Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · CBS · US Bank Stadium, Minnesota Indoor Upcoming · Fri 1:00 PM
Indianapolis Colts
2-4 · 2-4 last season
Implied17.5
At MIN -6.5 Total 41.5 Live line · IND +240 · MIN -295
Minnesota Vikings
5-0 · 5-0 last season
Implied24.0
Line movement open Oct 20 MIN spread -6.5 -6.5 no move Total 41.5 41.5 no move FanDuel

IND @ MIN: the angle lands Fri 1:00 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
IND Jonathan Taylor RB 16.2 $8,000 MIN #2 of 32 17.8 Tough
IND Daniel Jones QB 13.9 $4,900 MIN #1 of 32 9.7 Tough
IND Tyler Warren TE 10.6 $5,100 MIN #1 of 32 7.9 Tough
IND Josh Downs WR 9.9 $5,600 MIN #1 of 32 24.1 Tough
MIN Justin Jefferson WR 16.3 $7,300 IND #16 of 32 32.2 Neutral
MIN Kyler Murray QB 16.1 $5,400 IND #18 of 32 18.1 Neutral
MIN Aaron Jones Sr. RB 14.4 $6,200 IND #16 of 32 22.2 Neutral
MIN T.J. Hockenson TE 9.2 $4,500 IND #19 of 32 13.6 Neutral
IND skill positions vs MIN defense
QB
#1/32
9.7 fpa
Avoid
RB
#2/32
17.8 fpa
Avoid
WR
#1/32
24.1 fpa
Avoid
TE
#1/32
7.9 fpa
Avoid
MIN skill positions vs IND defense
QB
#18/32
18.1 fpa
Average
RB
#16/32
22.2 fpa
Average
WR
#16/32
32.2 fpa
Average
TE
#19/32
13.6 fpa
Good

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
IND17.5
MIN24.0
Offense profile
INDRank of 32MIN
24.0 #15 Pts / G 21.8 #22
215.2 #22 Pass yds / G 188.6 #28
111.5 #16 Rush yds / G 116.0 #12
66.7 #6 Plays / G 61.4 #20
57% Pass rate 48%
0.7 Pass TD / G 1.0
1.5 Rush TD / G 0.6
2.5 Sacks taken / G 3.0
1.0 INT thrown / G 0.4
Defense profile
INDRank of 32MIN
27.3 #27 Pts allowed / G 12.8 #1
240.3 #21 Pass yds allowed 195.4 #3
122.5 #21 Rush yds allowed 86.6 #5
1.7 Sacks / G 3.4
0.3 INT / G 1.2
1.7 Pass TD allowed 0.6
1.0 Rush TD allowed 0.4

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 6 games per team.

Weather

Indoor: no weather factor. US Bank Stadium is a covered venue.

DFS

IND projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
RB Jonathan Taylor 16.2 9.4 / 26.6 $8,000 2.03x $8,500 #2
QB Daniel Jones 13.9 7.8 / 20.1 $4,900 2.84x $6,700 #1
TE Tyler Warren questionable 10.6 5.1 / 17.9 $5,100 2.08x $5,400 #1
WR Josh Downs 9.9 3.9 / 16.9 $5,600 1.76x $6,100 #1
WR Keenan Allen 8.3 3.5 / 15.0 $4,800 1.73x $5,900 #1
WR Laquon Treadwell 6.7 1.8 / 12.5 $3,300 2.03x $5,000 #1
RB Seth McGowan 3.3 0.7 / 7.7 $4,000 0.83x $4,700 #2
MIN projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
WR Justin Jefferson 16.3 8.2 / 27.3 $7,300 2.23x $8,400 #16
QB Kyler Murray 16.1 10.7 / 24.8 $5,400 2.97x $7,300 #18
RB Aaron Jones Sr. 14.4 7.8 / 21.4 $6,200 2.32x $5,900 #16
WR Jordan Addison questionable 9.7 3.6 / 16.6 $5,300 1.83x $5,900 #16
TE T.J. Hockenson questionable 9.2 3.5 / 15.3 $4,500 2.06x $5,100 #19
RB Jordan Mason ir 6.4 2.7 / 12.5 $5,200 1.23x $5,800 #16
WR Jauan Jennings 3.7 0.0 / 9.1 $3,800 0.97x $5,100 #16

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Justin Jefferson WR MIN Receptions 5.5 4.9 +135 Fanatics #21
Justin Jefferson WR MIN Rec yds 74.5 66.1 -113 DraftKings #21
Jonathan Taylor RB IND Rush yds 69.5 66.3 -110 DraftKings #5
Jonathan Taylor RB IND Receptions 2.5 2.0 +108 FanDuel #3
Jonathan Taylor RB IND Rec yds 16.5 22.0 -110 BetRivers #3
Kyler Murray QB MIN Pass TD 1.5 0.8 +125 Fanatics #20
Kyler Murray QB MIN Pass yds 204.5 254.3 -113 DraftKings #21
Daniel Jones QB IND Pass TD 0.5 0.8 -230 FanDuel #1
Daniel Jones QB IND Pass yds 196.5 256.3 -111 DraftKings #3
Jordan Addison WR MIN Receptions 3.5 3.2 +116 FanDuel #21
Jordan Addison WR MIN Rec yds 43.5 47.6 -112 DraftKings #21

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All IND and MIN props with AI grades

Injuries

IND 8 listed
  • Out Ashton Dulin WR Unknown Severe
  • Out Tyler Warren TE Unknown Severe
  • IR Alec Pierce WR Heel Severe
  • IR Carson Towt TE Unknown Severe
  • Out Jaylon Carlies LB Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Anthony Gould WR Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Rigoberto Sanchez P Foot Minimal
  • Quest. Sauce Gardner CB Unknown Minimal
MIN 8 listed
  • IR Jordan Mason RB Thumb Severe
  • IR Josh Oliver TE Biceps Severe
  • Out Jamal Adams LB Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Charles Demmings CB Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Christian Darrisaw T Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Jordan Addison WR Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. T.J. Hockenson TE Unknown Minimal
  • IR Donovan Jackson G Knee Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 7 slate

Swipe for all 14 games this week.
NE @ CHI
Thu 8:15 PM ET
CHI -3
O/U 50.5
Ready
PIT @ NO
Sun 9:30 AM ET
PIT -3
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 9:30 AM
CIN @ BAL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL -2.5
O/U 50.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
CLE @ TEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CLE -1.5
O/U 37.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
IND @ MIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
MIN -6.5
O/U 41.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
MIA @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -4.5
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
NYG @ HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU -9.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
SF @ ATL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
SF -3.5
O/U 49.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
TB @ CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CAR -3.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 1:00 PM
DEN @ ARI
Sun 4:05 PM ET
DEN -4.5
O/U 43.5
Unlocks Fri 4:05 PM
GB @ DET
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DET -3
O/U 52.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
LA @ LV
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LA -4.5
O/U 48.5
Unlocks Fri 4:25 PM
KC @ SEA
Sun 8:20 PM ET
SEA -2.5
O/U 42.5
Unlocks Fri 8:20 PM
DAL @ PHI
Mon 8:15 PM ET
DAL -4.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Sat 8:15 PM
Updated Oct 21, 10:42 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.