Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · FOX · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay Division Upcoming · Fri 2:00 PM
Atlanta Falcons
3-4 · 3-4 last season
Implied21.5
At TB -2.5 Total 45.5 Live line · ATL +114 · TB -134
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2-5 · 2-5 last season
Implied24.0
Line movement open Oct 27 TB spread -2.5 -2.5 no move Total 45.5 45.5 no move FanDuel

ATL @ TB: the angle lands Fri 2:00 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
ATL Bijan Robinson RB 22.3 $8,500 TB #4 of 32 19.6 Tough
ATL Drake London WR 15.9 $7,000 TB #13 of 32 31.0 Neutral
ATL Michael Penix Jr. QB 15.9 $5,300 TB #15 of 32 17.7 Neutral
ATL Kyle Pitts Sr. TE 8.1 $4,500 TB #27 of 32 16.6 Smash
TB Chris Godwin Jr. WR 17.2 $4,800 ATL #22 of 32 34.6 Favorable
TB Baker Mayfield QB 16.9 $5,200 ATL #19 of 32 18.5 Neutral
TB Bucky Irving RB 15.5 $6,400 ATL #29 of 32 26.1 Smash
TB Cade Otton TE 8.8 $3,400 ATL #21 of 32 14.1 Favorable
ATL skill positions vs TB defense
QB
#15/32
17.7 fpa
Average
RB
#4/32
19.6 fpa
Avoid
WR
#13/32
31.0 fpa
Bad
TE
#27/32
16.6 fpa
Elite
TB skill positions vs ATL defense
QB
#19/32
18.5 fpa
Good
RB
#29/32
26.1 fpa
Elite
WR
#22/32
34.6 fpa
Good
TE
#21/32
14.1 fpa
Good

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
ATL21.5
TB24.0
Offense profile
ATLRank of 32TB
24.4 #10 Pts / G 23.1 #18
211.7 #23 Pass yds / G 168.6 #32
139.9 #6 Rush yds / G 146.4 #3
60.4 #22 Plays / G 62.4 #15
49% Pass rate 49%
1.4 Pass TD / G 0.9
1.1 Rush TD / G 1.1
2.3 Sacks taken / G 3.1
1.0 INT thrown / G 1.0
Defense profile
ATLRank of 32TB
24.7 #20 Pts allowed / G 21.6 #14
273.9 #29 Pass yds allowed 234.3 #14
88.9 #4 Rush yds allowed 77.3 #2
2.4 Sacks / G 2.3
0.4 INT / G 1.1
1.6 Pass TD allowed 1.4
1.1 Rush TD allowed 0.4

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 7 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay)

DFS

ATL projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
RB Bijan Robinson 22.3 12.2 / 33.8 $8,500 2.63x $8,800 #4
WR Drake London 15.9 7.6 / 30.6 $7,000 2.27x $7,700 #13
QB Michael Penix Jr. 15.9 8.2 / 25.1 $5,300 3.00x $6,900 #15
TE Kyle Pitts Sr. 8.1 2.8 / 17.7 $4,500 1.80x $5,300 #27
WR Jahan Dotson 5.8 1.3 / 13.6 $3,500 1.67x $5,500 #13
RB Brian Robinson Jr. questionable 5.0 1.8 / 12.1 $4,500 1.11x $5,300 #4
WR Zachariah Branch 3.8 0.0 / 10.2 $3,000 1.28x $4,900 #13
TB projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
WR Chris Godwin Jr. 17.2 8.3 / 29.4 $4,800 3.59x $5,400 #22
QB Baker Mayfield 16.9 9.2 / 26.3 $5,200 3.24x $7,000 #19
RB Bucky Irving 15.5 9.0 / 27.0 $6,400 2.42x $7,300 #29
TE Cade Otton 8.8 3.5 / 18.4 $3,400 2.60x $4,800 #21
WR Tez Johnson 8.4 2.2 / 17.6 $3,500 2.39x $4,800 #22
WR Ted Hurst III 7.6 2.2 / 17.6 $3,800 1.99x $4,800 #22
RB Kenny Gainwell 4.8 1.8 / 11.9 $4,400 1.10x $5,200 #29

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Bijan Robinson RB ATL Rush yds 84.5 103.6 -118 BetRivers #2
Bijan Robinson RB ATL Receptions 3.5 3.7 -139 BetOnline #14
Bijan Robinson RB ATL Rec yds 27.5 29.9 -111 DraftKings #14
Baker Mayfield QB TB Pass TD 1.5 1.1 +118 BetRivers #18
Baker Mayfield QB TB Pass yds 216.5 244.8 -113 DraftKings #29
Drake London WR ATL Receptions 6.5 5.3 +120 Bovada #14
Drake London WR ATL Rec yds 77.5 85.3 -111 DraftKings #14
Michael Penix Jr. QB ATL Pass TD 1.5 1.6 +125 BetRivers #14
Michael Penix Jr. QB ATL Pass yds 223.5 212.1 -112 DraftKings #14
Bucky Irving RB TB Rush yds 70.5 74.2 -113 DraftKings #4
Bucky Irving RB TB Receptions 2.5 2.4 +125 Bovada #29
Bucky Irving RB TB Rec yds 13.5 10.4 -117 DraftKings #29
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL Receptions 3.5 2.6 -137 DraftKings #14
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL Rec yds 36.5 24.6 -110 DraftKings #14

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All ATL and TB props with AI grades

Injuries

ATL 8 listed
  • Out Andy Dalton QB Coach'S Decision Severe
  • Out Brian Robinson RB Unknown Severe
  • Out Olamide Zaccheaus WR Unknown Severe
  • Out Anterio Thompson DT Undisclosed Minimal
  • Out Avieon Terrell CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Billy Bowman Jr. CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Divine Deablo ILB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Jalon Walker OLB Unknown Minimal
TB 7 listed
  • IR Jalen McMillan WR Knee Severe
  • Out Mohamed Kamara OLB Knee Minimal
  • Quest. Antoine Winfield Jr. FS Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Emeka Egbuka WR Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Luke Goedeke T Unknown Minimal
  • IR Christian Rozeboom LB Finger Minimal
  • IR Josh Hayes CB Unknown Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 8 slate

Swipe for all 14 games this week.
CAR @ GB
Thu 8:15 PM ET
GB -3.5
O/U 47.5
Ready
ARI @ DAL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DAL -6.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
ATL @ TB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TB -2.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
BAL @ BUF
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -3.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
CLE @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -3
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
IND @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -8.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
LV @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -1.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
MIN @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -3.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
TEN @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -10.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
LAC @ LA
Sun 4:05 PM ET
LA -6.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 5:05 PM
KC @ DEN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
KC -1.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 5:25 PM
NE @ MIA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
NE -6.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 5:25 PM
PHI @ WAS
Sun 8:20 PM ET
WAS -5.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 9:20 PM
CHI @ SEA
Mon 8:15 PM ET
SEA -3
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Sat 9:15 PM
Updated Oct 28, 10:50 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.