Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · CBS · Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas Division Indoor Upcoming · Fri 4:25 PM

Kansas City Chiefs

3-0 · 3-0 last season

Implied26.0

At KC -4.5 Total 47.5 Live line · KC -220 · LV +184

Las Vegas Raiders

3-0 · 3-0 last season

Implied21.5

Line movement open Sep 29 LV spread +4.5 +4.5 no move Total 47.5 47.5 no move FanDuel

KC @ LV: the angle lands Fri 4:25 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

Team	Player	Pos	Proj	DK $	vs defense	FPA	Edge
KC	Patrick Mahomes	QB	22.4	$6,500	LV #16 of 32	17.4	Neutral
KC	Kenneth Walker III	RB	22.1	$8,200	LV #14 of 32	20.9	Neutral
KC	Travis Kelce	TE	13.1	$5,000	LV #24 of 32	15.1	Favorable
KC	Rashee Rice	WR	13.1	$6,400	LV #9 of 32	28.9	Neutral
LV	Ashton Jeanty	RB	19.7	$7,100	KC #6 of 32	19.3	Tough
LV	Kirk Cousins	QB	15.2	$5,100	KC #2 of 32	13.7	Tough
LV	Brock Bowers	TE	12.4	$6,900	KC #14 of 32	12.5	Neutral
LV	Tre Tucker	WR	9.6	$5,100	KC #3 of 32	26.1	Tough

KC skill positions vs LV defense

#16/32

17.4 fpa

Average

#14/32

20.9 fpa

Bad

#9/32

28.9 fpa

Bad

#24/32

15.1 fpa

Good

LV skill positions vs KC defense

#2/32

13.7 fpa

Avoid

#6/32

19.3 fpa

Avoid

#3/32

26.1 fpa

Avoid

#14/32

12.5 fpa

Bad

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)

KC26.0

LV21.5

Offense profile

KCRank of 32LV

29.3 #8 Pts / G 29.3 #9

272.0 #6 Pass yds / G 220.3 #17

153.3 #5 Rush yds / G 100.0 #19

64.7 #10 Plays / G 63.3 #12

52% Pass rate 50%

2.3 Pass TD / G 3.0

1.0 Rush TD / G 0.3

1.3 Sacks taken / G 1.7

0.7 INT thrown / G 1.0

Defense profile

KCRank of 32LV

16.7 #3 Pts allowed / G 18.0 #8

183.7 #3 Pass yds allowed 224.7 #15

99.7 #10 Rush yds allowed 116.3 #20

1.3 Sacks / G 3.3

1.0 INT / G 1.3

0.7 Pass TD allowed 1.7

1.0 Rush TD allowed 0.7

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 3 games per team.

Weather

Indoor: no weather factor. Allegiant Stadium is a covered venue.

DFS

KC projected players

Pos	Player	Proj	Floor / ceil	DK $	Val	FD $	vs
QB	Patrick Mahomes	22.4	13.3 / 30.4	$6,500	3.45x	$8,000	#16
RB	Kenneth Walker III	22.1	12.4 / 31.4	$8,200	2.70x	$8,500	#14
TE	Travis Kelce	13.1	5.4 / 21.6	$5,000	2.63x	$5,500	#24
WR	Rashee Rice	13.1	5.8 / 23.0	$6,400	2.05x	$7,500	#9
WR	Xavier Worthy	12.1	4.5 / 19.9	$4,600	2.63x	$5,700	#9
RB	Emmett Johnson	7.2	3.2 / 14.2	$4,400	1.64x	$5,100	#14
WR	Tyquan Thornton	5.1	0.0 / 13.3	$3,400	1.51x	$5,000	#9

LV projected players

Pos	Player	Proj	Floor / ceil	DK $	Val	FD $	vs
RB	Ashton Jeanty	19.7	11.5 / 27.4	$7,100	2.78x	$7,800	#6
QB	Kirk Cousins	15.2	8.3 / 21.0	$5,100	2.99x	$7,300	#2
TE	Brock Bowers	12.4	5.6 / 20.3	$6,900	1.80x	$7,200	#14
WR	Tre Tucker	9.6	3.3 / 16.2	$5,100	1.88x	$5,800	#3
WR	Jalen Nailor	6.0	1.5 / 12.4	$3,600	1.66x	$5,000	#3
TE	Michael Mayer	5.5	1.6 / 11.0	$3,400	1.63x	$4,700	#14
WR	Jack Bech ir	4.7	0.0 / 10.4	$3,300	1.43x	$4,500	#3

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

Player	Market	Line	Proj	Over	Book	Opp rank
Patrick Mahomes QB KC	Pass TD	1.5	1.7	-123	DraftKings	#11
Patrick Mahomes QB KC	Pass yds	241.5	272.2	-112	DraftKings	#10
Kenneth Walker III RB KC	Rush yds	87.5	105.2	-110	Fanatics	#17
Ashton Jeanty RB LV	Rush yds	59.5	71.9	-114	DraftKings	#6
Kirk Cousins QB LV	Pass TD	1.5	1.7	+128	FanDuel	#3
Kirk Cousins QB LV	Pass yds	225.5	210.2	-110	Fanatics	#6