Sun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET · NFL NETWORK · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom Neutral site Indoor Upcoming · Fri 9:30 AM

Indianapolis Colts

1-2 · 6-10 last season

Implied25.5

Neutral site IND -3.5 Total 47.5 Live line · IND -198 · WAS +166

Washington Commanders

1-2 · 4-12 last season

Implied22.0

Line movement open Sep 29 WAS spread +3.5 +3.5 no move Total 47.5 47.5 no move FanDuel

IND @ WAS: the angle lands Fri 9:30 AM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

Team	Player	Pos	Proj	DK $	vs defense	FPA	Edge
WAS	Marcus Mariota	QB	15.0	$4,800	IND #29 of 32	21.0	Smash
WAS	Terry McLaurin	WR	11.9	$5,200	IND #28 of 32	36.8	Smash
WAS	Rachaad White	RB	8.1	$5,100	IND #26 of 32	24.8	Smash

IND skill positions vs WAS defense

#31/32

24.2 fpa

Elite

#15/32

21.0 fpa

Average

#32/32

40.8 fpa

Elite

#30/32

18.3 fpa

Elite

WAS skill positions vs IND defense

#29/32

21.0 fpa

Elite

#26/32

24.8 fpa

Elite

#28/32

36.8 fpa

Elite

#28/32

16.7 fpa

Elite

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)

IND25.5

WAS22.0

Offense profile

INDRank of 32WAS

25.9 #9 Pts / G 20.2 #24

226.6 #17 Pass yds / G 192.9 #28

110.4 #20 Rush yds / G 129.2 #7

59.9 #21 Plays / G 59.6 #25

57% Pass rate 49%

1.5 Pass TD / G 1.2

1.5 Rush TD / G 1.0

1.9 Sacks taken / G 1.9

0.9 INT thrown / G 0.7

Defense profile

INDRank of 32WAS

26.2 #27 Pts allowed / G 28.2 #30

274.8 #32 Pass yds allowed 261.7 #31

110.8 #11 Rush yds allowed 138.9 #31

2.2 Sacks / G 2.3

0.6 INT / G 0.6

1.3 Pass TD allowed 2.3

1.2 Rush TD allowed 0.9

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-29, 20 games per team.

Weather

Indoor: no weather factor. Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is a covered venue.

DFS

WAS projected players

Pos	Player	Proj	Floor / ceil	DK $	Val	FD $	vs
QB	Marcus Mariota	15.0	8.5 / 23.1	$4,800	3.12x	$7,100	#29
WR	Terry McLaurin	11.9	4.8 / 19.4	$5,200	2.28x	$6,100	#28
WR	Stefon Diggs	11.8	4.9 / 19.5	$5,300	2.22x	$6,300	#28
RB	Rachaad White	8.1	4.3 / 14.7	$5,100	1.59x	$5,300	#26
RB	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	7.5	3.5 / 15.2	$4,800	1.57x	$6,100	#26
WR	Antonio Williams	5.5	1.6 / 11.2	$3,800	1.46x	$5,200	#28
WR	Dyami Brown	4.1	0.0 / 10.2	$3,000	1.38x	$4,400	#28

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

Player	Market	Line	Proj	Over	Book	Opp rank
Marcus Mariota QB WAS	Pass TD	1.5	1.4	+148	FanDuel	#11
Marcus Mariota QB WAS	Pass yds	210.5	185.8	-111	DraftKings	#32
Marcus Mariota QB WAS	Rush yds	28.5	28.5	-113	DraftKings	#10
Terry McLaurin WR WAS	Receptions	4.5	3.8	-104	DraftKings	#32
Terry McLaurin WR WAS	Rec yds	54.5	57.0	-111	DraftKings	#32
Stefon Diggs WR WAS	Receptions	4.5	4.2	+117	BetOnline	#32
Stefon Diggs WR WAS	Rec yds	41.5	48.8	-114	FanDuel	#32
Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS	Rush yds	55.5	42.4	-110	DraftKings	#10