank of 32BUF
17.2
#2
Pts allowed / G
22.8
#17
188.2
#1
Pass yds allowed
202.4
#4
105.0
#8
Rush yds allowed
122.4
#21
2.2
Sacks / G
2.1
0.7
INT / G
0.8
1.2
Pass TD allowed
1.4
0.6
Rush TD allowed
1.2
Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-29, 20 games per team.
Weather
Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Highmark Stadium, Buffalo)
Injuries
NE 8 listed- Out Eli Raridon TE Thigh Severe
- Out Myles Montgomery RB Unknown Severe
- Out Brenden Schooler FS Back Minimal
- Out Craig Woodson FS Shoulder Minimal
- Out Dre'Mont Jones OLB Unknown Minimal
- Out Harold Landry III OLB Undisclosed Minimal
- Quest. Christian Barmore DE Shoulder Minimal
- Quest. Greg Van Roten G Thigh Minimal
BUF 6 listed- Out Tyrell Shavers WR Unknown Severe
- Out Ar'maj Reed-Adams G Elbow Minimal
- Out T.J. Sanders DE Unknown Minimal
- Quest. Christian Benford CB Toe Minimal
- IR Jordan Hancock FS Hamstring Minimal
- IR Zane Durant DT Unknown Minimal
Trends & head-to-head
NE last 5L 6-35 @ JAXW 20-3 vs PITL 10-13 @ SEAL 13-29 vs SEAW 10-7 @ DEN
BUF last 5W 24-16 vs LACW 41-31 vs DETW 36-31 @ HOUL 30-33 @ DENW 27-24 @ JAX
Head-to-head
- Dec 14, 2025 BUF 35 at NE 31
- Oct 5, 2025 NE 23 at BUF 20
- Dec 22, 2024 NE 21 at BUF 24
Week 4 slate
Swipe for all 16 games this week.
PIT @ CLE
Thu 8:15 PM ET
PIT -2.5
O/U 38.5
Unlocks Tue 8:15 PM
IND @ WAS
Sun 9:30 AM ET
IND -3.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
ARI @ NYG
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYG -1.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
DAL @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -2.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
GB @ TB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
GB -3.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
JAX @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -2.5
O/U 51.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
LA @ PHI
Sun 1:00 PM ET
LA -3
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NE @ BUF
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -6.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYJ @ CHI
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI -3.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TEN @ BAL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -11.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIA @ MIN
Sun 4:05 PM ET
MIN -10.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
DEN @ SF
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SF -2.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
KC @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
KC -4.5
O/U 47.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LAC @ SEA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
SEA -7
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
DET @ CAR
Sun 8:20 PM ET
DET -3.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
ATL @ NO
Mon 8:15 PM ET
NO -2.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM