Sun Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · CBS · Empower Field at Mile High, Denver Division Upcoming · Fri 5:25 PM
Kansas City Chiefs
5-1 · 5-1 last season
Implied21.0
At KC -1.5 Total 40.5 Live line · KC -118 · DEN +100
Denver Broncos
5-2 · 5-2 last season
Implied19.5
Line movement open Oct 27 DEN spread +1.5 +1.5 no move Total 40.5 40.5 no move FanDuel

KC @ DEN: the angle lands Fri 5:25 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
KC Kenneth Walker III RB 18.2 $8,800 DEN #6 of 32 19.7 Tough
KC Patrick Mahomes QB 16.4 $6,000 DEN #8 of 32 15.8 Neutral
KC Xavier Worthy WR 15.3 $4,900 DEN #5 of 32 28.1 Tough
KC Travis Kelce TE 12.4 $5,000 DEN #25 of 32 16.0 Favorable
DEN Bo Nix QB 16.2 $5,100 KC #6 of 32 15.2 Tough
DEN Jaylen Waddle WR 11.0 $5,400 KC #3 of 32 26.5 Tough
DEN Jonah Coleman RB 8.0 $4,300 KC #7 of 32 19.7 Tough
DEN Evan Engram TE 5.6 $3,200 KC #24 of 32 15.9 Favorable
KC skill positions vs DEN defense
QB
#8/32
15.8 fpa
Avoid
RB
#6/32
19.7 fpa
Avoid
WR
#5/32
28.1 fpa
Avoid
TE
#25/32
16.0 fpa
Elite
DEN skill positions vs KC defense
QB
#6/32
15.2 fpa
Avoid
RB
#7/32
19.7 fpa
Avoid
WR
#3/32
26.5 fpa
Avoid
TE
#24/32
15.9 fpa
Good

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
KC21.0
DEN19.5
Offense profile
KCRank of 32DEN
23.8 #14 Pts / G 20.6 #24
249.3 #13 Pass yds / G 181.9 #29
141.5 #5 Rush yds / G 94.9 #24
59.8 #26 Plays / G 57.1 #30
54% Pass rate 56%
1.5 Pass TD / G 1.0
1.2 Rush TD / G 1.0
1.2 Sacks taken / G 1.3
0.7 INT thrown / G 0.4
Defense profile
KCRank of 32DEN
17.2 #2 Pts allowed / G 20.1 #7
229.8 #12 Pass yds allowed 236.0 #17
99.5 #13 Rush yds allowed 133.3 #28
1.3 Sacks / G 3.0
1.0 INT / G 1.0
0.8 Pass TD allowed 1.1
0.7 Rush TD allowed 0.9

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 7 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Empower Field at Mile High, Denver)

DFS

KC projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
RB Kenneth Walker III 18.2 10.7 / 31.3 $8,800 2.07x $9,000 #6
QB Patrick Mahomes 16.4 9.3 / 26.4 $6,000 2.73x $7,900 #8
WR Xavier Worthy 15.3 8.1 / 27.9 $4,900 3.13x $6,100 #5
TE Travis Kelce 12.4 5.2 / 21.4 $5,000 2.47x $5,400 #25
RB Emmett Johnson 5.7 1.7 / 11.6 $4,800 1.19x $5,100 #6
TE Noah Gray 5.1 1.4 / 12.4 $2,900 1.76x $4,400 #25
WR Jalen Royals 4.3 0.1 / 10.4 $3,500 1.22x $5,200 #5
DEN projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Bo Nix 16.2 8.3 / 24.5 $5,100 3.17x $7,100 #6
WR Jaylen Waddle questionable 11.0 5.0 / 22.6 $5,400 2.04x $6,400 #3
WR Courtland Sutton 8.2 3.0 / 17.7 $4,700 1.75x $5,700 #3
RB Jonah Coleman 8.0 3.8 / 16.1 $4,300 1.85x $5,300 #7
RB RJ Harvey 8.0 3.6 / 15.6 $5,200 1.54x $5,500 #7
RB J.K. Dobbins 5.7 2.4 / 12.9 $5,300 1.08x $5,700 #7
TE Evan Engram 5.6 1.5 / 12.7 $3,200 1.75x $4,900 #24

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Kenneth Walker III RB KC Rush yds 82.5 79.9 -112 DraftKings #28
Kenneth Walker III RB KC Receptions 3.5 2.1 +140 FanDuel #17
Kenneth Walker III RB KC Rec yds 18.5 13.2 -114 FanDuel #17
Patrick Mahomes QB KC Pass TD 1.5 1.4 +163 DraftKings #6
Patrick Mahomes QB KC Pass yds 222.5 225.2 -111 DraftKings #17
Patrick Mahomes QB KC Rush yds 12.5 10.8 -112 DraftKings #28
Bo Nix QB DEN Pass TD 1.5 1.1 +194 FanDuel #2
Bo Nix QB DEN Pass yds 201.5 203.9 -112 DraftKings #12
Bo Nix QB DEN Rush yds 17.5 17.6 -110 BetRivers #13
Jonah Coleman RB DEN Rush yds 38.5 31.2 -110 DraftKings #13
RJ Harvey RB DEN Receptions 3.5 3.0 -108 FanDuel #12
RJ Harvey RB DEN Rec yds 23.5 25.8 -114 FanDuel #12
J.K. Dobbins RB DEN Rush yds 24.5 28.9 -113 DraftKings #13

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All KC and DEN props with AI grades

Injuries

KC 8 listed
  • Out Jeff Caldwell WR Knee Severe
  • Out Rashee Rice WR Unknown Severe
  • IR Brashard Smith RB Hamstring Severe
  • IR John Michael Gyllenborg TE Knee Severe
  • IR Tyquan Thornton WR Ankle Severe
  • Out Ben VanSumeren FB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Chukwuebuka Godrick OT Unknown Minimal
  • Out Jaylon Moore OT Unknown Minimal
DEN 8 listed
  • Out Sam Ehlinger QB Coach'S Decision Severe
  • Out Jordan Jackson DE Unknown Minimal
  • Out Levelle Bailey ILB Leg Minimal
  • Out Matt Henningsen DE Unknown Minimal
  • Out Michael Deiter C Unknown Minimal
  • Out Patrick Surtain II CB Ankle Minimal
  • Out Talanoa Hufanga FS Unknown Minimal
  • Quest. Jaylen Waddle WR Chest Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 8 slate

Swipe for all 14 games this week.
Updated Oct 28, 10:50 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.