Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET · Prime Video · Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland Division Upcoming · Tue 8:15 PM

Pittsburgh Steelers

2-1 · 9-8 last season

Implied20.5

At PIT -2.5 Total 38.5 Live line · PIT -146 · CLE +124

Cleveland Browns

2-1 · 6-10 last season

Implied18.0

Line movement open Sep 29 CLE spread +2.5 +2.5 no move Total 38.5 38.5 no move FanDuel

PIT @ CLE: the angle lands Tue 8:15 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

Team	Player	Pos	Proj	DK $	vs defense	FPA	Edge
CLE	Deshaun Watson	QB	14.9	$4,900	PIT #17 of 32	17.4	Neutral
CLE	Quinshon Judkins	RB	12.4	$5,400	PIT #18 of 32	21.4	Neutral
CLE	Denzel Boston	WR	11.3	$5,000	PIT #19 of 32	31.8	Neutral
CLE	Harold Fannin Jr.	TE	10.3	$4,400	PIT #16 of 32	13.6	Neutral

PIT skill positions vs CLE defense

#6/32

15.6 fpa

Avoid

#13/32

20.9 fpa

Bad

#12/32

30.0 fpa

Bad

#20/32

13.9 fpa

Good

CLE skill positions vs PIT defense

#17/32

17.4 fpa

Average

#18/32

21.4 fpa

Average

#19/32

31.8 fpa

Good

#16/32

13.6 fpa

Average

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)

PIT20.5

CLE18.0

Offense profile

PITRank of 32CLE

21.2 #19 Pts / G 17.3 #30

216.8 #20 Pass yds / G 181.6 #30

105.1 #26 Rush yds / G 98.3 #28

59.9 #22 Plays / G 58.2 #28

60% Pass rate 54%

1.3 Pass TD / G 1.1

0.8 Rush TD / G 0.4

2.0 Sacks taken / G 3.2

0.5 INT thrown / G 0.8

Defense profile

PITRank of 32CLE

22.3 #15 Pts allowed / G 21.8 #13

246.6 #25 Pass yds allowed 203.2 #5

113.9 #14 Rush yds allowed 128.7 #24

2.6 Sacks / G 3.1

0.8 INT / G 0.7

1.6 Pass TD allowed 1.4

0.5 Rush TD allowed 0.8

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2025-09-29, 20 games per team.

Weather

At kickoff · 2026-10-01 20:00 local Low impact

Conditions

Light rain shower

Temp

71°F

feels 72°

Wind

7 mph W

gusts 16 mph

Rain

43%

0.01 in

Humidity

79%

Rain chance 43%: watch for showers at kickoff

WeatherAPI hourly forecast · Grass surface

DFS

CLE projected players

Pos	Player	Proj	Floor / ceil	DK $	Val	FD $	vs
QB	Deshaun Watson	14.9	9.7 / 23.4	$4,900	3.04x	$6,800	#17
RB	Quinshon Judkins	12.4	6.9 / 19.4	$5,400	2.29x	$6,200	#18
WR	Denzel Boston	11.3	4.6 / 19.9	$5,000	2.27x	$5,500	#19
TE	Harold Fannin Jr.	10.3	4.5 / 17.0	$4,400	2.35x	$5,600	#16
WR	KC Concepcion Jr.	9.6	4.3 / 16.4	$4,000	2.41x	$5,400	#19
WR	Jerry Jeudy	6.2	1.6 / 12.5	$3,500	1.77x	$5,000	#19
RB	Raheim Sanders	4.2	1.1 / 9.3	$4,400	0.94x	$5,000	#18

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

Player	Market	Line	Proj	Over	Book	Opp rank
Deshaun Watson QB CLE	Pass TD	0.5	1.4	-220	FanDuel	#22
Deshaun Watson QB CLE	Pass yds	188.5	159.3	-111	DraftKings	#28
Deshaun Watson QB CLE	Rush yds	28.5	28.5	-114	FanDuel	#13
Quinshon Judkins RB CLE	Rush yds	55.5	56.9	-113	DraftKings	#13
Quinshon Judkins RB CLE	Receptions	2.5	2.2	+140	FanDuel	#28
Quinshon Judkins RB CLE	Rec yds	12.5	15.2	-114	FanDuel	#28
Denzel Boston WR CLE	Receptions	2.5	2.4	-143	BetOnline	#28
Denzel Boston WR CLE	Rec yds	33.5	52.0	-114	DraftKings	#28
Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE	Receptions	4.5	3.7	-111	BetMGM	#28
Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE	Rec yds	41.5	37.3	-114	DraftKings	#28
KC Concepcion Jr. WR CLE	Receptions	3.5	5.8	-122	BetRivers	#28
KC Concepcion Jr. WR CLE	Rec yds	35.5	38.8	-114	DraftKings	#28
Jerry Jeudy WR CLE	Receptions	1.5	2.5	+145	Bovada	#28
Jerry Jeudy WR CLE	Rec yds	13.5	29.8	-108	DraftKings	#28