Sun Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET · NFL NETWORK · Statde de France, Paris, France Neutral site Upcoming · Fri 9:30 AM
Pittsburgh Steelers
4-2 · 4-2 last season
Implied23.8
Neutral site PIT -3 Total 44.5 Live line · PIT -174 · NO +146
New Orleans Saints
2-4 · 2-4 last season
Implied20.8
Line movement open Oct 20 NO spread +3 +3 no move Total 44.5 44.5 no move FanDuel

PIT @ NO: the angle lands Fri 9:30 AM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
PIT Aaron Rodgers QB 16.9 $5,300 NO #12 of 32 17.0 Neutral
PIT Jaylen Warren RB 15.5 $6,400 NO #32 of 32 27.5 Smash
PIT DK Metcalf WR 12.9 $5,800 NO #9 of 32 29.8 Neutral
PIT Pat Freiermuth TE 9.1 $4,200 NO #27 of 32 16.7 Smash
NO Chris Olave WR 18.6 $7,700 PIT #18 of 32 32.8 Neutral
NO Tyler Shough QB 16.5 $5,700 PIT #11 of 32 16.7 Neutral
NO Juwan Johnson TE 9.1 $4,400 PIT #21 of 32 14.5 Favorable
NO Kendre Miller RB 8.1 $4,600 PIT #8 of 32 19.9 Neutral
PIT skill positions vs NO defense
QB
#12/32
17.0 fpa
Bad
RB
#32/32
27.5 fpa
Elite
WR
#9/32
29.8 fpa
Bad
TE
#27/32
16.7 fpa
Elite
NO skill positions vs PIT defense
QB
#11/32
16.7 fpa
Bad
RB
#8/32
19.9 fpa
Avoid
WR
#18/32
32.8 fpa
Average
TE
#21/32
14.5 fpa
Good

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
PIT23.8
NO20.8
Offense profile
PITRank of 32NO
22.8 #17 Pts / G 25.3 #10
248.2 #13 Pass yds / G 241.3 #18
99.2 #20 Rush yds / G 97.3 #21
64.0 #11 Plays / G 67.0 #5
64% Pass rate 60%
2.0 Pass TD / G 2.0
0.2 Rush TD / G 1.0
3.2 Sacks taken / G 2.2
0.8 INT thrown / G 0.8
Defense profile
PITRank of 32NO
21.3 #12 Pts allowed / G 29.7 #32
222.5 #8 Pass yds allowed 256.2 #26
103.2 #14 Rush yds allowed 138.0 #30
2.7 Sacks / G 2.5
1.0 INT / G 0.7
1.0 Pass TD allowed 1.7
0.7 Rush TD allowed 1.8

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 6 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Statde de France, Paris, France)

DFS

PIT projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Aaron Rodgers 16.9 10.2 / 24.1 $5,300 3.20x $7,300 #12
RB Jaylen Warren 15.5 9.8 / 25.3 $6,400 2.42x $7,100 #32
WR DK Metcalf 12.9 6.2 / 22.8 $5,800 2.23x $6,900 #9
WR Germie Bernard 12.5 5.4 / 19.8 $4,800 2.60x $5,700 #9
TE Pat Freiermuth 9.1 3.7 / 16.1 $4,200 2.18x $5,000 #27
RB Rico Dowdle 7.2 3.2 / 13.4 $4,900 1.47x $5,500 #32
TE Darnell Washington 6.6 2.1 / 13.5 $3,200 2.05x $4,900 #27
NO projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
WR Chris Olave 18.6 10.2 / 31.2 $7,700 2.41x $8,000 #18
QB Tyler Shough 16.5 10.5 / 25.1 $5,700 2.89x $7,600 #11
WR Devaughn Vele 10.9 5.2 / 19.4 $5,200 2.10x $5,800 #18
TE Juwan Johnson 9.1 3.3 / 15.7 $4,400 2.07x $5,000 #21
RB Kendre Miller 8.1 4.1 / 15.3 $4,600 1.77x $6,200 #8
RB Alvin Kamara 7.2 3.3 / 13.2 $5,100 1.41x $5,600 #8
RB CJ Donaldson 4.5 1.6 / 9.8 $4,000 1.13x $4,800 #8

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Chris Olave WR NO Receptions 5.5 6.5 +115 BetMGM #8
Chris Olave WR NO Rec yds 76.5 88.2 -110 DraftKings #8
Aaron Rodgers QB PIT Pass TD 1.5 1.9 +102 BetRivers #20
Aaron Rodgers QB PIT Pass yds 234.5 239.6 -113 DraftKings #26
Aaron Rodgers QB PIT Rush yds 1.5 2.7 -105 DraftKings #30
Tyler Shough QB NO Pass TD 1.5 1.6 +140 FanDuel #4
Tyler Shough QB NO Pass yds 227.5 193.0 -112 DraftKings #8
Tyler Shough QB NO Rush yds 15.5 13.9 -110 DraftKings #14
Jaylen Warren RB PIT Rush yds 63.5 64.8 -114 DraftKings #30
Jaylen Warren RB PIT Receptions 3.5 3.0 +134 FanDuel #26
Jaylen Warren RB PIT Rec yds 27.5 36.4 -111 BetOnline #26
DK Metcalf WR PIT Receptions 4.5 5.4 -121 BetRivers #26
DK Metcalf WR PIT Rec yds 58.5 57.3 -112 DraftKings #26
Germie Bernard WR PIT Receptions 5.5 5.6 +120 Bovada #26

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All PIT and NO props with AI grades

Injuries

PIT 8 listed
  • Out Ben Skowronek WR Unknown Severe
  • Out Cole Burgess WR Unknown Severe
  • Quest. Rico Dowdle RB Toe Moderate
  • Out Donte Kent CB Undisclosed Minimal
  • Out Jack Driscoll OT Undisclosed Minimal
  • Out Logan Lee DT Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Brandin Echols CB Hamstring Minimal
  • Quest. Pat Freiermuth TE Calf Minimal
NO 8 listed
  • Quest. Alvin Kamara RB Back Moderate
  • Out Anfernee Jennings OLB Unknown Minimal
  • Out David Long DB Undisclosed Minimal
  • Out Dillon Radunz G Unknown Minimal
  • Out Kaden Elliss ILB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Nathan Shepherd DT Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Cesar Ruiz G Knee Minimal
  • Quest. Chris Olave WR Illness Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 7 slate

Swipe for all 14 games this week.
Updated Oct 21, 10:42 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.